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Trends and Nonlinear Dynamics
Started:March 22nd, 2010 (01:36 PM) by Fat Tails Views / Replies:5,211 / 20
Last Reply:January 25th, 2016 (09:36 PM) Attachments:11

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Trends and Nonlinear Dynamics

Old January 25th, 2016, 09:36 PM   #21 (permalink)
 R.I.P. 1969-2016 
montreal quebec/canada
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: CQG/NT7
Broker/Data: IB/AMP/CQG
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Posts: 2,149 since Sep 2015
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I've read one of his research paper a couple of days ago in which he explains in details the process he is using to make his predictions but I can't find it anymore.

I've read it rapidly and I have just barely scratch the surface but what I found very interesting is his idea that contrarily to "black swans" the events he calls "dragon kings" are perfectly predictable. Not long before that I had just read an interview of Jim Simons in which without giving any specific explanations he was suggesting the same kind of approach not to predict crash but in order to detected signs of major trends.

To be continued ?
@Fat Tails : I was hoping you could give us a crash course on Log Periodic Power Law But if you tell me that you also have barely understood Sornette I felt a little depress lol.

R.I.P. Olivier Terrier (aka "Okina"), 1969-2016.
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Last edited by Okina; January 25th, 2016 at 09:52 PM.
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