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Search: Posts Made By: psears
Forum: Options February 26th, 2019, 09:52 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
You can also try these guys: ...

You can also try these guys:
Https://vlab.stern.nyu.edu

For NatGas type in: NATGAS:COM

If you look at "all" on the chart it goes back to Jan '94 and you can see the historical volatility...
Forum: Options February 21st, 2019, 10:05 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
If he thought that NatGas was going to head down...

If he thought that NatGas was going to head down due to a warm winter, he should have bought cheap low volatility puts, close to the money.
Forum: Options February 21st, 2019, 08:57 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
James Cordier OptionSellers blow up

Hello,
Just got done watching James Cordier's painful YouTube apology to his clients for blowing up his "hedge" fund.
Can anyone here explain to me why anyone in their right mind would be selling...
Forum: Options January 8th, 2019, 01:14 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Myrrdin, so did you sell options with a year to...

Myrrdin, so did you sell options with a year to expiration? Why did you choose to go that far out vs. the typical 30-60 days to exp.? What would have been the difference in premium?
Forum: Options January 5th, 2019, 08:47 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Hi Myrrdin, Curious as to what the premium was...

Hi Myrrdin,
Curious as to what the premium was when the vol was sky high and what you closed them for? I see vol is still fairly high, so did you just collect the time erosion instead of waiting...
Forum: Options January 4th, 2019, 11:30 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Anyone selling NatGas or WTI premium right now?

Hello,
just curious if anyone is selling OTM options on NatGas or oil considering the near-record volatility levels? I looked over the last few thread pages and haven't seen much discussion on...
Forum: Stocks and ETFs November 20th, 2015, 07:07 PM
Replies: 124
Views: 39,419
Posted By psears
Long term opinions on XME

Hello,
I was wondering what everyone thinks about the long term prospects for XME, especially considering the Chinese steel output. At ~$16.00, it is at a historic low, so I am thinking about...
Forum: Options March 2nd, 2015, 04:38 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
I'm at work so I can't see the deltas right now,...

I'm at work so I can't see the deltas right now, but are you talking more like 3.75?
That premium for May '15 is only $60 now; even less after commissions. Would that even be worth it for you? ...
Forum: Options March 2nd, 2015, 03:12 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
BTW Ron, what would you think of selling May '15...

BTW Ron, what would you think of selling May '15 calls? The premiums seem pretty fat right now (EIA showing volatility being fairly high currently). Maybe sell at 3.25 -3.45 for $400 -$240 per...
Forum: Options March 2nd, 2015, 02:07 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Awesome reply Ron, and pretty much what I thought...

Awesome reply Ron, and pretty much what I thought you were going to say regarding Cordier's apparently inappropriate use of longer time frame history charts (I mean, who HASN'T heard of the recent...
Forum: Options March 2nd, 2015, 01:09 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Ron, I checked out the 2012 NG chart courtesy...

Ron,
I checked out the 2012 NG chart courtesy of my free trial of MRCI and you are correct - the price did drop a dollar going into May '12. I swear the first (not MRCI) chart I looked at didn't do...
Forum: Options March 2nd, 2015, 09:40 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Thanks Myrrdin for the reply. I'm still...

Thanks Myrrdin for the reply. I'm still wondering though how the current storage supplies end up affecting the upcoming injection season. Or do they? If the current storage supplies don't affect...
Forum: Options February 28th, 2015, 08:21 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Nat Gas Seasonal Question

Hello,

Can anyone familiar with nat gas trading answer this question for me: Last years' EIA storage figures for this time last year were around 1362 Bcf, which is 40% less than the 5 year...
Forum: Options February 9th, 2015, 06:02 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Gotcha. Looks like it is time to hit the history...

Gotcha. Looks like it is time to hit the history charts and fundamentals!
Forum: Options February 9th, 2015, 04:45 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Thanks for the replies, Myrrdin and Ron99! ...

Thanks for the replies, Myrrdin and Ron99!
Ron99, those are some busy looking charts; are you actually able to glean repeatable directional trade opportunities from that kind of jumbled mess alone?...
Forum: Options February 9th, 2015, 04:15 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Ron99, the charts I'm looking at are courtesy of...

Ron99, the charts I'm looking at are courtesy of Signal Trading (got the link on this thread). They have the hogs flat until mid Jan, then a sharp increase, then flat again until mid march , then...
Forum: Options February 9th, 2015, 12:59 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Hey everyone, Anyone have any thoughts on...

Hey everyone,
Anyone have any thoughts on selling options on Lean Hogs lately? According to the hogs guy on Commodity Charts.com the volatility is sky high right now (limit move up yesterday, and...
Forum: Options February 6th, 2015, 11:10 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
I don't have the exact prices and positions on...

I don't have the exact prices and positions on hand to share, but if memory serves me correctly I had a $30,000 trading account that had 3 short put gold options. I don't remember at what delta they...
Forum: Options February 6th, 2015, 05:27 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
A little more digging into some of the...

A little more digging into some of the suggestions here has led me to the CRB and MRCI websites, where they have "commodity yearbooks" and other such stuff, including trade recommendations based in...
Forum: Options February 6th, 2015, 02:43 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Yeah, I was afraid you were going to say that. ...

Yeah, I was afraid you were going to say that. You mean I actually have to do it the old fashioned way and put in some hard research work? Gee.... :-)
Forum: Options February 6th, 2015, 02:31 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Thanks, Ron. BTW: What would really be cool is...

Thanks, Ron. BTW: What would really be cool is access to a history book or almanac of sorts that could detail each year's crop and price movement, with the corresponding news items, weather...
Forum: Options February 6th, 2015, 01:36 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Much thanks for the quick replies! I will...

Much thanks for the quick replies!
I will definitely check out both of your report and newsletter recommendations.
I can see the September/October drop then rise on the historical charts for...
Forum: Options February 6th, 2015, 11:38 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
Fundamental grain outlook sources

Hi all,

This is my first post since the total destruction of my trading account courtesy of naked Gold puts explosion of a couple of years back :-(
I have been reading this threat from the start,...
Forum: Platforms and Indicators February 22nd, 2014, 05:34 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 2,386
Posted By psears
MTPredictor and market meltdowns

Hello,

I was wondering if anyone has backtested MTPredictor on historical data that has involved the major market blowups over the last 25 years or so? 1987 Black Monday? Asian Crisis 1997? LTCM...
Forum: Options January 14th, 2013, 07:39 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,244
Posted By psears
How much income from selling option contracts?

Hey Ron99 and anyone else who is doing this full time,

I was wondering how big of a bank roll one would likely need to be able to do this full time and make $100,000/yr.

Also wondering if...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 35
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