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Search: Posts Made By: ron99
Forum: Options July 17th, 2023, 11:30 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
IB is THE worst place to trade options. They...

IB is THE worst place to trade options. They require far more than the minimum margin. They liquidate your positions if they think you are a risk. I would never attempt to trade options there.
Forum: Options December 31st, 2021, 09:25 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
I currently trade under an individual account. ...

I currently trade under an individual account.

I had a LLC when I had a hedge fund.
Forum: Commodities November 14th, 2021, 04:43 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
The one surprise is that even though LNG prices...

The one surprise is that even though LNG prices have skyrocketed this summer US LNG exports per day were higher in Mar-May than they were Jun-Oct.

Dec JKM contract....
Forum: Commodities November 14th, 2021, 04:35 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
33.6% of US LNG exports that landed in Oct went...

33.6% of US LNG exports that landed in Oct went to Europe. 43.2% went to Asia.


https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=319579
...
Forum: Commodities November 13th, 2021, 03:43 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
Prior to 2016 the US exported almost no LNG. Thus...

Prior to 2016 the US exported almost no LNG. Thus Europe weather didn't matter then. Much easier to trade NG then.

With LNG exports now taking over 10% of US NG production, weather and demand in...
Forum: Commodities October 6th, 2021, 01:22 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
The problem with looking at the 5 year average is...

The problem with looking at the 5 year average is
1. It is too few number of years to be statistically significant.
2. The last 9 months of 2019 and all of 2020 Europe inventory are so atypical...
Forum: Commodities October 5th, 2021, 05:53 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
I think too many are making too much of the...

I think too many are making too much of the current Europe NG inventory levels. The sky high 2019/2020 winter Europe NG inventory levels is making expectations too high for what is needed.

Yes...
Forum: Commodities September 24th, 2021, 12:33 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
I don't recommend trading these but CME JKM...

I don't recommend trading these but CME JKM futures (LNG futures) has had its' margin increased to $48,000 a contract! :ahhhhh:
Forum: Commodities September 21st, 2021, 10:55 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
I do have to wonder about the data he used for...

I do have to wonder about the data he used for weather. It looks like he didn't use population weighted weather data. He said this,

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=317713

But...
Forum: Commodities September 21st, 2021, 10:34 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
Thanks. I love the Cordier photo....

Thanks.

I love the Cordier photo. :sarcastic:

KOLD is trading at 11.15 this morning. Last Friday when he wrote article it was 9.52.

What ways will others here use to get short NG.
Forum: Traders Hideout August 27th, 2021, 03:35 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 8,697
Posted By ron99
I never pay estimated taxes. I just pay the small...

I never pay estimated taxes. I just pay the small fine. It's about 3%.

I consider this a low interest loan from the government.

I started not paying when one year I made some estimated payments...
Forum: Options August 18th, 2021, 04:26 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
Karen the Supertrader is back trading (She...

Karen the Supertrader is back trading (She sold/is selling ES options). Here is a 43 minute interview that was done June 5, 2021. She starts talking at the 7 minute mark.
...
Forum: Options August 17th, 2021, 01:00 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
I calculated selling two ES 2350 puts at ~3 delta...

I calculated selling two ES 2350 puts at ~3 delta and buying three ES 1950 puts at ~1 delta on Feb 23, 2020. Futures were 3225 that day. The worst day to put on the spread before the pandemic.

I...
Forum: Options August 12th, 2021, 04:25 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
She is a broker. She trades at several FCMs but I...

She is a broker. She trades at several FCMs but I use Gain Capital there.

https://decarleytrading.com/
Forum: Options August 12th, 2021, 04:10 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
I second this opinion.

I second this opinion.
Forum: Commodities July 6th, 2021, 09:07 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
Stick to your plan. Set a point to exit when you...

Stick to your plan. Set a point to exit when you enter the trade and don't exit until it hits that point.

On my seasonal trades I set a max loss of $4,000 each contract.
Forum: Commodities June 29th, 2021, 05:26 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
Margin increase is effective after close of...

Margin increase is effective after close of business on June 30. Or July 1.
Forum: Commodities June 14th, 2021, 03:47 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
US is exporting more LNG. Which contract?

US is exporting more LNG.

Which contract?
Forum: Commodities June 14th, 2021, 03:31 PM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,524
Posted By ron99
You shouldn't compare fall/winter NG futures...

You shouldn't compare fall/winter NG futures contracts' prices to summer NG contracts.

NG demand is higher in winter thus it will have higher prices than summer.
...
Forum: Options June 10th, 2021, 10:57 AM
Replies: 610
Sticky: PC-SPAN
Views: 191,425
Posted By ron99
https://go.cmegroup.com/webmail/502091/1002934459/...

https://go.cmegroup.com/webmail/502091/1002934459/394f7032988bc7df65d3fbf91dd8e1b741a9041364f5dd853dc6b17f66e5b477
Forum: Options April 27th, 2021, 02:32 PM
Replies: 1,598
Views: 283,738
Posted By ron99
I was just looking at that today. NGn 10 yr...

I was just looking at that today. NGn 10 yr seasonal average is to peak May 1st. But that is not really strong. A couple of years are skewing the average....
Forum: Options March 4th, 2021, 09:36 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
Check out the Excel program in the middle of this...

Check out the Excel program in the middle of this thread.

https://nexusfi.com/options/29125-pc-span.html
Forum: Options February 28th, 2021, 04:14 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
You are almost day trading. I have no experience...

You are almost day trading. I have no experience trading this way. So I have no opinion on this. Sorry I couldn't help.

Try paper trading it or back test it on different situations.
Forum: Options February 28th, 2021, 11:45 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
I found some of bib014 recent posts on Chatbox....

I found some of bib014 recent posts on Chatbox. Something he said was deleted.

The guy has been holding a grudge for 4 years now and can't let it go. His thread from 2017 is still up with...
Forum: Options February 28th, 2021, 10:39 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 1,999,036
Posted By ron99
Kevinkdog, in his deleted posts, didn't accuse me...

Kevinkdog, in his deleted posts, didn't accuse me of anything. He just posted my big losing trade without posting the winners that happened the same month. It gave a inaccurate picture of my trading...
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