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2012 Election
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Created: by Big Mike Attachments:27

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2012 Election

  #11 (permalink)
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Agreed Big Mike. It riles me too and also made me feel sad.. Yes, Kaiser can be too much fun.


Last edited by Cloudy; August 17th, 2012 at 04:03 PM.
 
  #12 (permalink)
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Gerald's Rant

Gerald Celente: "All of Society is Rotting Out!" on the Markets, Finance and POLITICS

Gerald Celente: "All of Society is Rotting Out!" - YouTube

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Webster Tarpley


while you might classify me as a Jeffersonian; Webster is a Hamiltonian (Americanism). While I would want the Jeffersonian model, it will not work currently. Because I am a cutting edge thinker, I had already adopted the Hamiltonian model before I knew it was Hamiltonian and ever heard of this guy, Webster.

Global Financial Collapse is Coming! Interview with Webster Tarpley - YouTube

No matter who wins the election, America is screwed.



 
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All of us want our candidate to win, but I prefer to view it as it is.

Florida, Iowa, Wisconsin and North Carolina are likely going to Romney.

Indiana, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Nevada are likely going for Obama.

Ohio is too difficult to tell.

Some say Nevada may go to Romney due to massive unemployment and depression, and that Michigan may unpredictably swing too because of Romney's respect within the state. While it's possible, I prefer to be going with good polling data and say both will go to Obama. So where does this leave the election? I think things are looking good for Romney. Which states am I missing?

The house will pickup more GOP votes, and the senate will very likely become GOP controlled. It's unlikely for the GOP to reach 60 votes however.

I would not follow any newspaper polls besides for the concise publicly released data from Rasmussen and Gallup.

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There are interesting stats here:

Intrade - Home

Intrade - Markets

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Mike

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Obama and Romney do not add to 100. That means a wise betting man would short Obama and go long Romney. Nice arb play there!

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  #17 (permalink)
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patbateman View Post
Obama and Romney do not add to 100. That means a wise betting man would short Obama and go long Romney. Nice arb play there!

hehe, close though..

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I'm sure the commission fees and slippage would kill the edge

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Big Mike View Post
hehe, close though..

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I'm sure the commission fees and slippage would kill the edge

Mike

The only fee is $5.00 monthly make the bet large enough and you can cover it.

You can also still sell shares for others to win for .01, so they might just be pricing that in.

"If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong."
 
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Thought this was good commentary on Paul Ryan and everything else. What kbit posted the link to in chat:



Last edited by Cloudy; August 19th, 2012 at 02:07 AM.
 
  #20 (permalink)
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A little chart markup. Romney looks like he is headed for a breakout.

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nosce te ipsum

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