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hmmmm, something doesn't sound right


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hmmmm, something doesn't sound right

  #11 (permalink)
 
Fonz's Avatar
 Fonz 
Miami, Fl
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Tradestation, Jigsaw
Trading: Futures
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WoodyFox View Post
With all do respect...this is so not true. Although most traders do believe this.

"I can't do it , so it must not be true"

Don't get me wrong, the process does come with its own issues...but the profits way out weigh the drawdowns.

No problem, just different thoughts

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  #12 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
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WoodyFox View Post
@goodoboy

Yes I use NT8 and others.

I have found many edges in several markets using many different approaches. (Swing, Intraday, Trend, Mean Reversion, etc.)

I'm addicted to finding them...Its this obsession and not the money that caused me to make the turn in trading.

And no I won't share them. (I realize you did not ask, but for others that may read this)

If you can't find them yourself, you will always be trying to copy from others.

Thank you WoodyFox.

I LOVE your post. It is the best post I ever read on a trading forum. Someone who is serious about finding edges and ONLY encouraging traders to find them.

No, I will never ask someone for their hard work for sharing their edge with me. No sir.

And no, I will not be copying someone else.

Thank you. Your post gives me lots of confidence.

I will never again trade again without a proven edge in backtest. Never. Ever. Period.

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  #13 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
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Fonz View Post
At least, coding and automate a strategy will give you a sort of confidence.

Perhaps, looking for part of the solution to help us to create our own solution, could be the approach that we should have.

Thank you Fonz,

I enjoy reading your comments. Thank you.

I like the two sentences you stated.

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  #14 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
Posts: 380 since Dec 2016
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WoodyFox View Post
With all do respect...this is so not true. Although most traders do believe this.

"I can't do it , so it must not be true"

Don't get me wrong, the process does come with its own issues...but the profits way out weigh the drawdowns.

Morning WoodyFox,

Do you see how you stated "With all do respect...this is so not true."? Do you know how you can make this claim more believable? Post equity curve of your finding to prove Fonz wrong so you help Fonz realize, yes edges in algo day trading do exist if look and try hard enough. By you doing this you help me and you help other traders reading this thread and provide that confidence to beginner traders or traders in the struggle curve of their journey. This is the reason I do not post on forums, because in my professional opinion, I can not prove anything at this point, so it makes no sense to provide statements or advice to someone unless I have the evidence to prove and debate someone.

So please help other futures traders reading this post and prove your case by showing an equity curve of some edges you find? Your knowledge can make someone day happy.

We all need to start backing up what we say to make a better trading experience for everyone.

I will go first.

Here some curve and stats of an intraday automated system I am working on now. It looks profitable to me and have the edge. I need to run in SIM mode now to make sure backtest not lie to me.

prrof 2


proof 1

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  #15 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
Posts: 380 since Dec 2016
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goodoboy View Post
Morning WoodyFox,

Do you see how you stated "With all do respect...this is so not true."? Do you know how you can make this claim more believable? Post equity curve of your finding to prove Fonz wrong so you help Fonz realize, yes edges in algo day trading do exist if look and try hard enough. By you doing this you help me and you help other traders reading this thread and provide that confidence to beginner traders or traders in the struggle curve of their journey. This is the reason I do not post on forums, because in my professional opinion, I can not prove anything at this point, so it makes no sense to provide statements or advice to someone unless I have the evidence to prove and debate someone.

So please help other futures traders reading this post and prove your case by showing an equity curve of some edges you find? Your knowledge can make someone day happy.

We all need to start backing up what we say to make a better trading experience for everyone.

I will go first.

Here some curve and stats of an intraday automated system I am working on now. It looks profitable to me and have the edge. I need to run in SIM mode now to make sure backtest not lie to me.

prrof 2


proof 1

Hello all,

I made a mistakes with my algo back testing. Please ignore the curve and stats above, they are misleading and false. I will explain the error and show the true stats shortly.

Again, those stats are false and I can not edit the post any more and certainly do not want to mislead anyone with false equity curve and back test results.

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  #16 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
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Don't fetch too far!

Hi @goodoboy
I can feel your travel as this is a search for everyone to find an "edge".
That can not be bought by a book or paying for lengthy and expensive courses.

Just find your own path here on fio!
This is to be found in the JOURNAL section.

You can find a perfect base of journals but some of them are live and this for free! You can watch the trader showing his preparation, announces his trade with entry and exit (level or time based) and you can see the trade start, the development and finally the exit of that trade. Finally the result are to be found in the journal with the process of every positive and of course as well the negative results.
You just need to follow the live trading in the journals. Some with actual charts as well. No need for a better proof - as you can it see live.
I know of at least 3 journals that offer such nearly every day.

My approach: No course - no books - just self learning. Building pattern based systems - some easy to program - some not programmable. The main thing is: Forget about back testing. The markets are changing every quarter, every year. You can not find an edge by such tests. Just my opinion.

To the end: Don't give up!

GFIs1

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  #17 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
Posts: 380 since Dec 2016
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goodoboy View Post
Hello all,

I made a mistakes with my algo back testing. Please ignore the curve and stats above, they are misleading and false. I will explain the error and show the true stats shortly.

Again, those stats are false and I can not edit the post any more and certainly do not want to mislead anyone with false equity curve and back test results.

After adding slippage, the algo has no edge and is complete failure. Thank you @kevinkdog

Lesson learned add slippage.
added slippage

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  #18 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
Posts: 380 since Dec 2016
Thanks Given: 344
Thanks Received: 246


GFIs1 View Post
Don't fetch too far!

Hi @goodoboy
I can feel your travel as this is a search for everyone to find an "edge".
That can not be bought by a book or paying for lengthy and expensive courses.

Just find your own path here on fio!
This is to be found in the JOURNAL section.

You can find a perfect base of journals but some of them are live and this for free! You can watch the trader showing his preparation, announces his trade with entry and exit (level or time based) and you can see the trade start, the development and finally the exit of that trade. Finally the result are to be found in the journal with the process of every positive and of course as well the negative results.
You just need to follow the live trading in the journals. Some with actual charts as well. No need for a better proof - as you can it see live.
I know of at least 3 journals that offer such nearly every day.

My approach: No course - no books - just self learning. Building pattern based systems - some easy to program - some not programmable. The main thing is: Forget about back testing. The markets are changing every quarter, every year. You can not find an edge by such tests. Just my opinion.

To the end: Don't give up!

GFIs1

Thank you for the response and conversation.

I am not too sure about the section in red. That is a very bold statement.

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  #19 (permalink)
goodoboy
Houston
 
Posts: 380 since Dec 2016
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WoodyFox View Post
@goodoboy

Yes always include your commissions. I will post some example strategy stats soon...I just been really busy. I'm also thinking of a good way to post a strategy I use without giving to much away. An equity curve by itself is not much proof a strategy works. Just look at your example.

Also, I see you thanked Kevindog and he has not posted in this thread. Although he has a proven track record and I agree with a lot of what he does. You don't need a $3,000 class to teach you how to build a strategy. Vendor's like to lurk in the background and PM traders to earn trust and then sell you things. Been there, done that Sorry Kevindog, nothing against you, just looking out for goodoboy.

Of course that its your business and education goodoboy, so do as do.

I did notice he thanked a post and then pulled it. Classic cover your tracks.

I will post more soon.

Thanks for the review woodyfox and I appreciate it fully.

Yes, I was pretty down over the weekend due this I learned. My trading idea have no edge. But I did not lose money, just lose time. I am glad I let algo run in SIM and saw the discrepancies.

Yes, an algo with equity curve display is not proof. Right now, I can show a perfect equity curve in NT by doing some tricks. This is why SIM performance or broker statements from the algo for 6 months to 1 year is the only proof and validation of true edge.

Once I get an algo running live, I will post on the forum 1 year broker statement from my algo(s). I will post back test equity curve, sim tracked curve, and live results curve so I can show off I found the edge in the markets. This is what everyone on the forum should be showing and then advising traders how to get better.

You do the same here woody, just post your back test equity curve and live real money broker statement of the algo so you prove intraday systems do exist.

I do not have any comments on rather or not a course is needed for me. I do not know.

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  #20 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,935 since Feb 2012
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goodoboy View Post
Thanks for the review woodyfox and I appreciate it fully...
You do the same here woody, just post your back test equity curve and live real money broker statement of the algo so you prove intraday systems do exist.

This is not the platform here to exchange "proof "via broker statements.
What we like to see is real time trading if you can. No hindsight results or curve fitting back tests.
Trading is not winning with every trade. But not to lose control of the money you had put in first.

Start here your own JOURNAL even SIM now and show the followers what you are doing live. With this you will learn fast and you will get support.

Point.

GFIs1

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