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Showing results 1 to 25 of 43
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Posts Made By:
Harvard16
Forum:
Options
April 29th, 2019, 10:31 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Apart from whats been mentioned already, I've...
Apart from whats been mentioned already, I've gained value from the books 'Options on Futures'- Summa & Lubo and 'The new options advantage' - Caplan , I prefer the Summa book as the examples used...
Forum:
Options
April 11th, 2019, 11:30 AM
Replies:
1,598
Diversified Option Selling Portfolio
Views:
283,055
Posted By
Harvard16
Additionally, futures are at a smaller discount...
Additionally, futures are at a smaller discount to cash than the norm, for instance June futures are at a $4 discount to cash, when the average for this time of year is usually $12.80, last year the...
Forum:
Options
April 3rd, 2019, 01:06 PM
Replies:
11
Buying both OTM call and put options to protect from unexpected wipeout
Views:
3,822
Posted By
Harvard16
To be honest I seldom model a trade like this, if...
To be honest I seldom model a trade like this, if I can get the strikes wide enough and the trade makes sense, I just put it on, if I need to model something, I either do it in my optionsxpress or...
Forum:
Options
March 25th, 2019, 11:59 AM
Replies:
11
Buying both OTM call and put options to protect from unexpected wipeout
Views:
3,822
Posted By
Harvard16
CT, If trading futures outright makes you...
CT,
If trading futures outright makes you that nervous, ( and I understand where you are coming from)you may consider structuring an options trade that will let you sleep each night without worry...
Forum:
Options
November 21st, 2018, 08:09 PM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Strategy ''Despite low storage levels, EIA...
Strategy
''Despite low storage levels, EIA expects strong growth in US natural gas production to put downward pressure on prices in 2019, EIA expects Henry Hub natural gas spot prices to average...
Forum:
Options
November 20th, 2018, 06:30 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
I though the same thing, why were the decayed...
I though the same thing, why were the decayed options not cleaned out to make way for fresh sales.
I can say I have been guilty of this myself at times, usually when things have not gone well and...
Forum:
Options
November 19th, 2018, 09:39 PM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Here is a link to the spreadsheet of positions in...
Here is a link to the spreadsheet of positions in NG, this was for a +/- 600k account, with entry exits, for the size of account the position size is insane at over 250 short calls, true they looked...
Forum:
Options
November 18th, 2018, 07:48 PM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
I would say it is not as attractive as it was,...
I would say it is not as attractive as it was, like many I started selling commodity options on the backside of 2000's commodity boom when the air was coming out of the market but there were still...
Forum:
Options
July 17th, 2015, 02:26 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Well put KkD, made me chuckle. :sarcastic:
Well put KkD, made me chuckle. :sarcastic:
Forum:
Options
July 9th, 2015, 09:42 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Ron, I'm interested to know if in your research...
Ron, I'm interested to know if in your research and drawdown calculations are you looking purely are adverse margin adjustments based on maintenance margin on your initial margin for the position as...
Forum:
Options
June 23rd, 2015, 03:49 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
With this drawdown argument are you factoring in...
With this drawdown argument are you factoring in that you sold on average 60% more 2 deltas than 4 deltas options over your record period 2013-2015?
With the example you provided on worst drawdown...
Forum:
Options
April 17th, 2014, 03:00 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
I'm dump founded, Pure Genius :sarcastic:
I'm dump founded, Pure Genius :sarcastic:
Forum:
Options
April 4th, 2014, 08:17 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Yes Kevindog, I remember questioning your view on...
Yes Kevindog, I remember questioning your view on this exact subject a while back and after doing more calculations and observation, I agree with you now, if there is more meat on the bone somewhere...
Forum:
Options
February 10th, 2014, 04:38 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
MJ888, I always find this a good place to...
MJ888,
I always find this a good place to look at historic option prices, you won't get closing prices going back 3 weeks , only about 7 sessions, but the charts goes back further and is a good...
Forum:
Options
January 17th, 2014, 03:09 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
mu2pilot, I'm still sitting tight with all my...
mu2pilot, I'm still sitting tight with all my short options on both side, and a lot more comfortable than a few weeks back when the market was shooting above 4.5 and vol was going mental. The NG...
Forum:
Options
January 13th, 2014, 08:57 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
I was not using a margin multiple, but since most...
I was not using a margin multiple, but since most of the ROI's here are based on multiple. my calc would be excluding brokerage:
$10/ ($48.40x3) = 6.89%/15 days till expiry x 30 days = 13.77%.
...
Forum:
Options
January 13th, 2014, 02:58 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Kevin, I take it you are only basing your...
Kevin, I take it you are only basing your analysis on the initial margin, how do you account for the reduction in margin that occurs as an option approaches expiry assuming it is still far OTM. As an...
Forum:
Options
January 10th, 2014, 11:04 PM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
KKD, I know this was a while back, but just...
KKD, I know this was a while back, but just wanted to say thanks for the heads up on the LC puts, I sold a bunch of Feb 127 Puts on the 19th after investigating your observation, bought them back...
Forum:
Options
December 20th, 2013, 01:32 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Not sure, but Canada would have had their own...
Not sure, but Canada would have had their own cold or colder weather issues last week so perhaps they diverted gas otherwise earmarked for export for their own domestic use.
Now that this larger...
Forum:
Options
December 18th, 2013, 02:00 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
I think you need match the strategy to the...
I think you need match the strategy to the market, identifying markets and periods that may produce rapid and difficult to foresee price gains and corresponding volatility, NG and S come to mind,...
Forum:
Options
December 13th, 2013, 10:18 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Thanks Eudamonia, I like your take on things, the...
Thanks Eudamonia, I like your take on things, the question I have at the moment is how the market is going to react to the expected 230+ draw in next weeks storage report and how much of that is...
Forum:
Options
December 12th, 2013, 09:49 PM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
I went back on MRCI seasonals this morning...
I went back on MRCI seasonals this morning looking at the extend of previous NG rallies for the Feb contract in the Nov to Dec period low to highs. Apologies I had to eye ball the levels, as the...
Forum:
Options
December 12th, 2013, 07:04 PM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Pity this coverage is discontinuing from 13th,...
Pity this coverage is discontinuing from 13th, was a great source.
http://www.cmegroup.com/education/market-commentary/energy/2013/12/mid-session-nat-gas_561.html
Forum:
Options
December 12th, 2013, 10:08 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
Absolutely KD, markets up 5c and people are...
Absolutely KD, markets up 5c and people are hitting the offer on things like H4 6C at .054. double yesterdays price which equates to ridiculous delta for an option 37% out of the money, just crazy....
Forum:
Options
December 12th, 2013, 12:36 AM
Replies:
7,370
Sticky:
Selling Options on Futures?
Views:
1,987,063
Posted By
Harvard16
NG April vs today - what I learnt.
Hi All,
As some of you have mentioned today's NG market feels a lot like Aprils, which ended very painfully for me when I sold low priced safe looking calls when things were quiet, eventually...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 43
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