|April 20th, 2015, 07:28 AM||#1 (permalink)|
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Favorite Futures: Future
Posts: 15 since Jan 2015
Thanks: 0 given, 2 received
USA : see charts attached .
So as u can see a lot of bull patterns have been made on friday's bottom in USA ( nasdaq100 , mini dow , mini es and Spx ) . I still think ( high prob ) that the top is not here and soon a last wave up will follow . I move the target of this wave up from 2140-2180 to 2180-2240 .
On any USA indices I see no bear pattern daily or weekly or intraday .
The AAII sentiment shows very low bullish sentiment ( 32,07 ; excess is when above 55 and better above 60 ) :
For all these reasons the goal is still to buy and find where .
I see 2 outcomes :
-bottom was made friday ( Esm15 didnt reachits 2050 but NKY and Dax reached their targets at 19600 and 11800-11780 ) and we wait retrace of bull pattern at 2070 esm15 to buy .
-bottom is not made yet : esm15 sees 2050-2040 first and there on any bull pattern intraday it is buy .
Europe : Dax reached target :11800-11780 but so far no intraday bull pattern . So I suspect on monday a quick down at opening and esm15 retest 2070 then bull pattern and up begin to 12500-13000 . Same idea on Cac40 and eurostoxx50 .
However , keep in mind that PSI20 ( portugal ) and Bel20 ( belgium ) did bear patterns and eurostoxx50 and eurostoxxbank did too ( 2weeks timeframe ) . So wednesday u asked which indices to play these last leg up I prefer much more SPX , DJIA ( very confident on this one) , Cac40 and NKY . I will not touch eurostoxx (too heavy in banks) and Dax .
Japan: NKY : it reached 19600 ( closed at 19565 ) , however no clear bull pattern intraday so it shd follow USA and europe on monday and close the gap at 19435 so 19450 on Nxm15 . Then bullish to 204xx-206xx ; max 21500 . M