NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Selling Options on Futures?


Discussion in Options

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one ron99 with 2,221 posts (4,489 thanks)
    2. looks_two SMCJB with 346 posts (733 thanks)
    3. looks_3 kevinkdog with 341 posts (400 thanks)
    4. looks_4 myrrdin with 288 posts (408 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 2.1 thanks per post
    2. looks_two ron99 with 2 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 myrrdin with 1.4 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 kevinkdog with 1.2 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 1,987,332 views
    2. thumb_up 9,259 thanks given
    3. group 458 followers
    1. forum 7,370 posts
    2. attach_file 794 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Selling Options on Futures?

  #2331 (permalink)
 
eudamonia's Avatar
 eudamonia 
Sacramento, CA
 
Experience: None
Platform: None
Broker: ADM and Sierra Charts
Trading: ES, CL
Posts: 315 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 308
Thanks Received: 449


PeterOhlson View Post
Wow, I had no idea there was a 70+ page thread dedicated to options..

I'm not gonna lie, it was when I first went over to options and got consistently short gamma that I started reaping some serious profits. I never really made it in daytrading, and honestly the ES is one of the most efficient markets out there so I didn't expect to either. All academia consistently finds ES to be efficient especially on a minute basis, same for other daytrading instruments, although there is some weak (very weak) evidence of trending behavior at times. But it's well documented in academic literature that being short risk premium has massive profit potentials and often at S&P beating returns, re. the CBOE put-writing index, studies on vol arbitrage etc. etc. One of my fav instruments is the VXX (which is going through yet another reverse:split, in fact if one was to account for all reverse splits through history, it would start at 6000 or so in 2004 (model)), although I personally go straight to VIX futures or ES future options (one of my fav trades is from Atticus on elitetrader, basically a vol "box" ATM/OTM swap, making "skew" premium, see: Forums - trading option pitchforks

But ever since the dawn of vola ETFs/ETNs, the short premium is becoming very crowded as people are becoming more and more aware of this. I think eventually vol markets will come closer and closer to efficiency. Although lot of the skew premia etc. has to do with having to price moves outside of 2nd std. deviation, and anything at that level relies more on human psychology than rational calculus. And as fear is stronger than greed, let's hope it remains so in the future to continue to enable outsized returns.

Welcome to the thread.

I've tried following what atticus says for years at ET. I must be too dumb. However, I get the distinct impression that there are several posters over there including him who are much more interested in how great a trader they are perceived to be on a web forum than actually providing any useful information.

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
How to apply profiles
Traders Hideout
MC PL editor upgrade
MultiCharts
Pivot Indicator like the old SwingTemp by Big Mike
NinjaTrader
ZombieSqueeze
Platforms and Indicators
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Spoo-nalysis ES e-mini futures S&P 500
29 thanks
Just another trading journal: PA, Wyckoff & Trends
25 thanks
Tao te Trade: way of the WLD
24 thanks
Bigger Wins or Fewer Losses?
23 thanks
GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
17 thanks
  #2332 (permalink)
 PeterOhlson 
Germany
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader 7
Trading: Stocks
Posts: 78 since Apr 2011
Thanks Given: 36
Thanks Received: 61


eudamonia View Post
Welcome to the thread.

I've tried following what atticus says for years at ET. I must be too dumb. However, I get the distinct impression that there are several posters over there including him who are much more interested in how great a trader they are perceived to be on a web forum than actually providing any useful information.

I think the same can be said about any forum anwhere. Also, information provision is only one small part of participating in any forum, it can also be about debate or even just passing time. but people like atticus i feel have provided a great deal to the forums and has some very valuable insights, ie. the linked thread above. it's one of the best ways i've seen to exploit skew...


kevinkdog View Post
Can you give an example of a short gamma trade? Most of this thread is about selling theta, so I'm curious what you do.

Short gamma is the flipside of being long theta, so any long theta trade would be short gamma. that is where the risk goes, along with volatility risk. if you move further out from expiration, volatility risk overtakes gamma risk. i do the same as anyone in this thread, i am long theta, although i use almost no discretionary methods, it's pretty much pure exploitation of systemic alpha, not subjective timing of trades. i can afford such luxuries as again, vola markets are vastly inefficient. i'd love to learn how to subjectively time trades but my personality is that of a quant. i need quantification and fixed rules to abide by...this is why i left daytrading, because i couldnt find just one set of rules that would consistently return a profit...every method i saw always had this little text at the bottom; oh you also need to pay attention to support / resistance, price action, news bla bla. i cant quantifty that so i left it for good

Reply With Quote
  #2333 (permalink)
 kevinkdog   is a Vendor
 
Posts: 3,663 since Jul 2012
Thanks Given: 1,892
Thanks Received: 7,357



PeterOhlson View Post
I think the same can be said about any forum anwhere. Also, information provision is only one small part of participating in any forum, it can also be about debate or even just passing time. but people like atticus i feel have provided a great deal to the forums and has some very valuable insights, ie. the linked thread above. it's one of the best ways i've seen to exploit skew...



Short gamma is the flipside of being long theta, so any long theta trade would be short gamma. that is where the risk goes, along with volatility risk. if you move further out from expiration, volatility risk overtakes gamma risk. i do the same as anyone in this thread, i am long theta, although i use almost no discretionary methods, it's pretty much pure exploitation of systemic alpha, not subjective timing of trades. i can afford such luxuries as again, vola markets are vastly inefficient. i'd love to learn how to subjectively time trades but my personality is that of a quant. i need quantification and fixed rules to abide by...

Sorry, I am confused. I sell, so I believe I am short theta. You are long theta? Are you long calls and puts? Sorry for my misunderstanding.

Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote
  #2334 (permalink)
 PeterOhlson 
Germany
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader 7
Trading: Stocks
Posts: 78 since Apr 2011
Thanks Given: 36
Thanks Received: 61


kevinkdog View Post
Sorry, I am confused. I sell, so I believe I am short theta. You are long theta? Are you long calls and puts? Sorry for my misunderstanding.

long any option is not long theta. if you are long any option you are by definition short theta. so by logic short any option would be long theta, and short gamma. and short volatility....

Reply With Quote
  #2335 (permalink)
 kevinkdog   is a Vendor
 
Posts: 3,663 since Jul 2012
Thanks Given: 1,892
Thanks Received: 7,357


PeterOhlson View Post
long any option is not long theta. if you are long any option you are by definition short theta. so by logic short any option would be long theta, and short gamma. and short volatility....

Yes, you are correct. I get mixed up because I am selling time premium. I was also confused by your statement "Short gamma is the flipside of being long theta, so any long theta trade would be short gamma." since flipside means opposite. But I understand that short gamma = long theta.

Thanks for clarifying!

Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote
  #2336 (permalink)
 PeterOhlson 
Germany
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader 7
Trading: Stocks
Posts: 78 since Apr 2011
Thanks Given: 36
Thanks Received: 61


kevinkdog View Post
Yes, you are correct. I get mixed up because I am selling time premium. I was also confused by your statement "Short gamma is the flipside of being long theta, so any long theta trade would be short gamma." since flipside means opposite. But I understand that short gamma = long theta.

Thanks for clarifying!

No problem. Yes that's the essence of it, short gamma = long theta. And of course long theta = short volatility as well. Plus there are some higher order greeks like vanna & vomma, but unless one is managing a very large book or unusualy complex structure they are of no concern. Although I've been burned by DgammaDspot (gamma of gamma) before, when delta hedging at fixed intervals, because when you get close to expiry your theta and gamma can change lightning fast if the underlying is trading close to your short option. This has to do with pinning risks etc. etc.

Reply With Quote
  #2337 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,443 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,217
Thanks Received: 101,603


PeterOhlson View Post
Wow, I had no idea there was a 70+ page thread dedicated to options..

This thread is over 230 pages

Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
  #2338 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785

The OI for KC options is the lowest since 2009. Very low prices are bad for option sellers. Low volume.


Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #2339 (permalink)
 Barrington 
Portland OR
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: None
Trading: Stocks
Posts: 56 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 87
Thanks Received: 31

Wondering if selling the NGF calls (4.75) expiring 12/26 is a good bet at this time. According to the seasonals it seems that NG tops in December and starts to trend lower. Of course, its if I'm reading it right!

Reply With Quote
  #2340 (permalink)
 
decarleytrading's Avatar
 decarleytrading   is a Vendor
 
Posts: 33 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3
Thanks Received: 77


@ron99

We agree that coffee options aren't the best place for option sellers at the moment due to low volatility and interest.

Although we are typically advocates of short option strategies, we are actually buying calls in this market....

We like the March 130 calls. They are deep out of the money but they have three months to come alive. Any large spike higher in prices could positively impact the value of this option, even if coffee prices never see the vicinity of the strike price.

Keep in mind, this is a "lottery ticket" play. The risk is low and limited to the premium paid for the option, but the upside is theoretically unlimited.

As far as short options go, we don't have anything new on the horizon but many of our clients are holding short December Euro 132 puts, short January bond 126 puts and short ES 1800 calls. All are moderately profitable (at the moment). We'll be looking for quick exit strategies in each of them if the opportunity presents itself.

*There is substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.

If you have any questions about the products or services provided by DeCarleyTrading, please send me a Private Message or use the futures.io " Ask Me Anything" thread.
Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote




Last Updated on July 28, 2023


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts