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A COMPARISON OF DIVIDEND, CASH FLOW, AND EARNINGS APPROACHES TO EQUITY VALUATION
Standard formulas for valuing equities require prediction of
payoffs "to infinity" for going concerns but a practical analysis
requires that they be predicted over finite horizons. This truncation
inevitably involves (often troublesome) "terminal value" calculations.
This paper contrasts dividend discount techniques, discounted cash flow
analysis, and techniques based on accrual earnings when applied to a
finite-horizon valuation. Valuations based on average ex post payoffs
over various horizons, with and without terminal value calculations, are
compared with (ex ante) market prices to give an indication of the error
introduced by each technique in truncating the horizon. Comparisons of
these errors show that accrual earnings techniques dominate free cash
flow and dividend discounting approaches. Further, the relevant
accounting features of each technique are identified and the source of
the accounting that makes it less than ideal for finite horizon analysis
(and for which it requires a correction) are discovered. Conditions
where a given technique requires particularly long forecasting horizons
are identified and the performance of the alternative techniques under
those conditions is examined.
 
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Details: A COMPARISON OF DIVIDEND, CASH FLOW, AND EARNINGS APPROACHES TO EQUITY VALUATION


January 22nd, 2017
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25 Rules of Trading 5 *
The success that a trader achieves in the markets is directly correlated to one’s trading
discipline or lack thereof. Trading discipline is 90 percent of the game. The formula is
very simple:Trade with discipline and you will succeed; trade without discipline and you
will fail.
 
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January 22nd, 2017
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Interactive Brokers Forex Instrument Average Spreads
Contains all forex instruments of Interactive Brokers and their average spreads. Couldn't find data on some. Used four sources to get data, and last row is smallest spread of the sources. Measured in pips, 1 = 1 pip spread.  
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January 22nd, 2017
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Forex Trading With Candlestick And Pattern
Includes 3 chapters.  
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January 17th, 2017
Size: 4.46 MB
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Russian Forex Studybook
All in Russian!  
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January 17th, 2017
Size: 4.92 MB
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Predicting Price Action 5 *
Price action is the foundation of all technical indicators, yet most traders do little to understand it. Within trades, price action creates the most important element of context, defining inflection points that affect market entry and exit. The sophisticated investor understands price action and uses it to frame every trading decision.  
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January 17th, 2017
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Keywords: forex
FOREX On-Line Manual For Successful Trading
Includes 7 chapters on forex market.  
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January 17th, 2017
Size: 2.94 MB
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Trading As A Business 5 *
Includes 9 chapters, author unknown  
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January 17th, 2017
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Fear and Greed in Financial Markets: A Clinical Study of Day-Traders
Andrew W. Loy, Dmitry V. Repinz, and Brett N. Steenbargeryy
First Draft: December 27, 2004
Abstract
We investigate several possible links between psychological factors and trading performance
in a sample of 80 anonymous day-traders. Using daily emotional-state surveys over a ve-
week period as well as personality inventory surveys, we construct measures of personality
traits and emotional states for each subject and correlate these measures with daily normal-
ized pro ts-and-losses records. We nd that subjects whose emotional reaction to monetary
gains and losses was more intense on both the positive and negative side exhibited sig-
ni cantly worse trading performance, and large sudden swings in emotional states seem
especially detrimental to cumulative pro ts-and-losses. Psychological traits derived from
a standardized personality inventory survey instrument do not reveal any speci c \trader
personality pro le", raising the possibility that trading skills may not necessarily be innate,
and that di erent personality types may be able to perform trading functions equally well
after proper instruction and practice.
 
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Details: Fear and Greed in Financial Markets: A Clinical Study of Day-Traders


January 17th, 2017
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Keywords: market psychology behaviorial finance efficiency
All About The Foreign Exchange Market In The USA by Sam Cross
Published 1998. Overview of Forex Market

The focus of the present book is once again
on the U.S. segment of the global foreign
exchange market. Chapters 1-3 describe the
structure of the market and how it has
changed. Chapters 4-6 comment on the main
participant groups and the instruments that
are traded. Chapters 7-8 look at foreign
exchange trading from a micro, rather than
macro, point of view—how an individual
bank or other dealing firm sees things.
Chapters 9-11 comment on some of the
broader issues facing the international
monetary system and how governments,
central banks, and market participants
operate within that system. This is followed by
an epilogue, emphasizing that there are many
unanswered questions, and that we can expect
many further changes in the period ahead,
changes that we cannot now easily predict.
 
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January 17th, 2017
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Calming The Mind So The Body Can Perform Robert M. Nideffer, Ph.D.
About getting into the "zone" through body-mind connection and four types of concentration.  
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January 17th, 2017
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Forex Seasonal Patterns by Cory Mitchell 5 *
The seasonal patterns of the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CAD and Dollar Index  
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January 17th, 2017
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The Art Of War by Sun Tzu 5 *
Insights and application to the battleground of markets.  
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January 17th, 2017
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What Moves The Currency Market by Kathy Lien
Short article on currency markets.  
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January 17th, 2017
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Goldman Sachs Suggested Reading List 5 *
Very long list compiled by former employees.  
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Details: Goldman Sachs Suggested Reading List


January 17th, 2017
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How George Soros Knows What He Knows, Towards a General Theory of Reflexivity By Flavia Cymbalista, Ph.D.
Very complicated, but insightful read.  
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Must read for day traders 5 *
This guy was a pit local for 30 years. Must know something.  
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Details: Must read for day traders


October 28th, 2011
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IFTA Journal on Technical Analysis 5 *
The International Federation of Technical Analysts publishes a yearly journal, which is available for free download here:

https://ifta.org/publications/journal/

I have attached the the journals from 2000 to 2011.
 
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October 28th, 2011
Size: 19.62 MB
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The Curious Case of Marketable Limit Orders 5 *
Order Submission Strategy and the Curious Case of Marketable Limit Orders

by Mark Peterson and Eri Sirri
 
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October 16th, 2011
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Keywords: orders ordertypes
Realistic Statistical Modelling of Financial Data 5 *
Research Paper published by Tina Rydberg in 1997.  
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September 10th, 2011
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limitations of market profile
This document I found it VERY interesting and has some ideas which could probably be used by any of you clever coders (IM Hoping someone like gomi will ) LOL  
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May 27th, 2011
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Who are you? 5 *
Good article by Linda.  
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Details: Who are you?


May 13th, 2011
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Notes from an FX professional 5 *
A friend of mine summarized some thoughts from the Head FX trader of a very large Chinese pension fund (I mean large).
By his own admission he was not a good daytrader, so don't take his comments about daytrading too seriously. On the other hand he was very good in the weekly and monthly time frames. There are several good nuggets, enjoy.
 
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May 13th, 2011
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Market microstructure for practitioners 4 *
Everything you wanted to know about markets and were afraid to ask.  
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May 13th, 2011
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Mark Douglas - Mind Over Market 5 *
Psychology in Today's Market

This video interview with Mark Douglas
is the best on the net that sum up all the trading psychology!

Want to get boosted
and talk about fear of trading or the outcome of a trade......must watch it now!

I've never watched a better Trader interview and still watch it over and over.

As Mark says "Trade don't think"

duration 53:32 flv video
 
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November 20th, 2010
Size: 71.83 MB
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Keywords: markdouglas psychology fear interview
Added Statistics Page to Big Mike's Trading Journal
This is Big Mike's Trading Journal with an additional page that calculates some basic statistics from the data on the first page.  
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September 6th, 2010
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Backadjusting Futures 4 *
This is a document that explains how to backadjust futures contracts.
 
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September 1st, 2010
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Keywords: backadjust merge rollover continuous
CME GLOBEX Access Directory
This is an overview of CME Group certified trading applications and broker.

Is your broker listed?

Do you use certified software?
 
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September 1st, 2010
Size: 1.92 MB
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CME Globex Reference Guide
Reference Document from CME Globex


Contains information on available order tyes and other.

Please check for new versions here:

https://www.cmegroup.com/globex/files/GlobexRefGd.pdf
 
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August 22nd, 2010
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"Playing the opening range breakout" - Toby Crabel 5 *
"Playing the opening range breakout" by Toby Crabel. This is a collection of Stocks & Commodities articles. It's a good summary if you don't want to read his entire book.  
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August 9th, 2010
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Congestion Counts 5 *
Congestion Counts help measure how many consecutive bars overlap each other. High counts can be a clue that the market is very range bound and building energy. There are two types of congestion counts to consider, the group method seemingly more useful. This was originally downloaded from here, which is sometimes a very slow link.
 
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August 3rd, 2010
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Trading Record Keeping 5 *
I think one of the most important things to do is keep track of your money.

Here is a set of spreadsheets I built that you can download. There are different tabs for each of the instruments you might trade and an overall section that combines each tab. All you have to do is enter the information into the white squares, and the program does all of the math and graphs.

I also have graphs that display your progress.

Finally I included a sheet that you can print and keep a daily log (record) of your efforts while you are trading (spreadsheets and trading don't mix well in real time).

I hope this is helpful.

Enjoy!
G
 
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July 31st, 2010
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Van Tharp, Make an honest appraisal
This one is about making an honest appraisal of yourself.  
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July 24th, 2010
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More Van Tharp..Personality types 5 *
This article is long but its great and has to do with the personality types and the styles of trading they may employ.  
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July 24th, 2010
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Van Tharp 5 *
Here are some of the freebies from the Van Tharp website...

Stop worrying yourself out of profits
 
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July 24th, 2010
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Getting Started: Building a Sound Foundation for Your Trading Career by Jeff Quinto 5 *
I watched Jeff's video on creating a Trading Plan (a great refresher covering the important elements):

http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/quinto_videos/video2/index.html

At the end of the clip, you have the option to download the subject (from CME Group).

Enjoy!
 
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July 23rd, 2010
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Master The Markets by Tom Williams 5 *
Downloaded from:
https://www.scribd.com/doc/20343678/Master-the-Markets-TOM-WILLIAMS
 
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July 18th, 2010
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Strategy:10 Low Risk/High Return Currency Trading (Rob Booker) 5 *
I like the "bear chased two hikers" opening + more ..
 
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July 7th, 2010
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Keywords: wgreenie
Lifestyles of the Rich and Pipped (Rob Booker & Kim Shaftner, MD)
In addition to a profitable trading system, the authors reminded us some really simple yet important things to do. Enjoy!
 
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July 7th, 2010
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Help! An Angry Bear is Destroying My Account! (Rob Booker) 5 *
It gave specific tips on how to deal with losses (in an entertaining manner).
 
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July 7th, 2010
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Oh, Crap (Rob Booker) 5 *
Another cute one!
 
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July 7th, 2010
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The Woodchuck and the Possum (Rob Booker)
I believe traders (not just Forex ones) will enjoy this light read!
 
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July 7th, 2010
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The Miracle of Discipline by Rob Booker 5 *
I enjoyed his e-Books as they're very easy to read and relevant to my development of a Successful Trading Career!
 
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July 7th, 2010
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123 Trading System Set Up 4 *
A simple introduction to locate 123 patterns.

Note: I did not buy the 12-3 trading signal. It's a freebie upon signing up for its free e-newletters.
 
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July 3rd, 2010
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7 Habits of a Highly Successful Trader
A refreshing reminder - Enjoy!
 
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July 1st, 2010
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How to Use Bar Patterns to Spot Trade Setups 4 *
Interesting setups using a combination of inside and outside bars.
 
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June 16th, 2010
Size: 907.65 KB
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Keywords: action bars price inside outside
Scalping calculation spreadsheet
Someone was trying to sell a course that scalps for 3 ticks on the ES with a 5 tick stop loss. Then someone asked "what's your win rate?" and he said "about 80%." So how much money do you think you could make if that win rate is achievable? Does that include commissions and taxes?

Use this spreadsheet to find out the answer to this and the profitability of other profit target/stop loss/win rate scenarios. Of course this does not include draw down or any Monte Carlo scenarios but this is useful for quick math situations.
 
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June 16th, 2010
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Big Mike's CL (crude oil) journal V1 4 *
From

Here is a video blog about trading CL. I also share my usual opinions on multiple time frames and indicators/simplicity, money management, etc.

Play the VLC media player if you have any issues after unzipping, just like all my videos in the Downloads section.

I'll try to keep this journal updated with CL thoughts and trades.

Small chart: 89 volume
Medium chart: 6 range
Large chart: 12 range

I've attached a screen shot (not shown here click link to see) but the main point of this post is in the video not the screen shot.

Mike
 
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Details: Big Mike's CL (crude oil) journal V1


June 12th, 2010
Size: 102.03 MB
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Keywords: bmt cl video
HowToTellWhereTradersPlaceTheirOrders 5 *
TraderInterviews.com sent this worth mentioning 12 pages eBook.



Every new trader should SEE where orders sit and understand why sometimes price is rejected very fast at a breakout or price stall on high volumes.


This is part of a good Price Action understanding and could help you avoid bad entries.



Good Trading!
 
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April 30th, 2010
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Keywords: picotrader order placement
Traders Trick Entry by Joe Ross 4 *
in this 57 pages eBook, Joe explains his TTE ( Traders Trick Entry).


You must read the Law of Charts first....for the Ross Hook details.

This is the third step in the 1-2-3 world of patterns.
 
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April 22nd, 2010
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Law of charts by Joe Ross
This 25 pages ebook from Joe Ross takes the 1-2-3 Pattern a step further.


The (Ross Hook) entry.
 
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April 22nd, 2010
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1-2-3 Trading Signal by Mark Crisp
This 1-2-3 pattern, 24 pages ebook by Mark Crisp is one of the best


You can look for the Joe Ross TTE ( Traders Trick Entry ) to get more of this pattern.
 
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April 22nd, 2010
Size: 1.13 MB
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Workout for optimal trading performance 5 *
Not kidding, get in shape and trade better:

This is not easy, take your time, you have the rest of your life..
 
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March 22nd, 2010
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Keywords: ztr workout
Expiration Calendar 5 *
All the expiration dates for all instruments , no need to guess  
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March 21st, 2010
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Video: High Probability vs. High Profit Strategies 4 *
Recorded webinar from SFO magazine featuring forex trader, author and analyst Kathy Lien
 
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March 1st, 2010
Size: 44.18 MB
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Keywords: high shodson probability profit
Think and Grow Rich 5 *
A simple, practical, step-by-step guide that any person can follow to achieve success and monetary goals.

I just started reading it and it's highly recommended by some friends.

Enjoy!
 
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January 11th, 2010
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The Little Book That Beats The Market by Joel Greenblatt 4 *
I finished reading the Little Book within hours. Very practical and useful for me. I registered for the free formula website and have a list of tentative stocks to work on (my next project once I get settled with my Futures daytrading).

Enjoy!
 
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January 3rd, 2010
Size: 1.52 MB
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Market Profile CME handbook 5 *
Oldie but goodie.
 
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December 19th, 2009
Size: 12.63 MB
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Mental Fitness for Traders 5 *
This book is actually a compilation of 15 articles Norman Hallett of Subconscious Training Corp wrote for TradersWorld Magazine. Free download as follows:

https://directyourmind.com/pdf/MentalFitnessForTraders.pdf

Enjoy!
 
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December 15th, 2009
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How to Use Bar Patterns to Spot Trade Setups 4 *
This was published by ElliottWave.com. It covers double inside bars, arrows, popguns, and three setups using these bar patterns.
 
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December 9th, 2009
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EFT manual / Build Your Money Muscle
I just wanted to share this document that I have found on the internet , about EFT ( Emotional Freedom Therapy ) focus is mainly on attacting money and building those money muscles !!
Enjoy !
 
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December 8th, 2009
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Trading Cash Flow Spreadsheet
Attached is a spreadsheet to use for planning how much you can withdraw from your trading account on a monthly basis based on your daily profit goal and number of days trading each month.

It includes a very rough tax calculator... (very rough).

For a business planning cash flow, you would need to add in your trading costs (data feed, charting package, fund for equipment replacement, etc.) as deductions against yield. You could also add in interest on unused funds if your broker does that.

You can create various scenarios for yourself based on "expected" results, "worst case", "best case".

Hopefully it will help you create realistic expectations of what you can expect to withdraw and still keep your account balance at an appropriate level.
 
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October 29th, 2009
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BrooksSetups2 5 *
.pdf with some info related to this thread.


Hat Tip to >> Forrestang << @ traders laboratory ...
 
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October 21st, 2009
Size: 7.02 MB
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BrooksSetups1
.pdf with some info related to this thread.


Hat Tip to >> Forrestang << @ traders laboratory ...
 
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October 21st, 2009
Size: 6.07 MB
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Sounds 5 *
I have attacked a bunch of .wav files. Have fun with these for different alerts!  
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August 12th, 2009
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The Complete Guide to Day Trading - free ebook 5 *
Everyone,

I happen to get an e-mail offering a free ebook for this book which normally sells for about $15 on Amazon.com.

It is available for free from the author here:
https://www.infinityfutures.com/markusebook.aspx

Has anyone read it? Thoughts?

Gary
 
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July 21st, 2009
Size: 1.18 MB
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BMT Video: July 17th 2009 - Indicators are not the answer 5 *
This video is about learning to trade the market for what it is. Indicators are not going to teach you this. The market is ever changing and indicators can only get you so far along in your journey.

At some point you need to just simply learn how to trade. Spend your time and energy wisely.

Instructions:

1) Unrar. Download winrar if needed.
2) Watch. Download a mp4 player ( vlc) if needed.
 
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July 16th, 2009
Size: 50.16 MB
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BMT Video: July 12th 2009 5 *
This video talks about trading the ZN on Thr July 9th 2009. It goes over several setups and reviews them bar by bar, starting with the large time frame, then looking at the smaller time frames for entries.

It also talks about some money management and trading rules I employ.

Instructions:

1) Unrar. Download winrar if needed.
2) Watch. Download a mp4 player ( vlc) if needed.
 
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July 12th, 2009
Size: 59.68 MB
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BMT Video: July 4 2009
This video emphasizes the crucial importance of observing a larger time frame chart, even when scalping.

It shows an 11 range chart on the ZN 09-09 and even though we are only trading a 4 range chart, this clearly demonstrates why a bigger picture chart is a requirement.

This is a must watch video if you are not making money.

Mike

Instructions:
1) Unrar. Download winrar if needed.
2) Watch. Download a mp4 player ( vlc) if needed.
 
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July 4th, 2009
Size: 32.10 MB
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Excel spreadsheet Trading Journal 5 *
The version of the spreadsheet I have attached allows you to enter "Entry reasons" and "Exit reasons" as a pre-defined list that will be available via a drop-down menu when you are entering trades.

Look at the screen shot for an example.

I also strongly encourage you to journal your trades here on the forum. By doing so you'll take your trading to a whole new level, you can read more why I think so here:
 
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July 2nd, 2009
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BMT Video: June 26 2009
In this video blog I recap Friday's price action and talk about why, for me, it is so important to have multiple time frames/charts up. Friday was an extremely choppy day, yet we either made money or at least didn't lose any.

Mike

Instructions:
1) Unrar. Download winrar if needed.
2) Watch. Download a mp4 player ( vlc) if needed.
 
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June 26th, 2009
Size: 47.79 MB
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Murrey Math Tutorial
I have found this tutorial via </google> ...
It is quite simple ... as
 
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June 23rd, 2009
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BMT Video: Illustration of Murrey Math
This quick video shows some ZN 09-09 price action with Murrey Math.

I also briefly talked about EOT's Allas Average, which I am using and like a lot.

Mike

Instructions:
1) Unrar. Download winrar if needed.
2) Watch. Download a mp4 player ( vlc) if needed.
 
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Details: BMT Video: Illustration of Murrey Math


June 22nd, 2009
Size: 18.97 MB
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Murrey Math: Understanding it and trading it
This archive contains a PowerPoint presentation showing 10 lessons on trading Murrey Math, and it includes an overview of "how to trade Murrey Math Lines (MML)" by a fellow trader.

Please also see this forum topic for detailed look at Murrey Math trading:


Mike
 
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Details: Murrey Math: Understanding it and trading it


June 20th, 2009
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Trading Plan Template 5 *
Here is Trading Plan Template, for beginners... like me...
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Details: Trading Plan Template


June 12th, 2009
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