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Possible to curve fit a system on huge number of trades?
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Possible to curve fit a system on huge number of trades?

  #1 (permalink)
Paris + France
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: Amibroker
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 33 since Feb 2014
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Possible to curve fit a system on huge number of trades?

Hello
is it possible to curve fit in sample optimization but on huge number of (intraday) trades?
Over 2000 trades.

I understand the danger of over optimization curve fit on relatively small number of backtest optimized trades (around 100...) but was wandering if much larger number of trades reduces this possibility.

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  #2 (permalink)
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  #3 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
Houston, TX
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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I think you'll find it's possible to curve fit anything.

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  #4 (permalink)
Antwerp
 
 
Posts: 414 since Jun 2016
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I think that time is more important than number of trades.
2000 trades in a month means nothing. 2000 trades over 10 years is much more useful.

Why? Markets change over time so you need information from a lot of different market circumstances.

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