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Check out this equity curve!
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Check out this equity curve!

  #1 (permalink)
Elite Member
Asia
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
 
Posts: 798 since Jun 2009
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Check out this equity curve!

I'm tempted to try it as a contrarian strategy... short my own trade idea .

Have any of you had surprises in backtesting that gave you different ideas?

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  #2 (permalink)
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  #3 (permalink)
Elite Member
CA
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: MT4, Ninja Trader
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Yes, you should take the opposite of the signals.

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  #4 (permalink)
Administrator: Retired Backtester
 Vendor: speedytradingservers.com 
Rennes France
 
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sam028's Avatar
 
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It's maybe a joke, you can have similar EC with a system using very tiny stoploss, and a too large profit target.
That doesn't mean that doing the opposite, small profit target and a huge stoploss, is a good idea .

Success requires no deodorant! (Sun Tzu)
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  #5 (permalink)
Elite Member
Asia
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
 
Posts: 798 since Jun 2009
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. Actually its the ADXVMA strat I used last year (and stopped using when it stopped working). Now it seems better at identifying turns then catching the middle of a trend move...

I swapped the position logic (go short when long signal generated, etc) but alas, it still lost money though less regularly.

Forward testing against a basket of contracts in Sim for the heck of it while I work on some other things.

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  #6 (permalink)
 Vendor: www.probabletrades.com 
OC, California, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB/TWS, NinjaTrader, thinkorswim
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Go George Costanza on it!

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