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Selling Options on Futures?


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Selling Options on Futures?

  #6931 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
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I just found out from someone in contact with OptionSellers.com clients that yes they were short March 5.00 calls. But they then rolled up to 6s & 7s. Which when futures screamed higher didn't work.

Also was told they may have been short March 4.50s and had rolled them up to 5s before Wed.

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  #6932 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
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SMCJB View Post
Interesting interview giving an insight into what they do. The doubling of the position when it is up 50% is interesting. When trading a linear instrument, there is a lot of literature, to suggest that adding to winners is how to get exponential profits. But when selling a non-linear instrument like options, you are increasing a position that now has half the profit potential, but the same, potentially even more risk. Also as @ron99 has demonstrated time decay is not even. I personally think his strategy of closing positions at a 50% profit and moving on to the next opportunity (ie with better decay) is a more logical approach.

I fully agree with you.

In case a position of short options is doubling sometimes I buy back half of the position to reduce risk. In this case, I give away all potential profit of the trade, and I am satisfied if it breaks even.

If a trade is successful, I often buy back the option at 50 % and sell a strike closer to the current price of the underlaying, thus again selling 100 %. Or selling the same strike price, but more DTE, to achieve again 100 %.

According to my experience, it is a good idea to reduce trades that show that something unexpected has happened. Or close them completely. And enlarge trades that work well.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #6933 (permalink)
 bill20 
Santa Barbara, CA USA
 
Experience: Intermediate
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ron99 View Post
I just found out from someone in contact with OptionSellers.com clients that yes they were short March 5.00 calls. But they then rolled up to 6s & 7s. Which when futures screamed higher didn't work.



Also was told they may have been short March 4.50s and had rolled them up to 5s before Wed.



It’s terrible what they allowed to happen to their clients, especially since many of them are retirees with little personal experience or sophistication with derivatives.

During my day job I am former prosecutor turned securities attorney and have been researching and conducting interviews pertaining to what happened at OptionSellers.com. Ron, any chance you (or any other member of our community) would be willing to send me a confidential message with any contacts or further information? It would be a tremendous help in my efforts to assist those that have been impacted.

Thanks in advance.




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  #6934 (permalink)
 
xplorer's Avatar
 xplorer 
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bill20 View Post
What happened at OptionSellers is terrible, especially since they target retirees and tout the relative safety of the “diversification” they offer.

When not trading derivatives, my day job finds me as a former prosecutor turned securities attorney. I am currently investigating the implosion at OptionSellers (Cordier and Gross) and would appreciate any opportunity to speak with anyone that may have been caught up in this mess. If you or a friend may have been involved, or if you have any information or experience about their firm, please consider sending me a private message so we can arrange a confidential call.

Thanks in advance for any willingness to connect.


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Hi there bill20

The content of your message was reported to the moderators. It sounds like you are selling your legal services on FIO. Is this the case?

If that's the case, I want to be clear that this is against the site's terms.

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  #6935 (permalink)
 bill20 
Santa Barbara, CA USA
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: TOS
Trading: Futures Options
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xplorer View Post
Hi there bill20



The content of your message was reported to the moderators. It sounds like you are selling your legal services on FIO. Is this the case?



If that's the case, I want to be clear that this is against the site's terms.



Hi there xplorer,

Thanks for your concern but it is misplaced.

I’m a trader and have been an active paying member of this community for numerous years. I am not selling anything (except for options on futures) and am simply trying to conduct research.


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  #6936 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
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Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
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ron99 View Post
I just found out from someone in contact with OptionSellers.com clients that yes they were short March 5.00 calls. But they then rolled up to 6s & 7s. Which when futures screamed higher didn't work.

Also was told they may have been short March 4.50s and had rolled them up to 5s before Wed.

The March NG 5.00 calls traded over 2,000 times on Nov 8th. OI went up by same amount.

That could have been OptionSellers.com rolling higher from 4.50.

I was also told they had been short CL puts during the drop in CL.

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  #6937 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
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Lessons learnt from "Optionselling.com"

I learnt a lot from reading the book by Cordier & Gross, as many other option sellers did. We probably will not get another book by these authors, but what can we learn from the recent incidents ?

When selling options, avoid weather markets. Of course, weather influences the prices of many commodities all around the year. But there are periods, when a change of weather can change the price of a commodity in a dramatic way, and can change volatility in a dramatic way. Examples are the NGZ to NGH contracts from November until February, but also corn contracts in June / July or coffee contracts in July (frost in Brazil ?) or September (flowering). It is tempting to sell options at these times of the year because of the high volatility, but there is a reason for this high volatility.

When selling options, liquidate when you have to liquidate. The price of Natural Gas moved up severely and with strong volume since 5th of November. There were several days when it was possible for Cordier & Gross to exit at fair conditions. Of course, it is no fun to accept a severe loss. But sometimes it is the only way to avoid a disaster.

When selling options, check the availability of options to buy back. It is not the first time that large firms get into severe problems selling a large number of NG OTM calls at this time of the year, and having problems to buy them back. It looks like market makers are waiting for such situations, and make tons of money selling options to companies in severe problems. Cordier & Gross should hVW knowN these examples.

Selling (F)OTM calls is riskier than selling ATM or close to the money OTM options in so far, as an abrupt rise in volatility is much more harmful than for ATM options. The risk to get in the money of course is larger for closer to the money options, but as long as there are enough days until expiry, this is not really a problem. The risk of an exploding value of the options due to exploding volatility is significantly larger for (F)OTM options.

Above all: The most important target in trading is not to make money. But to preserve the capital.

Good trading !

Best regards from Austria, Myrrdin

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  #6938 (permalink)
vmaiya73
Salt Lake City, USA
 
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Received another email today, wont post it but basically said that remaining positions will be held by the clearing firm FC Stone and debit balances need to be cleared.

I agree with some of the previous posts here: they tout that their way of trading/investing is safer and will be protected against market volatility like we are experiencing in the equity markets. Lot of people lost everything, im sure some of them are million dollar accounts given to them by grandma/grandpa.

Again, i got lucky as one of the main reasons I decided to get out was the fact they were not following their own risk parameters of closing out positions as outlined in their book.

Anyways i was able to pull up my last statement and they were short the following /NG call:

Feb 19 4.0
Feb 19 4.5

Mar 19 4.15
Mar 19 4.5
Mar 19 4.65
Mar 19 4.75
Mar 19 5

April 19 4.25

They were short the following /CL puts:

June 19 43
Dec 19 38
Dec 19 39
Dec 19 40

thanks

Vijay

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  #6939 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
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Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
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vmaiya73 View Post
Anyways i was able to pull up my last statement and they were short the following /NG call:

Feb 19 4.0
Feb 19 4.5

Mar 19 4.15
Mar 19 4.5
Mar 19 4.65
Mar 19 4.75
Mar 19 5

April 19 4.25

They were short the following /CL puts:

June 19 43
Dec 19 38
Dec 19 39
Dec 19 40

thanks

Vijay

Thank you for posting the info.

Can I ask you about when they entered these positions?

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  #6940 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785



myrrdin View Post
Selling (F)OTM calls is riskier than selling ATM or close to the money OTM options in so far, as an abrupt rise in volatility is much more harmful than for ATM options. The risk to get in the money of course is larger for closer to the money options, but as long as there are enough days until expiry, this is not really a problem. The risk of an exploding value of the options due to exploding volatility is significantly larger for (F)OTM options.

I don't understand why you say "as long as there are enough days until expiry, this is not really a problem.". Please explain.

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Last Updated on July 28, 2023


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