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Why We See A Weaker U.S. Dollar Going Forward
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Why We See A Weaker U.S. Dollar Going Forward

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Why We See A Weaker U.S. Dollar Going Forward

By Douglas Borthwick:We wrote this original paper on August 8,2010. Some time has passed since then, and the USD/Index has dropped from 80.00 to 76.70. Meanwhile the EUR/USD has risen from 1.3250 to 1.3834. While the market has argued that this is against all odds, we argue it is to be expected and will continue going forward. Paragraphs in italics were written back in August 2010. Updates to this analysis are in regular font. We continue to expect the USD to weaken going forward, and remain short the USD/Index in our Long-Term Portfolio.

We have received a good amount of attention since we first discussed our reasoning for why the dollar would see a bout of weakness that would translate into a trend of pain. A number of things have changed since our first report in mid-June. With this report we hope to discuss in greater detail the analysis that has brought


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