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I am not quite sure what you mean. I post the trades after I received a fill on the same day or (in rare cases) the day after. I am not sitting in front of a computer all day.
I will use this opportunity to explain what I want to achieve with this thread for traders with limited experience in option selling:
I want to demonstrate that it is possible to operate an option selling account, which is sufficiently diversified to reduce clump risk. I want to discuss criteria for selecting suited commodities, and for entering / exiting trades. I want to show warning signs. And try to answer questions in regard to option selling. In one sentence: I want to give traders with little experience in option selling a basis to check, if this strategy is suited for them, and to improve quickly.
I do not intend to publish trades that can be followed exactly by others. And I do not intend selling my trading signals now or in the foreseeable future. I prefer making money via trading and not via selling a newsletter.
Additionally I like discussing considerations for trades, and other issues related to option selling, with everybody here. Thus, all trade suggestions, contributions to criteria for selecting, entering, and exiting trades, and principal questions regarding option selling are highly welcome.
In case you want to track how an option selling account works without risking your money, I suggest to open a paper account and trade short option trades for a year. Enter your trades, perhaps based on some of my trades, discuss your considerations for trades in this thread, and gain some experience. (Be assured that trading your own money will again be a different story.)
For your information: There are many trades I do not publish, as they are not short option trades. But they may be related to my short option trading, eg. to achieve a USD-neutral Portfolio or for other hedging activities.
Please feel free to ask questions. There are some very experienced traders around, who will try to give you answers.
Found an interesting statistic regarding long periods of the S&P index moving less than 1 % per day (end of day).
The current period of 36 days is not the longest - there are 7 longer periods of up to 79 days (1995) since 1990.
It is interesting to note that the first weeks after such periods since 1990 (12 events) never show drastic moves of the S&P index. There are only 2 cases where prices moved down more than 5 % within two or three months after the event.
The figures are from a paid subscription. Thus, I do not want to get into more details.
Trading: Primarily Energy but also a little Equities, Fixed Income, Metals and Crypto.
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Very interesting. I can't replicate the data exactly but I get something very similar. Agree with the current 36 days, but show a high of 100 consecutive days back in 1995. Also show a period of 398 consecutive days with moves of less than 1% back in 1964/65. Also agree that this isn't predictive of a major market move to come, R squared's all ~ 0.01 for the simple regressions I ran. (Streak length vs 20 day lowest low etc).
