Can the U.S. Economy Withstand the Emerging-Markets Mess? - News and Current Events | futures io social day trading
futures io futures trading


Can the U.S. Economy Withstand the Emerging-Markets Mess?
Updated: Views / Replies:185 / 0
Created: by kbit Attachments:1

Welcome to futures io.

(If you already have an account, login at the top of the page)

futures io is the largest futures trading community on the planet, with over 90,000 members. At futures io, our goal has always been and always will be to create a friendly, positive, forward-thinking community where members can openly share and discuss everything the world of trading has to offer. The community is one of the friendliest you will find on any subject, with members going out of their way to help others. Some of the primary differences between futures io and other trading sites revolve around the standards of our community. Those standards include a code of conduct for our members, as well as extremely high standards that govern which partners we do business with, and which products or services we recommend to our members.

At futures io, our focus is on quality education. No hype, gimmicks, or secret sauce. The truth is: trading is hard. To succeed, you need to surround yourself with the right support system, educational content, and trading mentors – all of which you can find on futures io, utilizing our social trading environment.

With futures io, you can find honest trading reviews on brokers, trading rooms, indicator packages, trading strategies, and much more. Our trading review process is highly moderated to ensure that only genuine users are allowed, so you don’t need to worry about fake reviews.

We are fundamentally different than most other trading sites:
  • We are here to help. Just let us know what you need.
  • We work extremely hard to keep things positive in our community.
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendors advertising in posts.
  • We firmly believe in and encourage sharing. The holy grail is within you, we can help you find it.
  • We expect our members to participate and become a part of the community. Help yourself by helping others.

You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community.  It's free and simple.

-- Big Mike, Site Administrator

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
 

Can the U.S. Economy Withstand the Emerging-Markets Mess?

  #1 (permalink)
Elite Member
Aurora, Il USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TradeStation
Favorite Futures: futures
 
kbit's Avatar
 
Posts: 5,872 since Nov 2010
Thanks: 3,301 given, 3,332 received

Can the U.S. Economy Withstand the Emerging-Markets Mess?

Emerging markets are convulsing. Violent protests pose serious threats to governments in Thailand and Ukraine, whose prime minister has just resigned. Inflation is surging—again—in Argentina. Stocks are tumbling in Turkey, India, and Brazil. An emerging market exchange-traded fund run by IShares (BLK) has dropped nearly 13 percent since October.

How likely is this contagion to spill over to the U.S.? To a degree, it already has. Since peaking toward the end of last year, both the Dow and the S&P 500-stock index have sold off more than 3 percent in the past 10 days. The U.S. economy has certainly caught colds from other parts of the world before, but a look back over the past two decades shows that the U.S. may be in a much stronger position this time around.

One of the best measures of the U.S. economy’s immune system is a running indicator kept by the Cleveland Fed called the Financial Stress Index. Designed to “track distress in the U.S. financial system,” the CFSI is a composite of 16 metrics across a handful of markets, including credit, equity, foreign exchange, and real estate. Right now, the amount of financial risk in the U.S. economy, as measured by the CFSI, is lower than it’s been since 1992.

A team of U.S. economists at RBC Capital Markets has put together an interesting chart laying out historic shocks against the CFSI:
Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


The U.S. economy's ability to resist foreign contagion looks pretty good these daysData: RBC Capital Markets US EconomicsThe U.S. economy's ability to resist foreign contagion looks pretty good these days

Times that outside crises have hit the U.S. hard coincided with periods of vulnerability in the U.S. Part of the reason the 2008 financial crisis was so terrible is that the U.S. financial system had years of stress built into it when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in September 2008. Two years later, when the Greek debt crisis started heating up, there was still a lot of stress in the U.S. economy from the housing bust working through the system. The euro zone crisis in 2011 coincided perfectly with the U.S. debt crisis and downgrade. Every one of these events gave a good kick to the U.S. economy and stock market.

But the U.S. has been de-stressing for the past two years. That’s why Jacob Oubina, senior U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets, thinks it is well-positioned to withstand the emerging-markets firestorm. “These could certainly be huge events for the individual countries, but on a global scale, we’re making a mountain out of a mole hill,” says Oubina.

Panic in Emerging Markets May Not Sink Markets in the U.S. - Businessweek

Reply With Quote

Reply



futures io > > > > Can the U.S. Economy Withstand the Emerging-Markets Mess?

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Upcoming Webinars and Events (4:30PM ET unless noted)

Jigsaw Trading: TBA

Elite only

FuturesTrader71: TBA

Elite only

NinjaTrader: TBA

Jan 18

RandBots: TBA

Jan 23

GFF Brokers & CME Group: Futures & Bitcoin

Elite only

Adam Grimes: TBA

Elite only

Ran Aroussi: TBA

Elite only
     

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Emerging Markets Pose New Problems for Mobile Giants Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 February 25th, 2013 07:10 PM
Emerging Markets: The Big Story of 2013? Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 February 10th, 2013 09:50 AM
Emerging Markets to Benefit From Treasurys Selloff: Mobius Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 March 20th, 2012 08:40 AM
Can U.S. economy withstand gasoline price curse? kbit News and Current Events 0 February 24th, 2012 01:52 PM
'Monstrous Risks' in Emerging Markets: Bernstein Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 June 9th, 2011 01:10 AM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:30 AM.

Copyright © 2017 by futures io, s.a., Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama, +507 833-9432, info@futures.io
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
no new posts
Page generated 2017-12-13 in 0.06 seconds with 20 queries on phoenix via your IP 54.221.93.187