NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Diversified Option Selling Portfolio


Discussion in Options

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one myrrdin with 812 posts (1,274 thanks)
    2. looks_two ron99 with 207 posts (489 thanks)
    3. looks_3 manuel999 with 109 posts (108 thanks)
    4. looks_4 TraderGriz with 66 posts (26 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 2.4 thanks per post
    2. looks_two ron99 with 2.4 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 myrrdin with 1.6 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 manuel999 with 1 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 283,626 views
    2. thumb_up 2,296 thanks given
    3. group 139 followers
    1. forum 1,598 posts
    2. attach_file 93 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Diversified Option Selling Portfolio

  #1291 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651


rajab View Post
Anyone selling Gold Calls?
COT seems to be bearish.
Was thinking of selling C1500 AUG contract.

Thoughts?
Babak

No, I am long the metals. I expect the inflation to rise in Q2, and interest rates to move up slower than inflation. The current strong performance of the oil price supports this assessment.

I decided to buy silver futures. The COT data is extremely bullish, and the relation between Silver and Gold Prices is extremely low.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
Trade idea based off three indicators.
Traders Hideout
Cheap historycal L1 data for stocks
Stocks and ETFs
How to apply profiles
Traders Hideout
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
Pivot Indicator like the old SwingTemp by Big Mike
NinjaTrader
 
  #1292 (permalink)
 jefforey 
edison new jersey
 
Experience: None
Platform: motivewave
Trading: ES
Posts: 69 since Nov 2016
Thanks Given: 45
Thanks Received: 18

Myrrdin, i could not find your annual performance for 2016-2018? Would you be willing to share this with us?

Reply With Quote
  #1293 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651



jefforey View Post
Myrrdin, i could not find your annual performance for 2016-2018? Would you be willing to share this with us?

No.

It is my target to help beginners to find their way in the huge trading universe. To understand what selling options is about, to learn to avoid basic mistakes, to get ideas how to improve your trading.

I do not take any money for that, and I do not have any other commercial interest.

If you are interested in my way of trading, you should start with a paper account and find out what your (!) annual performance could be. It does not help you at all to know, how much money I make with trading.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #1294 (permalink)
rajab
westhills california US
 
Posts: 94 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 131
Thanks Received: 20


myrrdin View Post
No, I am long the metals. I expect the inflation to rise in Q2, and interest rates to move up slower than inflation. The current strong performance of the oil price supports this assessment.

I decided to buy silver futures. The COT data is extremely bullish, and the relation between Silver and Gold Prices is extremely low.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Hey myrrdin

Maybe you can educate me. COT disagg... for Gold shows producers at 217k short. The specs are less long, so I don't understand how the out look can be extremely bullish. Can you please explain

Thanks
Babak

Reply With Quote
  #1295 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651


rajab View Post
Hey myrrdin

Maybe you can educate me. COT disagg... for Gold shows producers at 217k short. The specs are less long, so I don't understand how the out look can be extremely bullish. Can you please explain

Thanks
Babak

I talked about Silver.

Commercials are more bullish, large specs more bearish than ever since 2006.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #1296 (permalink)
 jefforey 
edison new jersey
 
Experience: None
Platform: motivewave
Trading: ES
Posts: 69 since Nov 2016
Thanks Given: 45
Thanks Received: 18


myrrdin View Post
No.

It is my target to help beginners to find their way in the huge trading universe. To understand what selling options is about, to learn to avoid basic mistakes, to get ideas how to improve your trading.

I do not take any money for that, and I do not have any other commercial interest.

If you are interested in my way of trading, you should start with a paper account and find out what your (!) annual performance could be. It does not help you at all to know, how much money I make with trading.

Best regards, Myrrdin


Offcourse i did not mean to intrude on your financial gains but my query was more about the winning rate.
anyways i am sorry if u got offended.

Reply With Quote
  #1297 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651


jefforey View Post
Offcourse i did not mean to intrude on your financial gains but my query was more about the winning rate.
anyways i am sorry if u got offended.

No problem.

There is a small number of severe losers (loss higher than 50 % of the original option price), less than 10 %.

There is a number of trades with small profits or losses.

And more than 60 % of the trades are profitable. I take profits somewhere between 50 % and 10 % of the original value.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #1298 (permalink)
vmaiya73
Salt Lake City, USA
 
Posts: 88 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 34
Thanks Received: 62

Crude oil seasonals going into summer trends up, that with also OPEC/Russia possibly considering maintaining their 1.8 MBP cut and possibly extending to more i think it would be safe to write puts.
This in face even though US will probably increase their production, it wound be enough.

just my 2 cents.

any thoughts ?

thanks

VJ

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #1299 (permalink)
 
SMCJB's Avatar
 SMCJB 
Houston TX
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TT and Stellar
Broker: Advantage Futures
Trading: Primarily Energy but also a little Equities, Fixed Income, Metals and Crypto.
Frequency: Many times daily
Duration: Never
Posts: 5,049 since Dec 2013
Thanks Given: 4,388
Thanks Received: 10,207


vmaiya73 View Post
any thoughts ?

Something everybody keeps talking about is the massive record setting bullish non-commercial/speculator position in the oil complex in general and in Brent specifically. Fear is that when people start getting out of what appears to be a very crowded trade the momentum to the downside could explode.

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #1300 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651



SMCJB View Post
Something everybody keeps talking about is the massive record setting bullish non-commercial/speculator position in the oil complex in general and in Brent specifically. Fear is that when people start getting out of what appears to be a very crowded trade the momentum to the downside could explode.

I fully agree, COT data is extremely bullish.

In this case I would prefer buying outright futures to be able to make a quick profit on the upside, if you want to hold a long position in Crude Oil. In my opinion, selling puts is the wrong tool.

I am currently not invested in crude oil futures or options, as I - as a matter of principle - do not trade against strong COT data.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:




Last Updated on May 26, 2022


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts