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Strategy Questions
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Created: by doseone Attachments:7

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Strategy Questions

  #11 (permalink)
Elite Member
Vancouver
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninja Trader
Broker/Data: Zen
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 13 since Dec 2009
Thanks: 2 given, 1 received

Market Orders.

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  #12 (permalink)
Administrator: Retired Backtester
 Vendor: speedytradingservers.com 
Rennes France
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: IB/Kinetick
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
sam028's Avatar
 
Posts: 3,366 since Jun 2009
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Did you try to backtest it with more data ?
One month is not enough (9 to 12 months minimum, and the more data you have, the better).
I don't want to be too pessimistic, but the avg win/loss ratio is not so great.
It's safer to have a small win/loss %, and a much bigger avg win/loss ratio.

Anyway, the backtests are just backtests, you'll have a better idea of how the system will works in let it trading live (on a simulation account).

Success requires no deodorant! (Sun Tzu)
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  #13 (permalink)
Membership Revoked
United States of America
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
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doseone View Post
Market Orders.

Good. That will increase the realism factor.

I'm interested in learning more about this.

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  #14 (permalink)
Elite Member
Vancouver
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninja Trader
Broker/Data: Zen
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 13 since Dec 2009
Thanks: 2 given, 1 received


sam028 View Post
Did you try to backtest it with more data ?
One month is not enough (9 to 12 months minimum, and the more data you have, the better).
I don't want to be too pessimistic, but the avg win/loss ratio is not so great.
It's safer to have a small win/loss %, and a much bigger avg win/loss ratio.

Anyway, the backtests are just backtests, you'll have a better idea of how the system will works in let it trading live (on a simulation account).

Sam,

Here are the results for 1 year back that's the best I can do and for fun I included the percent gain graph, it appears to have adjusted to the increased volatility quite well.

Like you said "backtests are just backtests" I will see if I can get some results on a simulation account.

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Strategy Questions-year_summary.jpg   Strategy Questions-percent_gain.jpg  
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