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How advanced mathematics and gaming theory can help you as a trader
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How advanced mathematics and gaming theory can help you as a trader

  #201 (permalink)
Elite Member
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jonc View Post
Hi guys,

Is there a single factor/ratio which take into account of both Risk/Reward and probability?

Yes, the expectancy takes into account the R-Multiple (ratio winning to losing trade) and the winning probability.

So does the Kelly Formula.

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The following user says Thank You to Fat Tails for this post:
  #202 (permalink)
Elite Member
Spartanburg, SC, US
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader, MT4
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I'm interested in your initial idea, but there has also been lots of thought provoking commentary. Perhaps this is a naive question, but why has no one made a strategy to test the initial theory? It seems like it could settle some of the disagreements if you run it on multiple instruments/years. I tried to make one myself, but got stumped on a few aspects (beginner to NT7).

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  #203 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
beijing china
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no right judge no money, all the money you get is from those parallel worlds where you lose

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  #204 (permalink)
Elite Member
sydney + NSW/australia
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: cqg
Favorite Futures: dax
Posts: 3 since Dec 2015
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art or science

if we could have less on the losers and more on the winners we would have more money to spend at Christmas.

How are you going to make this happen?

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