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Search: Posts Made By: Paige
Forum: Psychology and Money Management February 5th, 2016, 11:53 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 7,803
Posted By Paige
Throughout this, my assumption has been that a...

Throughout this, my assumption has been that a trader would never factor in " any condition or conditions" that had proven to be unprofitable or served to invalidate, or in any way, skew a setup's...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management February 5th, 2016, 12:49 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 7,803
Posted By Paige
OK, let's try to make it very simple. If...

OK, let's try to make it very simple.

If you attempt to call (an unbiased) coin toss for $50 per toss -- your expectation is zero (or breakeven) over 1000 tosses. Win $25,000/Lose $25,000. ...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management February 3rd, 2016, 10:56 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 7,803
Posted By Paige
Is this thread for real? This reminds me of...

Is this thread for real? This reminds me of people I used to meet in Vegas who had the same notions. "If I get ahead this much..." or "If I win (or lose) this many hands in a row....." or "If I only...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management February 3rd, 2016, 01:37 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 7,803
Posted By Paige
Skip the fourth trade when the odds are against...

Skip the fourth trade when the odds are against you?

Well of course you should skip that 4th trade! And the 5th one as well. And most importantly, never take that dastardly & dangerous 6th trade....
Forum: Traders Hideout October 15th, 2015, 07:04 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 9,291
Posted By Paige
I agree 100% with Big Mikes advice. No sim. Just...

I agree 100% with Big Mikes advice. No sim. Just trade small. It doesn't take a (rocket) scientist to understand that if a strategy (or trader) is a loser at small stakes, it will only be exaggerated...
Forum: Trading Journals October 13th, 2015, 01:04 AM
Replies: 149
Views: 22,764
Posted By Paige
If you must fiddle with both ends (entries &...

If you must fiddle with both ends (entries & exits), still try to keep track of multiple targets for each --- to see which *exit* makes the most money. Fiddlin' with both ends can be time consuming...
Forum: Trading Journals October 7th, 2015, 12:07 AM
Replies: 149
Views: 22,764
Posted By Paige
Whether or not your Risk/Reward (chances, odds or...

Whether or not your Risk/Reward (chances, odds or whatever) has changed once you've have hit one (or more) of your targets is a debate for the ages --- but let's not go there :)

One suggestion...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management June 4th, 2015, 12:48 AM
Replies: 42
Views: 9,126
Posted By Paige
This sounds sort of like when I was younger and...

This sounds sort of like when I was younger and trying to have sex without losing my virginity. The "tighter" the stop, the less sex I was having. On the other hand, the more I held out (a bit) for...
Forum: Traders Hideout May 27th, 2015, 12:18 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 8,412
Posted By Paige
I mean.... Reeeeeally !! Yesterday, I was at...

I mean.... Reeeeeally !!

Yesterday, I was at a Memorial Day cookout and there was a city boy (I-Phone, BMW, etc) who fancied himself quite a foodie. The host had cooked an intact lamb in honor of...
Forum: Traders Hideout May 25th, 2015, 11:11 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 8,412
Posted By Paige
"Is this the stupidest, lamest thing you have...

"Is this the stupidest, lamest thing you have ever heard?"
_________________________________________________

Well, since you asked..........

Not quite. But it sure as hell comes close.
...
Forum: Commodities December 4th, 2014, 10:08 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 6,059
Posted By Paige
Mr. Underexposed, Does your philosophy stay...

Mr. Underexposed,

Does your philosophy stay the same regardless of whether you are really trading or simply fantasizing? I mean, considering that $100,000 is "trivial" money to you -- I assume...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management November 30th, 2014, 12:55 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 7,079
Posted By Paige
Below is a post I made to this forum a couple of...

Below is a post I made to this forum a couple of years ago. The disclaimer is that I do trade myself and enjoy it immensely. But I also attempt to see it for what it is -- and not what I wish it were...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management November 26th, 2014, 10:23 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 7,079
Posted By Paige
While it is quite easy to "money manage" your way...

While it is quite easy to "money manage" your way to "Broke" --- while betting with a positive expectation ----there is absolutely no way to "money manage" your way to long-term profitability if your...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management November 24th, 2014, 09:46 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 7,079
Posted By Paige
Below is a passage that I recently posted to...

Below is a passage that I recently posted to another thread. It should be lessons 1-100 on what to NEVER do in attempting to developing an "edge." It's like poison candy to starving children, for...
Forum: Trading Journals November 24th, 2014, 12:24 AM
Replies: 283
Views: 50,156
Posted By Paige
Another snippet from "Gambling Theory and Other...

Another snippet from "Gambling Theory and Other Topics" by Mason Malmuth.

"Any competent statistician will tell you that one should first form a hypothesis and then collect data to either...
Forum: Trading Journals November 3rd, 2014, 10:46 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 5,155
Posted By Paige
Can't help but be curious about your rules #1 &...

Can't help but be curious about your rules #1 & #2. Are you saying that you are willing to risk 1/2 of your total loss limit for this foray on a single trade? I assume I'm misunderstanding something...
Forum: Trading Journals October 19th, 2014, 10:18 PM
Replies: 283
Views: 50,156
Posted By Paige
"....but this is a symptom of trying to be...

"....but this is a symptom of trying to be exactly right about the timing....which I am almost never exactly right."...
Forum: Trading Journals September 19th, 2014, 12:29 AM
Replies: 263
Views: 40,629
Posted By Paige
Inconsiderate? I didn't say he actually did drive...

Inconsiderate? I didn't say he actually did drive one ! :unsure:

Come on now, Underexposed, let's not play the --- "I'm the person on the forum that can't take a joke that wasn't even directed at...
Forum: Trading Journals September 18th, 2014, 12:24 AM
Replies: 263
Views: 40,629
Posted By Paige
I'm startled that no one has made a derogatory...

I'm startled that no one has made a derogatory comment about guys who drive Porsche's --- yet :girl_wacko:

Peace,
Paige
Forum: Trading Journals August 27th, 2014, 11:36 PM
Replies: 263
Views: 40,629
Posted By Paige
"If I lost my OWN money, that's not really such a...

"If I lost my OWN money, that's not really such a big problem. But if I borrowed money and lost THEIR money, too,
well, THAT would be a problem."
...
Forum: Trading Journals August 7th, 2014, 11:26 PM
Replies: 263
Views: 40,629
Posted By Paige
..Careful what you ask for..... Peace, ...

..Careful what you ask for.....

Peace,
Paige
Forum: Traders Hideout November 20th, 2012, 10:48 PM
Replies: 82
Views: 42,642
Posted By Paige
Two observations on this thread..... 1....

Two observations on this thread.....

1. Quite pathetic --- but predicatble --- the entire (futures.io (formerly BMT)) group charges to defend of their leader, commrade and authority figure. ...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 19th, 2012, 11:52 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 37,720
Posted By Paige
This is a very interesting debate and I do...

This is a very interesting debate and I do understand and respect your points very much.

If I told you that the SPX is up an average of 0.50 % on 75% of the days after --- it's rained in Kenosha,...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 18th, 2012, 12:58 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 37,720
Posted By Paige
Any time the outcome of an event or endevour is...

Any time the outcome of an event or endevour is not assured -- it constitutes a potential gambling experience.

There is virtually no activity that humans participate in that doesn't carry some...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 14th, 2012, 01:47 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 37,720
Posted By Paige
Yes, but you have to understand that the fact...

Yes, but you have to understand that the fact that you can point to successful traders is not an indication that it is a feasible pursuit.

If enough people attempt something --- there will always...
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