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Search: Posts Made By: tihfa
Forum: Trading Journals October 4th, 2021, 08:03 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
what caused this many trades in september? it...

what caused this many trades in september? it seems like it 4 to 5 times more trades than usual? is it because hourly trend was mostly down during september?
Forum: Psychology and Money Management July 25th, 2021, 01:35 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,819
Posted By tihfa
The idea is to have some kind of dynamic (...

The idea is to have some kind of dynamic ( "trailing" ) stop, basically only risking a loss on newly added position or think of it as adding on to the core position that you can trade around as the...
Forum: Trading Journals July 6th, 2021, 04:16 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
How is this loss tied to trading on Monday? Is...

How is this loss tied to trading on Monday? Is there any historical or backtesting significance?
Forum: Trading Journals May 7th, 2021, 06:47 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
1) what is the longest loss streak you have had...

1) what is the longest loss streak you have had so far? Is it 5?

2) how many times have you seen in real trading the longest loss streak?

3) what is the longest loss streak in backtesting?
...
Forum: Trading Journals April 23rd, 2021, 07:28 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Based on reply above, why would determining...

Based on reply above,

why would determining (pricing) the initial stop and stop loss be any different from how you determine (price) initial target exit and eventual exit ? I understand you were...
Forum: Trading Journals April 23rd, 2021, 04:16 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
1. As a corollary to stop loss exits question,...

1. As a corollary to stop loss exits question, are the INITIAL projected profit targets based on some A. "optimized" multiple factor of stop loss amount or B. volatility based i.e. multiples of some...
Forum: Trading Journals April 23rd, 2021, 02:17 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Based on the comment above "...stopped out at...

Based on the comment above "...stopped out at swing low then the market reversed" and feedback in other posts where you answered that you are basically trading pullback in the direction of the trend...
Forum: Trading Journals April 20th, 2021, 07:49 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Are you trading a. breakout in the direction of...

Are you trading a. breakout in the direction of the the trend ( however you define the trend) or b. pullback within the said trend in the direction of trend, or c. perhaps a mean reversion against...
Forum: Trading Journals April 19th, 2021, 10:16 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Is there a reason your stop loss is fixed? It...

Is there a reason your stop loss is fixed? It seems that all 4 trades had 4 point stop? Have you tried some type of volatility based stop loss method i.e. some kind of band ??
Forum: Trading Journals December 17th, 2018, 07:04 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Live Trading MAE vs Backtesting MAE

Kanepa,

Do you find MAE in live trading to match the MAE measured during backtesting?

Is your system depending on getting occasional home run [ r: r = 1 : 10]? Your shorting stats were...
Forum: Trading Journals October 28th, 2018, 07:53 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
additional filtering?

Kanepa,

did you introduce an additional filter to cut down on the System 2 trade number by 50% or are you just tightening already existing filters?

I assume you ran the modified system against...
Forum: Trading Journals September 23rd, 2018, 11:30 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Modeled Price Behavior vs Actual Price Behavior???

Hi Kanepa,

so I am thinking that the results you are seeing are basically following your modeled price behavior with some normal variability ( W to L ratio, W and L series distributions, P to L...
Forum: Trading Journals September 18th, 2018, 09:47 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 54,266
Posted By tihfa
Review of Development Process?

Kanepa,

thanks for your journal. I certainly would like to see you continue journaling as it is encouraging for someone like me struggling to commit to pulling the trigger on trading based on my...
Forum: Trading Journals September 25th, 2014, 11:54 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 28,274
Posted By tihfa
concept is what matters

please continue... I am also interested in concepts not so much particular language implementation....looking forward to continued discussion...
:stickyman:
Forum: Trading Journals May 10th, 2014, 10:04 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
system pass/fail criteria?

Kevin,

thanks for the continued posting.

the way I see things is

1)as long as continued equity drawdown is not below statistically determined equity drawdown
2)and sideways/drawdown...
Forum: Trading Journals February 21st, 2014, 01:37 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 4,613
Posted By tihfa
what are acceptable performance numbers?

so idea is to put some filters/context without too many rules to get PF above 2.0 for every year so that in worst case scenario I would break even around PF 1.0....

second thought was to try to...
Forum: Trading Journals February 21st, 2014, 01:16 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 4,613
Posted By tihfa
Ground Hog Day

well, can't believe its been so long I started the journal, posted few entries and then reverted back to my old habits...

at this point I am basically exhausted and tired of whole analysis, price...
Forum: Trading Journals February 17th, 2014, 11:05 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
sideways/drawdown equity curve periods?

Kevin,

to help put things into perspective, would it be possible that you plot separately couple or few times weeks/months long sideways/drawdown performance that occurred in your backtest curve...
Forum: Trading Journals January 31st, 2014, 10:02 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
sounds to me your stop level for single...

sounds to me your stop level for single individual trades is not adjusted based on some price action behavior and/or price structure but perhaps some type of MAE statistics including TopStep and...
Forum: Trading Journals January 31st, 2014, 09:26 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
more stop rubustness needed?

kevin,

i am assuming you have done ? the study, individual chart reads, for your losses to optimize against "market is out to get me" few or several ticks stop levels?

are the last few...
Forum: Trading Journals January 4th, 2014, 04:27 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
Dont be too hard on yourself

Kevin,

congrats on running the system live this far long. Considering this is a long term endeavor, actually a chosen profession, the 23.7% annual rate of return on the initial 20 week long only...
Forum: Trading Journals October 29th, 2013, 01:09 PM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
Equity Curve Use vs Stats Use

kevin,

you have yourself pointed to the curves as basis for opinion whether to continue trading or not. yet you have statistics calculations which are calculated independently of the shape or...
Forum: Trading Journals October 29th, 2013, 09:03 AM
Replies: 529
Views: 97,383
Posted By tihfa
Accelerated Testing?

kevin,

thanks for the thread.

just looking at your hypothetical curve diagrams and assuming diagrams had significance then you are nowhere near quitting point.

1) would you consider the...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index October 24th, 2013, 06:40 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 8,606
Posted By tihfa
aquarian, i've gone through your hand-noted...

aquarian,

i've gone through your hand-noted chart and other charts and I get the basic idea.

if you dont mind sharing: since you are day trading what is your hold period roughly in comparison...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index October 22nd, 2013, 11:23 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 8,606
Posted By tihfa
aquarian, thanks a lot for annotation. i...

aquarian,

thanks a lot for annotation. i appreciate the effort you put into it.

i will spend time tomorrow to go through the notes.

tihfa
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