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When to stop (for the day)?


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When to stop (for the day)?

  #1 (permalink)
 madankumars 
NEW YORK
 
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I am having trouble calling "done for the day".

There have been many instances where I made decent money during the day only to lose it all in the afternoon. I don't know when to stop.

Should I have a target profit for the day... hmm that will probably only make it worse..

Any ideas?







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  #2 (permalink)
 MacroNinja 
Buenos Aires Argentina
 
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If you can quantify if you still have an valid edge in the market, then keep trading until that edge disappears.

If you can't quantify that edge yet, then maybe just call it a day when you hit an arbitrary number.

However, I highly encourage you to pursue the first option since if you call it quits because you simply hit a random number instead of maximizing profits, then could ruin a positive expected outcome in the end. e.g. let's say when you're supposed to win, you're supposed to hit home runs, but instead of taking the home run, you settle for a single with a bunt. Over the long run, that could mean you lose the game by not scoring enough points.

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 SMCJB 
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MacroNinja View Post
If you can quantify if you still have an valid edge in the market, then keep trading until that edge disappears.

If you can't quantify that edge yet, then maybe just call it a day when you hit an arbitrary number.

However, I highly encourage you to pursue the first option since if you call it quits because you simply hit a random number instead of maximizing profits, then could ruin a positive expected outcome in the end. e.g. let's say when you're supposed to win, you're supposed to hit home runs, but instead of taking the home run, you settle for a single with a bunt. Over the long run, that could mean you lose the game by not scoring enough points.

If you can quantify if you still have an valid edge in the market, then keep trading until that edge disappears.

If you can't quantify that edge yet, then you shouldn't be trading yet.

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  #4 (permalink)
thetamax8
Vancouver, BC
 
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The losing trades in the afternoon; were they "good" trades...meaning, they met your trade plan and criteria? Or were they not disciplined trades?

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  #5 (permalink)
 madankumars 
NEW YORK
 
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Thank you for all the responses. My entry criteria is always the same. It's just that it works well in the morning session but not in the afternoon sessin after 12 noon Eastern. I primarily trade NQ and GC. Of course days that have afternoon news releases like FOMC don't count.

I just wanted to find out if anyone else is having similar experience in the afternoon session.... Or if probably afternoon session is not a good time to enter.

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  #6 (permalink)
 MacroNinja 
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SMCJB View Post
If you can quantify if you still have an valid edge in the market, then keep trading until that edge disappears.

If you can't quantify that edge yet, then you shouldn't be trading yet.

Yes, that's probably the more correct advice....but usually when I tell people that I get this....

Cheers.

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  #7 (permalink)
bradhouser
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madankumars View Post
I am having trouble calling "done for the day".

There have been many instances where I made decent money during the day only to lose it all in the afternoon. I don't know when to stop.

Should I have a target profit for the day... hmm that will probably only make it worse..

Any ideas?



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If you have a goal for the day, stop when you make the goal. You don't want to give it back in the afternoon.


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  #8 (permalink)
 
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 deaddog 
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madankumars View Post
Thank you for all the responses. My entry criteria is always the same. It's just that it works well in the morning session but not in the afternoon sessin after 12 noon Eastern. I primarily trade NQ and GC. Of course days that have afternoon news releases like FOMC don't count.

I just wanted to find out if anyone else is having similar experience in the afternoon session.... Or if probably afternoon session is not a good time to enter.

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Seems simple to me. Stop trading at 12:00 noon Eastern

"The days when I keep my gratitude higher than my expectations, I have really good days" RW Hubbard
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  #9 (permalink)
 TraderSusan 
Chicago, IL/USA
 
Posts: 12 since Nov 2016

You might get Tradervue or other charting program to see your P/L .vs TOD. TOD is a factor. Most activity happens around the open. Also you might get tired later in the day and it affect your trading.

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  #10 (permalink)
 
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 Tymbeline 
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madankumars View Post
it works well in the morning session but not in the afternoon sessin after 12 noon Eastern.


Then it's presumably volume-related, and does better when volumes are higher (which perhaps wouldn't be a surprise)?

So possibly one of the criteria constituting your edge is that volume must be reasonably high.

Have you thought about experimenting with trading it from constant-volume bars rather than from timed bars, or possibly trying to compensate for that by trading it on slower-moving charts in the afternoons, when volumes are lower?

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