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Time to Give Up
Started: by Big Mike Views / Replies:59,113 / 429
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Time to Give Up

  #271 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
san antonio, tex
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: oec
Favorite Futures: lean hogs
 
Posts: 63 since Nov 2014
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"Optimize everything you can. The place you trade from, your charts, everything you have an influence on and what does have an influence on you. Make yourself aware of the things you can change to optimize and the things you cant."

Larry Williams in "Long term secrets to short term trading" says to beware of over optimization. Over optimization is like having a pure breed pedigree dog. Generally they are snippy and short.

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  #272 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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amttrader View Post
Any suggestions as to where I need to get started?

Some good advice is given already eg. by @cory and @paps.
But paper trading is not real money trading. Pulling the trigger is much different.
Read the psychology threads here in detail and start with a low budget investment
on your preferred instrument. See the results of your trades on the real money side
and compare it with the paper results you had in the past.

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #273 (permalink)
Risk--->0 $--->∞
Chicago, IL
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: NinjaTrader, TWS, FXCM's
Broker/Data: InteractiveBrokers, NinjaTrader Brokerage FXCM, IQFeed
Favorite Futures: ZF, ZN, ZB, ES, FX pairs
 
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amttrader View Post
After perusing some of the posts in here, I'm not even sure I have any business being here at all. I'm brand new, lost, and only working on a demo with a friend right now trading futures only. Been doing okay so far, but I'm sure things will change when real money is involved.

I need to find some really elementary stuff in this forum to just get myself rolling along. I'm a quick study, but I need the information fed from a straw rather than a firehose at first. Any suggestions as to where I need to get started?

Start with these guys please.....

Mark Douglas (may he R.I.P)

Beliefs Management Institute inc. - with Paula T. Webb & Mark Douglas his website now run by his wife/widow.

His Amazon page

Also Van Tharp

and also his Amazon page

his website...

These two Mark and Van if you study them will put you well on the way to developing a probability trader mind set. This is counter intuitive to the way we human, by in large, think with very few exceptions. A trading system should be close to the last thing a new trader worries about works on and spends their valuable time on. Wish I would of asked the questions you are asking here when I was starting out. Maybe I would of not blow thru/lost the $50k+ I did...lol.

Train one's self to take your edge (please don't right now worry/work on just what that market edge is at this stage in your evolution as a trader) with your emotions under control and use your emotions as data points to better understand your trading and the trading environment. An edge any edge can produce a string of losers but you must so train your mind to take the very next edge that develops and not let the 6 losses you just had in a row deter you. This is the same type of thing emergency first responders train themselves to do (think building on fire and needing to save people inside etc) that would make the average Joe on the street have an accident in their pants. Or elite arm forces trained to go head first into a life or death gun battle that would make most frozen with panic.

Ron

We must be like the fountain or spring that is continually emptying itself of all that it has and is continually being refilled from an invisible source

Quoting 
The steed of this Valley is patience; without patience the wayfarer on this journey will reach nowhere and attain no goal.

Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
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  #274 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Qtrader,Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: Dorman/CQG
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nearly blowing up

I think an integral part of trading is nearly blowing up, most ppl don't acquire the right money management headset/mindframe until they have lost significant capital. One of the best traders I know now blew his account up 3 times and almost a 4th before he became SUPER disciplined. I blew up one account and almost another before I took that side of things seriously enough. If I had to do it all over again, I would have paper traded at least 3-6 months before placing any live trades.

Also, I started to become a lot more profitable and more consistent when I started trading smaller, so that emotions weren't part of my mindset. Stay small and use stops and be very patient to enter and your win % goes way up in my view

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  #275 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Minneapolis+ MN / USA
 
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amttrader

Futures Edge on FIO

amttrader View Post
After perusing some of the posts in here, I'm not even sure I have any business being here at all. I'm brand new, lost, and only working on a demo with a friend right now trading futures only. Been doing okay so far, but I'm sure things will change when real money is involved.

I need to find some really elementary stuff in this forum to just get myself rolling along. I'm a quick study, but I need the information fed from a straw rather than a firehose at first. Any suggestions as to where I need to get started?

Let this sink in--- 95% of all traders do not make any money. It all goes to the 5%. What on earth would lead you to believe that you are going to be in that 5%?? The odds are stacked. My advice-- do not start, run, do everything you can to put trading out of your mind. You will not make money doing this. How do I know this? Because you like 99.9% of the people here are not honest enough to ask the 2 questions that you really seek answers for. Namely, What is it that the 5% know that you do not? And, is there a way to make them tell? The answers are: They'll never tell, and there is no way to make them. But I'm sure you, like others will continue to buy books, newsletters, webinars, systems, ect... no matter what the facts are. And be sure to keep a journal and have a lot of posts because that is a sure ingredient for success. Since when did keeping track of bad trading suddenly turn any one into a good trader? It only reinforces bad trading period. Your brokerage statement is the only journal you need.

This thread is about when to stop, I guess my post is really about -- not even starting.

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  #276 (permalink)
Elite Member
west palm beach florida usa
 
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farmer55 View Post
Let this sink in--- 95% of all traders do not make any money. It all goes to the 5%. What on earth would lead you to believe that you are going to be in that 5%?? The odds are stacked. My advice-- do not start, run, do everything you can to put trading out of your mind. You will not make money doing this. How do I know this? Because you like 99.9% of the people here are not honest enough to ask the 2 questions that you really seek answers for. Namely, What is it that the 5% know that you do not? And, is there a way to make them tell? The answers are: They'll never tell, and there is no way to make them. But I'm sure you, like others will continue to buy books, newsletters, webinars, systems, ect... no matter what the facts are. And be sure to keep a journal and have a lot of posts because that is a sure ingredient for success. Since when did keeping track of bad trading suddenly turn any one into a good trader? It only reinforces bad trading period. Your brokerage statement is the only journal you need.

This thread is about when to stop, I guess my post is really about -- not even starting.

Harsh..but very true. But then one can always trade SIM forever..go on Forums and act like you are trading real money and exchange "System" ideas. That's no worse than playing video games and can be almost as fun.
Maybe if I read your message 7 years ago, I would have another 100 k in savings.
I am doing pretty good now..though..but it's been a very costly process. If someone doesn't have years to spend at this and the ability to withstand a few account blowouts, I doubt they have a chance...and even then.. a slim one.

Failure is not an option
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  #277 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Lviv, Ukraine
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Japhro View Post
I think an integral part of trading is nearly blowing up, most ppl don't acquire the right money management headset/mindframe until they have lost significant capital. One of the best traders I know now blew his account up 3 times and almost a 4th before he became SUPER disciplined. I blew up one account and almost another before I took that side of things seriously enough. If I had to do it all over again, I would have paper traded at least 3-6 months before placing any live trades.

Also, I started to become a lot more profitable and more consistent when I started trading smaller, so that emotions weren't part of my mindset. Stay small and use stops and be very patient to enter and your win % goes way up in my view

There is a risk that you will stay at your small sizes for years

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  #278 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
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farmer55 View Post
Let this sink in--- 95% of all traders do not make any money. It all goes to the 5%. What on earth would lead you to believe that you are going to be in that 5%?? The odds are stacked. My advice-- do not start, run, do everything you can to put trading out of your mind. You will not make money doing this. How do I know this? Because you like 99.9% of the people here are not honest enough to ask the 2 questions that you really seek answers for. Namely, What is it that the 5% know that you do not? And, is there a way to make them tell? The answers are: They'll never tell, and there is no way to make them. But I'm sure you, like others will continue to buy books, newsletters, webinars, systems, ect... no matter what the facts are. And be sure to keep a journal and have a lot of posts because that is a sure ingredient for success. Since when did keeping track of bad trading suddenly turn any one into a good trader? It only reinforces bad trading period. Your brokerage statement is the only journal you need.

This thread is about when to stop, I guess my post is really about -- not even starting.

I think the odds are even worse against retailers. Maybe a fraction of 0.25% of all retailers ever make it to trading consistently year in and out enough to make a living. The 5% winning of all trading are not retailers imo, and instead usually the big players with much bigger pockets which are hedge funds, hft firms, investment banks, etc. and they may not be positive year in and out.

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  #279 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
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Broker/Data: Dorman/CQG
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tradeforall View Post
There is a risk that you will stay at your small sizes for years

Depends on your mindset, I treat trading like a job and am happy to make money every day, and peace of mind goes a long way.When I start adding size outside of my comfort zone, I don't trade as well and I don't hold as long. I also don't enjoy it as much. So, sweating a lot more for a few extra bucks, maybe, doesn't seem worth the hassle, to me at least

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  #280 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
portland me usa
 
Futures Experience: None
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Favorite Futures: stocks, ETFs, futures, currencies
 
Posts: 17 since Jun 2011
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regarding the 5% who make the money, I believe it is a misconception to assume they make it all. Most of the money from losing traders goes to the middle-men, not the winning traders.

Take a hypothetical $1000 that a trader loses in the market. Since most traders lose, the person who "wins" that money will most likely trade it away to someone else, and so on. Each time that money changes hands the various middle men take their cut.

The broker takes commish, exchanges take transaction fees, market-maker takes the spread, the HFT's take a couple of pennies, etc. On top of that there are the monthly data, charting, and software fees of which a portion is taken from our $1000 as it sits in traders accounts.

As that $1000 continues to get passed around it gets whittled down bit by bit, eventually being reduced to nothing unless a successful trader happens to get hold of it. That's how this business works.

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