This post has been selected as an answer to the original posters question
I would say 5 to7 trades a day on the ES make sense more than that this is overtrading but it is possible. One thing that makes a difference is your time horizon. I presently work with a 12 ticks/bar interval. This way i avoid the ping pong game that can take place within such a range.
It will really depend on your method. But I agree with @Fat Tails for the most part, >10 trades per day on a single instrument for most retail traders is overtrading. One single trade could of course be any lot size and have multiple entry and exit points.
I try to be done with my day with 3-4 trades, but sometimes it is 1 and I am happy, sometimes it is 10 and I am still not happy.
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Thank-you all for your feedback. I do appreciate it and sharing your individual experience.
This question arose in my mind from the following scenario:
A person had posed that they were unsure of using a trailing stop and that it often cost them a point.
I asked what sort of target they usually had - ans: about 3pts.
(I only trade for a 6 point profit potential - minimum - and I have noticed from chat rooms and forums that many traders are only trying for 1 to 1.5pts for their trading style).
Combined with this,was a quoted stat given at the beginning of a webinar from an instructor that 91.3% of new traders blowout their account in the first 3 months.
Usually you will lose the spread on the entry and exit (0.25 in and 0.25 out) or 0.50 of a point per round trip. When scalpers are looking at a chart and the range in the last 30 minutes is say 3 pts, they are aiming to enter close to the bottom and exit close to the top so 2.5pts of the 3pts. When you realize "the house" is taking 0.50 of the 2.50 "potential" you might see on the chart, or 20%, you have some serious odds against you.
So I Googled on the net trying to find the average number of trades - thinking there might be an industry stat on it -though no luck. (Lots of adds for make $1000 to $5,000 a day traing the ES though! LOL)
So if anyone finds a stat on the net that would be great
As a somewhat related question:
If experienced day-traders (more than 2 years of full time trading) were to have a contest (for fun) with the following rules and trading on their sim account:
You must post your intended entry price prior to the trade and the stop you are using,
You must use a stop which cannot exceed 5pts,
You must post your targeted exit once in the trade -(you can a fixed amount if that is your style), They can change their exit from the intended target but they post the change
You must post your fills within (60 sec?) e.g "filled on 1 at 1234."
You cannot trade more than 3 eminis at any one time,
If your drawdown during the contest exceeds $2,500 you are limited to 2 contracts, and if it exceeds $5,000 you are limited to 1 contract - if it exceeds $7,500 you are out.
All trades must be opened and closed in RTH (8:30 - 15:15 CT) - if you don't close out your trade you are closed and the closing price for the day.
I wonder what they could achieve on average per day over say a one month contest, in pts per day?
Last edited by aquarian1; December 17th, 2010 at 09:21 PM.
Reason: typo & updated a rule of the contest
right now i am on sim and i have purposefully decided to "overtrade" ie whenever i see a potential setup i jump in -- the reasoning behind this is that at the end of the day i examine each and every trade to see why it was or was not a good trade - so that hopefully in live conditions i will be able to recognise bad trade from good trade more readily
Tks for your input. I would interested in finding out how your experiment works out.
How many trades are you taking per day?
Are you entering with limit orders or market orders?
Are you trading 1 contract at a time?
Do you use stops?
Do you set a target - that is do you mentally say to yourself "it's at 1134 I think its going to 1137.5 so I'll sell at 1137.25? If, so do you enter your exit as a limit order right right after getting filled on your entry?
Do you have a written set of setup rules/conditions?