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Search: Posts Made By: crito
Forum: Options January 27th, 2014, 02:09 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,357
Posted By crito
Another way to look at it, more classic is the...

Another way to look at it, more classic is the following.
Let’s say you want a 3:1 return/risk ratio on selling a $350 option with a 90% win ratio.
Than you can have (for that option) a max loss of...
Forum: Options January 26th, 2014, 01:43 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,357
Posted By crito
How much do you risk at selling future options?

Mu2pilot raised the question in the thread below regarding the profitability of selling options on futures and risk control. I think that topic, Money management & risk control regarding selling...
Forum: Commodities January 22nd, 2014, 12:24 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
Another Andy Jordan free newsletter spread. ...

Another Andy Jordan free newsletter spread.

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=134247
Forum: Commodities January 18th, 2014, 09:09 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
For those interested in yield curve spread...

For those interested in yield curve spread trades, nob, charts etc
Perhaps this is interesting (see charts menu) & ‘market data’ menu
Curve Trades (http://www.curvetrades.com/)
Forum: Commodities January 18th, 2014, 07:51 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
For those interested, Rajen Kapadia (the spread...

For those interested, Rajen Kapadia (the spread ebook guy) has a blog here:

Euribortrader.blogspot.com (http://Euribortrader.blogspot.com) :ranger:
Forum: Commodities January 18th, 2014, 07:27 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
hi, anybody know this book? i read...

hi,

anybody know this book?
i read somewhere its (partly) about spread trading

What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars
by Jim Paul

What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars (Columbia...
Forum: Commodities January 17th, 2014, 12:07 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 23,431
Posted By crito
As far as i know, unfortunately, it only works...

As far as i know, unfortunately, it only works for charts < 2days, not monthly or year charts.
at least i can't turn on the volume histogram when i take a wider range.


SMCJB care to share...
Forum: Commodities January 16th, 2014, 04:39 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
Here the Andy Jordan/Joe Ross free email i got...

Here the Andy Jordan/Joe Ross free email i got today with a spread trade setup.
So instead of the normal seasonals he now goes for a (spread) swing trade.
In my personal oppinion a lot of "if's"...
Forum: Commodities January 16th, 2014, 04:09 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
Thanks SMCJB looks interesting, I like books that...

Thanks SMCJB looks interesting, I like books that are done by traders.
Interesting to see those low cost ebooks/pdf’s pop up more and more.

i found a short youtube book promotion movie done by...
Forum: Commodities January 12th, 2014, 08:54 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
Hi MoscowOnHudson, From what i googled (and...

Hi MoscowOnHudson,

From what i googled (and i agree, very little to find on synthetic spreads) I found that a synthetic spread is something like:

-1 x SPM11 ( Big S&P 500) against 5 x ESM11 ( E...
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2014, 11:41 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
copper

I had a quick look at your copper spread.
hope you don't mind me crunching some numbers.

the low was at 31 dec, -0,023 (x25000 big point value) = $-575
during july-oct it was pretty flat around...
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2014, 09:57 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
coffee

KubaK

Did you do any coffee trades last year?
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2014, 09:07 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
Hi KubaK & others, Thanks for your input and...

Hi KubaK & others,

Thanks for your input and info, appreciated!

Interesting you prefer to ride the seasonal up. In my little study so far I have a small preference for riding the spread back to...
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2014, 07:23 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
hi, I got an email (free newsletter) from...

hi,

I got an email (free newsletter) from Craig Turner (guy from mentioned youtube video) regarding a possible spread trade.
see screenshot below.
I haven't looked into it yet will do later,
...
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2014, 07:17 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
Hi Zikonic, I'm not a big trader on es (i...

Hi Zikonic,

I'm not a big trader on es (i assume this is sp500?) so i would guess as long as there is fed stimulation the sp goes up when they stop it slows and most likely will go down.

i had...
Forum: Options January 5th, 2014, 02:02 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,001,492
Posted By crito
feb call 6 was $450 @ dec 23. As mentioned i...

feb call 6 was $450 @ dec 23. As mentioned i estimate the call 7 could go to $350 if the fut goes up 1 point, with some vola dif & timing diff that could as well be $450.
bottom line, i don's see...
Forum: Commodities January 5th, 2014, 09:09 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
hi, I found a newsletter where a spread is...

hi,

I found a newsletter where a spread is discussed. Date was 18 dec 2013 so still somewhat recent.
I'm interested in what you think and if you would trade it?

Details in screenshot.
...
Forum: Options January 5th, 2014, 08:17 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,001,492
Posted By crito
ron99 Why did you close your march NG call’s? ...

ron99
Why did you close your march NG call’s?
Did you close them as you mentioned on fundamental reasons (weather).
I have a few call7 open and don’t see a reason yet to close them so would like...
Forum: Options January 4th, 2014, 03:13 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,001,492
Posted By crito
I quickly did the test. Below the table Data...

I quickly did the test.
Below the table
Data used was Tradestation CL continues contract
Data period used aug. 3th 2001 till January 2014
Total trade days 3090
If the future at some time during...
Forum: Options January 4th, 2014, 12:06 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,001,492
Posted By crito
Thanks Ron, very interesting. I guess the...

Thanks Ron, very interesting.

I guess the “good part” of IB is you start with a higher margin (but I realize that is ‘inverse logic’, we can start a whole psychological thread about that one ;)
...
Forum: Commodities January 4th, 2014, 09:27 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
In my attempt to learn to trade spreads, I had...

In my attempt to learn to trade spreads, I had another look at the NG spread (NGh – NGj) and the comments in the Turner video.
It makes sense to get a feeling what can happen (high & lows) to look...
Forum: Options January 4th, 2014, 08:58 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,001,492
Posted By crito
I can’t shake the thought about the comment in...

I can’t shake the thought about the comment in the karen video that delta is about the same as the chance that an option gets in the money.
Perhaps it’s a rough indicator but somehow it doesn’t feel...
Forum: Commodities January 4th, 2014, 07:09 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 26,277
Posted By crito
In the mentioned youtube video, Turner shows that...

In the mentioned youtube video, Turner shows that there is more volume in spreads than in the futures can that be true? Or only for very popular spreads?
Second, does anybody know how to enter the...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors January 4th, 2014, 06:31 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 12,085
Posted By crito
Hi tinkug112, I have been trading for a few...

Hi tinkug112,

I have been trading for a few years so i get your point (so no, not looking for a holy grail ;)
but i'm currently looking into (future) spread trading.
I couldn't find that much...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors January 4th, 2014, 04:00 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 12,085
Posted By crito
hi guys, Anybody has any experiance with...

hi guys,

Anybody has any experiance with them yet?
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