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Posts Made By:
handspin
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 17th, 2024, 02:24 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
vol in non-existent doldrums many...
vol in non-existent doldrums
many instruments are ranged
trends still maintained however
//
nvda being down is a drag for indexes
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 16th, 2024, 03:30 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
the behavior seems like resistance testing ...
the behavior seems like resistance testing
since carries are still moving
fx, vol, yield digesting
//
nikkei is rough, china leading
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 15th, 2024, 03:20 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
fx is still stuck but decent response save...
fx is still stuck but decent response save commodities
esp gold but that last blip could be revisited
crypto is even crazier right now
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 14th, 2024, 10:18 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
well indexes seem ok really up to the fx,...
well indexes seem ok
really up to the fx, commodities and yields
carries still in trend at least
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 13th, 2024, 11:21 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
so european side carry broke earlier late last...
so european side carry broke earlier late last year
while the asian side more recently offering further tailwind
vix and yields are stuck as well as energy, dollar too, crypto minor
//
...
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 9th, 2024, 11:05 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
well, strength on what should be weakness ...
well, strength on what should be weakness
including carries so slow accumulation
also keep in mind buyback season
//
watchin energy don't wanna ev yet
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 8th, 2024, 02:09 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
looks like the dollar is stable, pushing mild...
looks like the dollar is stable, pushing mild strength
stable is the key word along with rates and yen
last thing to check is the mag 7 comp
//
earnings checked out, even with a dip...
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 7th, 2024, 02:41 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
say the dollar either weakened or got stronger ...
say the dollar either weakened or got stronger
the net change for indexes vs dollar would be a wash
however waiting for dips could take advantage of such adjustments
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 6th, 2024, 10:42 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
late 2023 saw support breaks of top half carries...
late 2023 saw support breaks of top half carries vs jpy
observable long term on gbp, euro, nzd but only mid term aud, cad, chf, mxn
so the dollar basket is 50/50 balanced by crosses until the...
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 3rd, 2024, 10:14 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
knee jerk post event and wait to see if there is...
knee jerk post event and wait to see if there is continuation
standard unknown factors beforehand to be digest afterward
carry, fx are less enthused and rest is bouncy / flat save yields
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 2nd, 2024, 03:06 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
waiting on nfp, but the general action is still...
waiting on nfp, but the general action is still constrained from fomc
especially with a lower gamma with the roundtrip yday into today
dollar weakness possibly vs trend and really positioned to...
Forum:
Trading Journals
May 1st, 2024, 12:06 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
usd/chf seems to be a decent dollar strength...
usd/chf seems to be a decent dollar strength proxy maybe usd/mxn
having a harder time with usd/cad even with energy pressure
dollar basket is also buffered by eur and jpy crosses
//
...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 30th, 2024, 12:59 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
dollar strength makes the carry and vs yen or...
dollar strength makes the carry and vs yen or even cad
energy is slumping and things pointing lower
will watch vol as yields maintain higher
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 29th, 2024, 03:55 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
so the flat behavior is a coin-flip /...
so the flat behavior is a coin-flip / decision-making branch
and seeing that we pointed lower on several indexes
we choose to err on the side of caution
//
that said looking at ultra t...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 26th, 2024, 03:41 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
the bump should have been higher honestly ...
the bump should have been higher honestly
mag 7 is boiling with the lid on but can't break out
staying on with the diamonds and dollar is still pushing
(still collecting alpha from alphabet...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 25th, 2024, 10:20 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
looking at indexes, there was an issue where...
looking at indexes, there was an issue where mid-timeframe carried
vol also seemed to suggest this and yields were pressed as well
which suggests that '23 Q4 - '24 Q1 was less convincing
//...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 24th, 2024, 11:56 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
sell in may and go away is likely in effect.....
sell in may and go away is likely in effect.. trendless
for the short term maybe small swings
not seeing follow through
//
earnings, fomc, etc.
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 23rd, 2024, 12:55 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
the narrative post-covid remains, the start of...
the narrative post-covid remains, the start of the decade showed up with a stick save at support
the after effect of preventative easing haunts us but also provides adequate tailwinds
although...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 22nd, 2024, 02:41 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
though yields may have a another leg up pending...
though yields may have a another leg up pending may fomc
indexes and vol are progressing after the extended rout
stalling the bottom through earnings or frontrun
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 19th, 2024, 11:26 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
still solid with the carry and flattened response...
still solid with the carry and flattened response from yields and vol
one interesting bit is that dow is leading for once vs mag7 / large cap tech
so an allocation there might balance out...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 18th, 2024, 11:04 AM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
so yday we had the initiation from carry aud/jpy...
so yday we had the initiation from carry aud/jpy and vix
this spilled over into the nikkei which pulled in us indexes
we also verify through dark index and gamma this is the case
//
for...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 17th, 2024, 01:31 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
vol and carry is early on the turn while energy...
vol and carry is early on the turn while energy drips
we see that indexes are bouncing after some initial hesitation
will be interesting what unfolds for the next few days - weeks through...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 16th, 2024, 12:46 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
things settling for the dip, dow was dogged prior...
things settling for the dip, dow was dogged prior but now leading
vol gold crude bonds carries all waiting but poised
pending but turnaround tues in fx
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 15th, 2024, 02:36 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
bit of noise, carries still solid and energy...
bit of noise, carries still solid and energy positioning either way
yields are still dampened and vix running at highs
extra dipping action could provide opps
//
near the lows, would have...
Forum:
Trading Journals
April 14th, 2024, 07:46 PM
Replies:
83
2024 Dragon
Views:
2,546
Posted By
handspin
almost as if.. we are united in a war against...
almost as if.. we are united in a war against inflation
other wars are less important
and inflationary in the wrong manner
//
then from ww2 > viet / kor > cold > proxy > cooperative...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 82
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