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Selling Options on Futures?
Started:July 19th, 2011 (06:16 PM) by ron99 Views / Replies:567,812 / 5,727
Last Reply:7 Hours Ago (12:40 PM) Attachments:642

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Selling Options on Futures?

Old November 6th, 2014, 10:54 AM   #3791 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
Reno, USA
 
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Thanks kevin,

appreciate the insight

V

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Old November 6th, 2014, 01:56 PM   #3792 (permalink)
World'sWorstTrader
Knoxville Tennessee USA
 
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?

For those that have the experience using this product, is SeasonAlgo helpful for the far out of the money short
puts that we sell here?

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Old November 7th, 2014, 11:00 AM   #3793 (permalink)
Market Wizard
OH
 
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datahogg View Post
For those that have the experience using this product, is SeasonAlgo helpful for the far out of the money short
puts that we sell here?

Yes seasonal charts are helpful for FOTM option selling. I'm about to subscribe myself soon. I had been getting Moore's but Seasonal Algo is better.

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Old November 7th, 2014, 12:21 PM   #3794 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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datahogg View Post
For those that have the experience using this product, is SeasonAlgo helpful for the far out of the money short
puts that we sell here?

I've had a seasonalgo.com sub for about 4 months now after somebody on these forums mentioned it.
I've been trading entirely spread positions (which I know is not what you asked) and have had limited success with it.
My win/loss % is decent but unfortunately my average win/average loss is skewed the wrong way, primarily due to one badly managed trade.
It obviously has a wealth of information but I'm struggling to formalize a plan to use it.
One word of warning is that (at least for spreads) it uses EOD data, and as such all the drawdown and Stop Loss information is severely underestimated.

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Old November 9th, 2014, 09:05 AM   #3795 (permalink)
World'sWorstTrader
Knoxville Tennessee USA
 
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Futures Edge on FIO

Are you a NinjaTrader user?

 

ron99 View Post
Yes seasonal charts are helpful for FOTM option selling. I'm about to subscribe myself soon. I had been getting Moore's but Seasonal Algo is better.

I am guessing that you are not using Moore's for spread trading? How are you using Moore's for FOTM puts?

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Old November 9th, 2014, 02:20 PM   #3796 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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datahogg View Post
I am guessing that you are not using Moore's for spread trading? How are you using Moore's for FOTM puts?

Yes I used it for spread trading. Why not?

I look at seasonal charts to see if there if a strong historical average movement one way or the other for a commodity I am thinking about selling options. I then compare that to current fundamentals to see if the two are in alignment. If so I then sell the opposite side of the expected trend.

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Old November 9th, 2014, 10:08 PM   #3797 (permalink)
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datahogg View Post
I am guessing that you are not using Moore's for spread trading? How are you using Moore's for FOTM puts?


In the FWIW Dept, while I believe MRCI built their business on seasonal analysis, spread analysis, and to some extent correlation analysis, they also have some useful option data.

Sample Pages

(see Volatility Charts and Daily Volatility Report)

The Weekly and Monthly Volatility Charts are valuable to know where the current market is compared to history: http://www.mrci.com/sample/week.pdf

I bought their service for several years just for the daily IV data and the long term volatility charts. I'm not a current subscriber, but when you consider all you get, their service is a pretty good value. If I ran the show, I'd carve out a separate options subscription, upgrade the design and delivery a bit, and charge about the same price ala carte for options as I did for the whole package.

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Old November 10th, 2014, 09:35 AM   #3798 (permalink)
World'sWorstTrader
Knoxville Tennessee USA
 
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ron99 View Post
Yes I used it for spread trading. Why not?

I look at seasonal charts to see if there if a strong historical average movement one way or the other for a commodity I am thinking about selling options. I then compare that to current fundamentals to see if the two are in alignment. If so I then sell the opposite side of the expected trend.

"Yes I used it for spread trading. Why not?"

I would not use it for spread trading (+/- futures in different months) because I have zero (0) knowledge and
experience with this type trading.

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Old November 12th, 2014, 02:30 PM   #3799 (permalink)
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vmaiya73 View Post
Sold to open 25 January 105 Calls. Credit received 0.03 per contract. Delta 0.01 DTE=41

any thoughts appreciated

again still a beginner

thanks

V

Trouble is, when the credit is so small you have to sell a lot of contracts and then the margin adds up. (Even if the commission is small, need to consider the margin.) So you think you're getting a great percentage gain but imo not really because it ties up too much money in margin. ie I think it's important to compare gain to required margin, not just gain to risk. Hope this makes sense.

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Old November 12th, 2014, 02:53 PM   #3800 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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susan View Post
Trouble is, when the credit is so small you have to sell a lot of contracts and then the margin adds up. (Even if the commission is small, need to consider the margin.) So you think you're getting a great percentage gain but imo not really because it ties up too much money in margin. ie I think it's important to compare gain to required margin, not just gain to risk. Hope this makes sense.

Using 3X margin for IM + excess this trade makes about 4.5-4.9% monthly ROI depending on costs. Nothing wrong with that.

IM = $117 Excess = $234 Total IM + Excess = $351

Monthly ROI=365/DTE/12*Net Profit/(Total IM + Excess)

Assuming $7 costs
Monthly ROI=365/41/12*(30-7)/351

Monthly ROI=4.86%

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