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The Elusiveness Of Currency Diversification
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The Elusiveness Of Currency Diversification

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The Elusiveness Of Currency Diversification

By Marc Chandler:One challenge facing investors and portfolio managers is achieving diversification. Impressionistic views gained from everyday experience are confirmed by a number of academic studies. Diversification in the international capital markets is becoming increasingly difficult. Bond markets have long been highly correlated. Equity markets have become increasingly so. Foreign exchange was embraced by some money managers as a way to regain diversification, long thought to be a key aspect of modern portfolio theory.

The foreign exchange market itself is becoming more correlated. Recent reports noted that the euro's correlation to the US S&P 500 has never been greater, using daily correlations on a 30- and 60-day rolling basis. This is true going back before the euro was born in 1999, using the synthetic measure on Bloomberg. In this note we look at the euro's correlation with a handful of major and emerging market currencies. The main findings are: 1) other foreign


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