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$1.2 trillion in stock market value lost so far from trade war sell-off with more exp
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$1.2 trillion in stock market value lost so far from trade war sell-off with more exp

  #21 (permalink)
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Where are we headed from here?

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  #22 (permalink)
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10Yr Yield at 2017 levels, does the bond market know something that the stock market doesn't, yet?

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Last edited by Skidboot; May 23rd, 2019 at 10:10 PM.
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  #23 (permalink)
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Just a release in the quantitative easing prior to the trump tax cuts. Bonds are naturally coming down as the economy was stimulated with those cuts and investors are more confident in the short to mid term economy. Very good sign the economy is strengthening because of the cuts and investors are more likely to spend to grow their business.

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  #24 (permalink)
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Hereís the damage done to the stock market since Trumpís May 5 trade tweet

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-the-damage-done-to-the-stock-market-sinc...age&mod=mw_theo_homepage

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Last edited by Skidboot; May 30th, 2019 at 09:29 PM.
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  #25 (permalink)
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Costco says trade war with China will ultimately lead to higher prices

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2019/05/30/costco-says-trade-war-china-ultimately-lead-higher-prices/1292473001/

Walmart: Chinese Tariffs Will Increase Prices for Consumers | Time

http://time.com/5590364/walmart-china-tariffs-increased-prices/

More US Companies Warn Tariffs will Lead to Higher Prices

https://learningenglish.voanews.com/a/more-us-companies-warn-tariffs-will-lead-to-higher-prices/4591638.html

New Trump tariffs would affect nearly 70% of consumer goods: Citi

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/new-trump-tariffs-would-affect-nearly-70-of-consumer-goods-165446628.html

The Truth About Tariffs

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/truth-about-tariffs


Last edited by Skidboot; May 31st, 2019 at 12:13 PM.
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  #26 (permalink)
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Simple economics made simpler

What is the main cause of inflation?
There are two main causes of inflation: Demand-pull and Cost-push. Both are responsible for a general rise in prices in an economy. ... Cost-push occurs when supply cost force prices higher. You may find some sources that cite a third cause of inflation, expansion of the money supply.

Does high inflation cause unemployment?
If inflation increases, Monetary authorities will tend to increase interest rates to reduce inflation. A sharp increase in interest rates can cause economic growth to fall, leading to recession and unemployment. ... Higher interest rates led to a rapid fall in consumer spending and investment.

How does cost push inflation affect unemployment?
A fall or left shift in Aggregate Supply is the cause of Cost-Push Inflation. ... An interaction of cost-push inflation and demand-pull inflation results in the Wage Price Spiral. The wage-price spiral suggests that rising wages increase disposable income, thus raising the demand for goods and causing prices to rise.

What will happen if unemployment increases?
A recession has a domino effect, where increased unemployment leads to less growth and a drop in consumer spending, affecting businesses, which lay off workers due to losses. A recession occurs when there are two or more consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

What is the Relationship Between Inflation and Interest Rates? https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/12/inflation-interest-rate-relationship.asp

U.S. Economy at a Glance - https://www.bea.gov/news/glance

United States GDP Growth Rate - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth


Last edited by Skidboot; May 31st, 2019 at 12:45 PM.
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  #27 (permalink)
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  #28 (permalink)
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Feuding Auto Industry Unites to Oppose Trump’s Import Tariffs

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-28/bickersome-auto-industry-uniting-to-oppose-trump-import-tariffs

Here are the states where Trump’s Mexico tariffs would hit the hardest

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/31/trump-mexico-tariffs-and-trade-war-would-hit-texas-and-michigan.html


Last edited by Skidboot; May 31st, 2019 at 04:41 PM.
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  #29 (permalink)
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Morgan Stanley Sees Recession Within a Year If Trade War Gets Any Worse
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-02/morgan-stanley-sees-recession-within-a-year-if-trade-war-builds

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  #30 (permalink)
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Skidboot View Post
Simple economics made simpler

What is the main cause of inflation?
There are two main causes of inflation: Demand-pull and Cost-push. Both are responsible for a general rise in prices in an economy. ... Cost-push occurs when supply cost force prices higher. You may find some sources that cite a third cause of inflation, expansion of the money supply.

Does high inflation cause unemployment?
If inflation increases, Monetary authorities will tend to increase interest rates to reduce inflation. A sharp increase in interest rates can cause economic growth to fall, leading to recession and unemployment. ... Higher interest rates led to a rapid fall in consumer spending and investment.

How does cost push inflation affect unemployment?
A fall or left shift in Aggregate Supply is the cause of Cost-Push Inflation. ... An interaction of cost-push inflation and demand-pull inflation results in the Wage Price Spiral. The wage-price spiral suggests that rising wages increase disposable income, thus raising the demand for goods and causing prices to rise.

What will happen if unemployment increases?
A recession has a domino effect, where increased unemployment leads to less growth and a drop in consumer spending, affecting businesses, which lay off workers due to losses. A recession occurs when there are two or more consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

What is the Relationship Between Inflation and Interest Rates? https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/12/inflation-interest-rate-relationship.asp

U.S. Economy at a Glance - https://www.bea.gov/news/glance

United States GDP Growth Rate - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth

Any article on the main causes of inflation that makes no mention of the fractional reserve system is not exactly providing a full, honest and accurate picture is it

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