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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #841 (permalink)
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Profit warning de l'Espagne.

PIB revu à la baisse de -0.50 à -1.30%

Ils font ça par trimestre. On finira l'année à -3%

En France: on finira l'année entre -1.20 et -1.50% là où en début d'année le gouvernement tablait sur +1.50 revu il y a une semaine à +0.10

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  #842 (permalink)
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Bonjour Emmanuel,

C'est bon pour ton short €

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  #843 (permalink)
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PIB US


+2.5% contre +3% attendu.

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  #844 (permalink)
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CAC journalier.

Je compte faire une mise à jour ce week-end, mais voici mon scénario au regard des éléments graphiques disponibles à cet instant:


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3720/3800/3600

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Un copain vient de m'envoyer un graph du DJIA

avec une figure en tête/épaules. Je ne sais pas ce qu'elle vaut.

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Ligne de cou à 14450 pour un objectif à 14000.


Le problème des figures chartistes, c'est que quand bcp les voient, elles ne fonctionnent pas.


Je reste sur mon scénario de fin du cycle de ditribution le 29 avril pour une baisse à 13500 environ d'ici 2 mois maximum.

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  #846 (permalink)
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Ca va?

Que dit ton timing dans les jours ou semaines à venir? vas-y mouille-toi!

Pour moi il y aura une remontée jusqu'au 30/4 cac (29 aux US) voire 01/5 si Paris ouvert.Ensuite 3 semaines de baisse .

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  #847 (permalink)
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Bonjour,

Rappel:

L'analyse qui va suivre n'est ni un conseil d'achat ni de vente. Il s'agit de mon point de vue que je partage avec vous.

Conscient de l'influence que cela peut avoir sur les lecteurs, mes points de vue sont publiés après vérification de plusieurs dizaines d'éléments que je n'évoque pas forcément.

Mise en garde:

Ces derniers temps, en France, en raison de l'opacité des marchés, il y a beaucoup de gens qui publient des analyses qu'ils présentent comme les leurs. Ca aurait été formidable. Malheureusement, c'est totalement faux!

En effet, ce monde est petit. Les compétences des uns et des autres sont relativement connues. A ma connaissance, il ne reste que 3 ou 4 personnes qui ont encore le mérite de publier des travaux sensés et argumentés. Les autres les reprennent à leurs comptes, parfois tels quels, parfois en modifiant l'apparence des graph. Certains les vendent carrément, d'autres dans le but de se faire mousser.

Je connais un type qui a une super réputaion d'analyste en France depuis 6 ans. Il a écrit un livre et possède un site avec abonnements payants. Il publie entre autre sur le site "Objectif Eco". Et bien ce mec n'a jamais fait une seule analyse. Il va sur un site américain que je fréquente depuis l'an 2000, reprend les graph d'un intervenant, ajoute 1 ou 2 bricoles en français, traduit le texte sur Google et le colle. Ca lui prend 5 minutes. Quel dommage!

Cette situation est très dangeureuse dans la mesure où quand les 3 ou 4 analystes d'origine se plantent, les suiveurs y laissent des plumes.

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S&P hebdomadaire.

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Texte dans le graph.

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CAC 40.

Le graph est en hebdo mais le scénario est général.


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Sanofi journalier.


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