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Showing results 1 to 25 of 153
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Posts Made By:
centaurer
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 18th, 2019, 10:55 AM
Replies:
528
VWAP for stock index futures trading?
Views:
197,296
Posted By
centaurer
Sorry, I actually like understanding the tools I...
Sorry, I actually like understanding the tools I use that I bet my capital with.
Most people here seem to be content with slapping each other on the ass and saying "it is all order flow" and...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2019, 07:25 AM
Replies:
7
Are trading/investing/management books as effective today as they were back in time ?
Views:
1,099
Posted By
centaurer
You could almost make a markets degree with how...
You could almost make a markets degree with how much stuff there is.
Aswath Damodaran's youtube channel and classes will give you the tools to value any financial asset.
I took Robert Shiller's...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2019, 07:01 AM
Replies:
3
Inside the house of the New New New Market Wizards
Views:
888
Posted By
centaurer
#3 I can't really find much on these guys. ...
#3 I can't really find much on these guys.
#4 James Simons - Renaissance Technologies
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6c7ce0_utKA
Simons is kind of a lame interview. I feel like everyone else...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 17th, 2019, 08:55 PM
Replies:
528
VWAP for stock index futures trading?
Views:
197,296
Posted By
centaurer
Algorithmic volume is estimated at 75% world wide...
Algorithmic volume is estimated at 75% world wide volume and 80% of US market volume.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4230982-algo-trading-dominates-80-percent-stock-market
I would think it...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 17th, 2019, 07:18 AM
Replies:
528
VWAP for stock index futures trading?
Views:
197,296
Posted By
centaurer
I have had great confusion though about how it is...
I have had great confusion though about how it is used. Johnnyboy I think clears it up though with this
"given a time interval, ...VWAP is a price which is an unbiased estimate of prices that could...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 16th, 2019, 09:51 PM
Replies:
528
VWAP for stock index futures trading?
Views:
197,296
Posted By
centaurer
I was just trying to read up on all this stuff. ...
I was just trying to read up on all this stuff.
I just mean the idea that there are human traders being evaluated on executing above or below VWAP is outdated. I feel like that gives new traders...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 16th, 2019, 07:44 PM
Replies:
528
VWAP for stock index futures trading?
Views:
197,296
Posted By
centaurer
I have personally never found much use for it...
I have personally never found much use for it because it is so dependent on when you start it and for how long it has been running.
Large hedge funds in 2019, spending millions a year on...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 15th, 2019, 07:23 PM
Replies:
3
Inside the house of the New New New Market Wizards
Views:
888
Posted By
centaurer
#1 - Skip...so much Ray Dalio stuff already. ...
#1 - Skip...so much Ray Dalio stuff already.
#2 - Cliff Asness - AQR Capital founder
Net worth US$3.1 billion (March 2019)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXcx2Zn_Ouc&t=333s
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 15th, 2019, 07:20 PM
Replies:
3
Inside the house of the New New New Market Wizards
Views:
888
Posted By
centaurer
Inside the house of the New New New Market Wizards
Youtube recommended me a Cliff Asness video a few weeks ago and I didn't even know who he was but I loved it. I realize youtube blows away the Market Wizards/Inside the House of Money type book at...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 15th, 2019, 06:55 PM
Replies:
9
Will large trades in ES impact SPY and composite stocks?
Views:
2,032
Posted By
centaurer
You have to think about how much the big hedge...
You have to think about how much the big hedge funds are running. AQR has 80 billion, Renaissance has 50.There are thousands of other hedge funds also with millions to run. You can't think in terms...
Forum:
Options
May 15th, 2019, 06:04 PM
Replies:
6
Currency Options & Currency Carry?
Views:
2,495
Posted By
centaurer
I am not sure how to put on the carry trade as...
I am not sure how to put on the carry trade as mentioned but my immediate reaction after reading that tweet is to buy puts or get long volatility.
I would just suspect only an overly crowded...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 15th, 2019, 07:40 AM
Replies:
43
We Need a new subforum...
Views:
7,713
Posted By
centaurer
I am sure that works(especially given the last...
I am sure that works(especially given the last decades data) because it is basically a large % drop over a short period of time feature.
You could just calculate that directly though as a...
Forum:
Off-Topic
May 14th, 2019, 08:42 PM
Replies:
3,146
Songs of the day
Views:
434,294
Posted By
centaurer
The slow part of Steve Reich's Double Sextet owns...
The slow part of Steve Reich's Double Sextet owns me completely
https://youtu.be/Rplf-6kpLqQ?t=502
Forum:
Off-Topic
May 14th, 2019, 08:40 PM
Replies:
3,146
Songs of the day
Views:
434,294
Posted By
centaurer
That melody ...
That melody
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_YHE4Sx-08
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 14th, 2019, 07:57 PM
Replies:
20
real world stops and risk reward ratio.
Views:
5,180
Posted By
centaurer
This is the best thread I have ever found on...
This is the best thread I have ever found on stops. Every time I read it I found something new and interesting (keep in mind Nuclear Phynance sorts the thread backwards for some annoying reason)...
Forum:
Off-Topic
May 13th, 2019, 07:37 PM
Replies:
270
Privacy in the digital age
Views:
46,639
Posted By
centaurer
The bigger problem IMO is we take it as a given...
The bigger problem IMO is we take it as a given whatever advances we get from the current system.
I just read our local mall here use to have 9 book stores in it. There was that much more...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 13th, 2019, 07:17 PM
Replies:
527
Sticky:
Some highly recommended books
Views:
344,314
Posted By
centaurer
IMO part of the hurdle is Marcos econometrics...
IMO part of the hurdle is Marcos econometrics background. The machine learning stuff you can learn on fast.ai.
I think the Fractionally Differentiated Features chapter is a good example. If you...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 13th, 2019, 06:25 PM
Replies:
43
We Need a new subforum...
Views:
7,713
Posted By
centaurer
We can just stop there and say yes. In general...
We can just stop there and say yes.
In general we don't call useful things technical indicators anymore IMO.
RSI and CCI maybe had value in 1980 when you had to plot them out with graph paper and...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 13th, 2019, 07:36 AM
Replies:
7
Are trading/investing/management books as effective today as they were back in time ?
Views:
1,099
Posted By
centaurer
Keep in mind the Market Wizard books are from the...
Keep in mind the Market Wizard books are from the early 90s. When they say something use to trend they mean in the early 80s on back.
I have heard Jim Simons say something along the same lines that...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 12th, 2019, 07:28 AM
Replies:
40
Pairs trading
Views:
12,805
Posted By
centaurer
Global Macro is a good strategy if you have a...
Global Macro is a good strategy if you have a youtube channel because you can generate a ton of content without being provably wrong on anything.
IMO that is totally absurd advice for an under...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 11th, 2019, 04:20 PM
Replies:
16
Breakeven Stops: At Entry or 1-2 Tic Profit?
Views:
3,305
Posted By
centaurer
There is all kinds of strange historic artifacts...
There is all kinds of strange historic artifacts IMO. Why does every charting package default to different color up and down bars even though absolutely no one uses that information for anything?...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 11th, 2019, 04:03 PM
Replies:
16
Breakeven Stops: At Entry or 1-2 Tic Profit?
Views:
3,305
Posted By
centaurer
haha yea getting way off topic but it is...
haha yea getting way off topic but it is interesting.
I think many people believe that but I am just not sure it is correct. The distribution of trades for entry on ES at 10:06am 3 seconds and 125...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 11th, 2019, 07:33 AM
Replies:
16
Breakeven Stops: At Entry or 1-2 Tic Profit?
Views:
3,305
Posted By
centaurer
But this formula (Win% x Avg Win) - (Loss% * Avg...
But this formula (Win% x Avg Win) - (Loss% * Avg Loss) is highly flawed for the statistical properties of trades. This makes sense on an IID process that there is only one win/loss %. Then with an...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 11th, 2019, 07:10 AM
Replies:
40
Pairs trading
Views:
12,805
Posted By
centaurer
I guess I mean a strategic reason as opposed to a...
I guess I mean a strategic reason as opposed to a predetermined desire.
My limited understanding of pairs trading is you should have some kind of scan to find pairs that are cointegrated. If the...
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
May 10th, 2019, 07:43 AM
Replies:
40
Pairs trading
Views:
12,805
Posted By
centaurer
Lets not forget too that the DOW is a subset of...
Lets not forget too that the DOW is a subset of the S&P 500. If you short the DOW and long the S&P you are betting on the DOW stocks in the S&P being over valued relative to all the other stocks in...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 153
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