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Showing results 1 to 25 of 89
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Posts Made By:
semiopen
Forum:
Emini and Emicro Index
August 25th, 2022, 10:10 AM
Replies:
48
Does anyone trade without charts?
Views:
8,986
Posted By
semiopen
I have tested this quite a bit and tend to agree...
I have tested this quite a bit and tend to agree with Blackgrey45. Showing this is true is one of the few things commercial trading software is good for. I'd definitely be interested in a coherent...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
November 22nd, 2020, 03:42 PM
Replies:
2
Statistics of GAPPING stocks
Views:
1,566
Posted By
semiopen
I set up some studies dealing with that recently...
I set up some studies dealing with that recently using Excel VBA.
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=306712
The table shows natural log returns YTD for 6 ETFs.
CC = close to...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
August 31st, 2020, 01:50 PM
Replies:
0
3x Fangdango
Views:
1,530
Posted By
semiopen
3x Fangdango
We Skipped the 3x Fangdango (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4371358-skipped-3x-fangdango)
Latest SeekingAlpha article.
Describes a strategy called 3xWushu, buy 3x bulls in favorable...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
August 12th, 2020, 08:05 AM
Replies:
4
Help tracking down catalysts for the ES
Views:
2,048
Posted By
semiopen
My guess is that volatility is unpredictable. ...
My guess is that volatility is unpredictable. Two dimensional analysis which the industry likes because it is simple, cannot be taken very seriously as a tool capable of dealing with this.
The...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
August 12th, 2020, 07:53 AM
Replies:
1
Turn $1 Into $2500 In 10 Years
Views:
1,297
Posted By
semiopen
Turn $1 Into $2500 In 10 Years
My latest article on SeekingAlpha -
Turn $1 Into $2500 In 10 Years With 3x Bulls (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4367558-turn-1-2500-in-10-years-3x-bulls)
In addition to the strategy, etc....
Forum:
Traders Hideout
July 21st, 2020, 12:05 PM
Replies:
2
New Automatic Trend Following Article
Views:
1,374
Posted By
semiopen
Trend following activated on 4/15/20. It was not...
Trend following activated on 4/15/20. It was not active in January and February 2020 FWIW.
I post daily signals and brief commentary on my website.
Forum:
Traders Hideout
July 21st, 2020, 09:47 AM
Replies:
2
New Automatic Trend Following Article
Views:
1,374
Posted By
semiopen
New Automatic Trend Following Article
Adjusting Strategies For Underlying Market Conditions (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4359334-adjusting-strategies-for-underlying-market-conditions)
The article shows how trend following more...
Forum:
Stocks and ETFs
June 3rd, 2020, 02:36 PM
Replies:
8
2x and 3x stocks
Views:
2,207
Posted By
semiopen
This is a second article: Market Timing 3x Bull...
This is a second article: Market Timing 3x Bull ETFs (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4351733-market-timing-3x-bull-etfs)
Pretty much doubles your money every year, sort of a joke the SEC made...
Forum:
Stocks and ETFs
May 29th, 2020, 06:43 PM
Replies:
8
2x and 3x stocks
Views:
2,207
Posted By
semiopen
I just posted an article on 3x bull etfs on...
I just posted an article on 3x bull etfs on seekingalpha - The Big Money in Leveraged 3x ETFs (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4350922-big-money-in-leveraged-3x-etfs)
Already planing a followup....
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 20th, 2020, 09:11 AM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
I've been in the game since 1980 when I started...
I've been in the game since 1980 when I started to work on Wall Street. You're just taking a comment I made about my motivation and ludicrously misinterpretting it to imply I don't know what I'm...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 20th, 2020, 07:57 AM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Still looking for a someone else to post data. ...
Still looking for a someone else to post data. I'll be humble when I see how the people play strategies for a living. More than a few posts on here seem to be from people who are drunk.
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 19th, 2020, 06:03 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
(Open + High + Low + Close + Close) * .2 -...
(Open + High + Low + Close + Close) * .2 - Dividing by 5 is impolite, much tougher for the computer than multiplication. I've used that for 20 years, it makes no important difference in the strategy...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 19th, 2020, 03:46 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Thanks for that. Sorry the other link didn't...
Thanks for that.
Sorry the other link didn't open. The simplest way to find it is to search foxforce5. Two articles should come up.
Regarding your criticisms, at least some are debatable...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 19th, 2020, 01:23 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
I understand, my former strategy experience got...
I understand, my former strategy experience got results that say, sort of worked on IBM but failed badly on HPQ for example. That would be OK if that was the best one could do; that's as good as...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 19th, 2020, 07:37 AM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Maybe that is the problem. That is not a list of...
Maybe that is the problem. That is not a list of trades it is a summary of trades. A trade is not a good construction because it just clumps consecutive days holding a position together. These are...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2020, 04:10 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Anybody here like Tech? How is this for the...
Anybody here like Tech?
How is this for the last 400 days? Exactly the same parameters as health care, 191 days in the market out of 400, beats buy and hold by a factor of almost 3. Nothing to...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2020, 02:25 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Here is an example, using big Health Care stocks....
Here is an example, using big Health Care stocks.
The current buy and hold return is LogRet. TotRet is the strategies return. Notice the strategy beats all of the buy and hold and shows a nice...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2020, 02:08 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
I know NinjaTrader somewhat, don't think that is...
I know NinjaTrader somewhat, don't think that is any different design wise... a bell, a whistle there. Log return isn't the only issue.
I think the multiple security issue is the easiest way...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2020, 10:32 AM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
I haven't seen it anywhere. I know tradestation...
I haven't seen it anywhere. I know tradestation quite well and they produce a trade list. You can also only analyze one security at a time. If a strategy works on one equity it should probably...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 18th, 2020, 08:58 AM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Almost nobody uses natural log returns, I didn't...
Almost nobody uses natural log returns, I didn't either until the middle of last year and I've been doing this kind of work for many decades - first strategy in the early 80s plus a lot of studying...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 17th, 2020, 10:56 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
The major problem with commercial strategies is...
The major problem with commercial strategies is that they do not use natural log returns. If you don't use those there is no hope, at least for the stuff I do.
Backtesting is a big issue because...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 17th, 2020, 07:38 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Just submitted my article. I work on...
Just submitted my article.
I work on objective data not opinions. It gets into pretty advanced data science but I'm a practitioner as opposed to theoretician.
In my article I recommend...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 17th, 2020, 02:12 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Yeah, that is a better explanation of what I was...
Yeah, that is a better explanation of what I was trying to express.
I'm writing a new article on Specter/FF5 on seekingalpha. Turns out it beats buy and hold for about 30 years being in the...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 17th, 2020, 08:16 AM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
Yes, you're right. I responded to the...
Yes, you're right.
I responded to the original post despite it's rather incoherent original paragraph. The second paragraph (I think) said that moving averages cannot be used effectively and that...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
May 15th, 2020, 09:45 PM
Replies:
47
The term "technical analysis" has become useless!
Views:
11,132
Posted By
semiopen
I guess you have to be born into being a...
I guess you have to be born into being a leveraged trader, because I haven't seen a real coherent explanation of what is going on with that. Personally I can't stand risk, thats why I do research. ...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 89
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