NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





hypothetical Scenario - 1 indicator, 1 setup.


Discussion in Psychology and Money Management

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one sidney7g with 5 posts (3 thanks)
    2. looks_two ThatManFromTexas with 3 posts (7 thanks)
    3. looks_3 mxphytlx with 2 posts (0 thanks)
    4. looks_4 GoldStandard with 1 posts (0 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one Fat Tails with 6 thanks per post
    2. looks_two ThatManFromTexas with 2.3 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 Big Mike with 2 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 sidney7g with 0.6 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 4,851 views
    2. thumb_up 20 thanks given
    3. group 8 followers
    1. forum 15 posts
    2. attach_file 3 attachments




 
Search this Thread

hypothetical Scenario - 1 indicator, 1 setup.

  #11 (permalink)
 
mxphytlx's Avatar
 mxphytlx 
nacogdoches
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: ninjatrader
Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: cl
Posts: 26 since Apr 2010
Thanks Given: 707
Thanks Received: 9


ThatManFromTexas View Post
With 5 tick range bars on TF about 10-15 times on a "normal" day.

so you are averaging 50 to 75 ticks profit per day?

Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
Cheap historycal L1 data for stocks
Stocks and ETFs
REcommedations for programming help
Sierra Chart
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
What broker to use for trading palladium futures
Commodities
About a successful futures trader who didn´t know anyth …
Psychology and Money Management
 
  #12 (permalink)
 
trendisyourfriend's Avatar
 trendisyourfriend 
Quebec Canada
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: AMP/CQG
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 4,527 since Oct 2009
Thanks Given: 4,176
Thanks Received: 6,020


Quoting 
... If you were forced at gun point to trade using only one Indicator you felt had the most statistical advantage to you, which would you use? ...

Many indicators can do a decent job provided you know where you want to make business on a chart. A trading system using two moving averages can provide a viable solution when they cross each other but again provided it's done where demand meets supply in greater quantity or vice versa where supply meets demand in greater quantity. You will often hear the expression location-location-location. This variable i call location should not be underestimated. You should find a way to identify where key changes in supply and/or demand occur on a chart and test your indicator at these junctures. An indicator usually performs much better when price visits a prior qualified level of demand or supply.

Do you need an indicator to see these levels other than price alone, i'd say a big NO, you don't. Key changes in demand and supply occur where a change of volatility can be identified or when a market gets out of balance. These areas are where you want to make business.

Failling to qualify these areas as valid zones of demand and/or supply is an error too often seen in my opinion. So your first quest might be to improve your ability to detect such key changes in demand and supply on a chart.

Once you have identified where you too want to make business then adding an indicator to the equation can help you systemize an approach to take advantage of the remaining demand or supply left in the area in question.


All this to say, focus first your attention on the developing market context where key market participants have opened positions or are closing their positions then wait for price to vist these regions before considering trading. You may find this appoach slow as it is a reactionary (extremely conservative) or passive approach but this is a path that delivers high probability trade setups with high reward.

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #13 (permalink)
 
GoldStandard's Avatar
 GoldStandard 
arizona
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: rolling my own
Trading: ES,CL,GC,6E
Posts: 205 since Oct 2009
Thanks Given: 324
Thanks Received: 191


Composite volume profile.

Reply With Quote
  #14 (permalink)
 
Lornz's Avatar
 Lornz 
Oslo, Norway
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: CQG, Excel
Trading: CL
Posts: 1,193 since Apr 2010

My spreadsheet...

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
  #15 (permalink)
 GT22 
Currently Inactive
 
Posts: 24 since Aug 2011


sidney7g View Post


If you were forced at gun point to trade using only one Indicator you felt had the most statistical advantage to you, which would you use? If you had to use only one reoccurring setup or pattern to profit from with this indicator, which would it be? You can decide not to use an indicator but you still need a setup with some guidelines. You cannot use news releases or any outside fundamental information. You can only use one contract per trade and each trade cannot last over 30 minutes.

I'd appreciate it if you can include a picture of the setup or indicator. If you choose to back-test your strategy please post some statistics or log of trades.


Please refrain from digressing into any debate over the necessity of several indicators, this being holy grail searching, or any other problems/issues with this scenario outside of the specific question asked.

Thank you for your cooperation.

IF and only IF you have a gun pointed to my head

I would use the adaptable length regression tools that I created in an effort to automate. But they just don't match what you can do with a naked chart just reading the bars.

Favorite setup would be the European open trade combo usually with the e/u and 2 other pairs. But seriously, the market varies the approach to trip up the indicators.

Reply With Quote
  #16 (permalink)
 sorge2000 
Wauseon, Ohio
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader, Thinkorswim
Broker: thinkorswim / PFGBest
Trading: ETFs
Posts: 63 since Jan 2011
Thanks Given: 19
Thanks Received: 41

A custom built TSI indicator. I'm not disciplined enough to use too many different indicators.

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote




Last Updated on September 5, 2011


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts