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Search: Posts Made By: rk142
Forum: Trading Journals September 19th, 2014, 09:29 PM
Replies: 84
Views: 62,970
Posted By rk142
I agree with Hulk. Just one more thought:...

I agree with Hulk.

Just one more thought: you might want to take this little contentious detour to stop and decide what exactly you hope to get out of your journal. Many people journal just to...
Forum: Trading Journals September 19th, 2014, 07:44 PM
Replies: 84
Views: 62,970
Posted By rk142
Hi Anna K, I come and go here and hardly...

Hi Anna K,

I come and go here and hardly post much, but I saw that PandaWarrior was posting again and I enjoy his posts enough to look up his recent posts and see where he was commenting. That's...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index May 22nd, 2014, 11:28 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 10,910
Posted By rk142
I significantly improved my discretionary trading...

I significantly improved my discretionary trading when I started trading micro futures with bad liquidity. I did this to practice managing multi-contract positions and to hold on to runners long...
Forum: Trading Journals May 14th, 2014, 12:15 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
You've given a thorough and helpful exposition of...

You've given a thorough and helpful exposition of your approach to system testing and management. There's really not much more you can to do help those willing and able to learn what you've...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 23rd, 2014, 11:55 AM
Replies: 203
Views: 85,128
Posted By rk142
I've been away from the forums for a while, and...

I've been away from the forums for a while, and came back yesterday to see if Fat Tails ever posted up a rolling VWAP indicator (I'll have to code it myself). While here, I took a little spin through...
Forum: Trading Journals October 28th, 2013, 11:07 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Guys, 1) Kevin defined his quit point at the...

Guys,

1) Kevin defined his quit point at the optimal time: before he turned on the system. So his stop is already in place. It is outside of his system's noise, and the amount of his total...
Forum: Trading Journals October 8th, 2013, 08:48 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Of course! I'm aware of the impulse to make an...

Of course! I'm aware of the impulse to make an idol or a fetish out of someone else's approach, and I'm sure in the end my decisions will be different than yours (they already are in some respects)....
Forum: Trading Journals October 7th, 2013, 10:23 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
I'm actually a little pleased that I've absorbed...

I'm actually a little pleased that I've absorbed enough of your logic to anticipate the day by day Monte Carlo approach, while also a little disappointed that I missed it in your other thread - since...
Forum: Trading Journals October 7th, 2013, 10:07 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Thanks! I'm trying to learn just enough...

Thanks!

I'm trying to learn just enough statistics to improve the evaluation and monitoring of my strategies, without geeking out unnecessarily. I'll look into the central limit theorem - it...
Forum: Trading Journals October 7th, 2013, 09:12 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Thanks. So do you generate the lower 10%...

Thanks.

So do you generate the lower 10% curve by:

1) Running monte carlo simulations for N days of trades, with N varying from 1 to aBigNumber, and taking the desired % cutoff (i.e., "after N...
Forum: Trading Journals October 6th, 2013, 11:36 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Kevin, I don't have a strong intuition on...

Kevin,

I don't have a strong intuition on the meaning of that lower 10% line. I have a vague sense of what you are aiming to measure, but only a vague sense - and it's unclear how that lower...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management September 30th, 2013, 11:54 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 7,008
Posted By rk142
graceless

I fat-fingered today! Tried to get right back in but wasn't filled. I get one to two good discretionary trades a day, so I might get one more.

It's like you're lying in the brush silently...
Forum: Trading Journals September 22nd, 2013, 08:59 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Yes - my analysis isn't quite as rigorous as...

Yes - my analysis isn't quite as rigorous as yours (you are always quick to point out that your way isn't the only way, but I do think you are doing an excellent job modeling a process with better...
Forum: Trading Journals September 21st, 2013, 02:32 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
The emotions you experience when you role play it...

The emotions you experience when you role play it can be helpful, if you are capable of being honest with yourself. Introspection is real, and Kevin is right to pursue the question in this way.
...
Forum: Trading Journals September 11th, 2013, 08:21 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
The issue of incubation is an interesting...

The issue of incubation is an interesting Rorschach test. Let's say you have a gut aversion to it. Forget about the intellectual reasons you would give for that aversion and consider the emotional...
Forum: Trading Journals September 8th, 2013, 08:54 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
Thanks Mike. Those are definitely helpful...

Thanks Mike. Those are definitely helpful guidelines.

So right now I have a strategy which is simple, based on solid market principles, and is profitable over a large range of parameters (just...
Forum: Trading Journals September 8th, 2013, 07:50 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,591
Posted By rk142
optimization

Kevin,

Excellent thread. Thank you.

In response to a question about your approach to optimization you wrote the following:



Could you say a bit more about the tools / decision making...
Forum: Traders Hideout July 24th, 2013, 10:37 AM
Replies: 52
Views: 42,241
Posted By rk142
great webinar

This was an excellent webinar. The core concepts were explained quickly and clearly, and then we were treated to a series of examples. It was possible to pause the webinar and think for yourself...
Forum: NinjaTrader November 22nd, 2012, 09:18 PM
Replies: 695
Views: 431,501
Posted By rk142
Woah! I sweated and stomped, and huffed and...

Woah! I sweated and stomped, and huffed and puffed my way to the top of the mountain, and I guess I should've planted my flag when I had the chance ;)

Or waited a month or so to save the...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management November 12th, 2012, 08:48 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 9,176
Posted By rk142
Yeah it's silly to think that you're going to...

Yeah it's silly to think that you're going to find a ruleset that easily. I've tested most of the ideas on the forum, including the ones you mentioned, and found them either too complicated to make...
Forum: Off-Topic October 11th, 2012, 10:20 AM
Replies: 664
Views: 83,142
Posted By rk142
In a national democracy we shouldn't worry about...

In a national democracy we shouldn't worry about the internal states of our political instruments. I've never understood the obsession with what they "really think." The bottom line is we use...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management October 9th, 2012, 12:31 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 13,073
Posted By rk142
Whenever you see a consensus in any field what...

Whenever you see a consensus in any field what you are seeing is a temporary sigh of relief on the part of the participants: they have agreed on where the safe intellectual ground is, and they are...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management October 9th, 2012, 11:51 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 13,073
Posted By rk142
Easy: Reasonable for the experienced (read:...

Easy:

Reasonable for the experienced (read: consistently profitable) trader. Russian roulette for the newbie.

Watch what you say around the children!

-RK
Forum: Psychology and Money Management October 5th, 2012, 03:07 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 9,176
Posted By rk142
That makes a lot of sense. I think what...

That makes a lot of sense.

I think what throws a lot of new traders for a loop is impatience. It's very easy to say that a newbie should trade a mechanical ruleset - but you should say at the...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management October 4th, 2012, 11:07 PM
Replies: 140
Views: 33,479
Posted By rk142
I don't know if he needs "professional help" to...

I don't know if he needs "professional help" to deal with post surgery stress, but I would say with confidence that being an excellent surgeon and also not stressed out by that excellence is superior...
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