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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #491 (permalink)
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Pour information.

Hier, en journalier, le Dow Transport et le Russell 2000 ont fait des englobantes baissières après des plus hauts historiques les jours d'avant.

Deux indices precurseurs de la tendance aux USA.

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Bonjour Anas et tlm. Pour moi cette semaine les US vont corriger (ta vague A).

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  #493 (permalink)
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Mon sentiment à cet instant.


Le CAC va remonter d'ici jeudi à 3780/90 et chuter à 3600 les jours suivants.

J'ai remarqué que de plus en plus d' "analystes" commencent à passer baissiers alors que mi-mars ils étaient 100% haussiers. Ils restent tout de même une bonne moitié qui vise un CAC entre 4200 et 4500 courant 2013 sans préciser le timing. Ca nous ferait des indices US 15% plus haut dans la mesure où le CAC va perdre 100 pts de dividendes, et sans intégrer une éventuelle détérioration dans la zone euro. Ca manque de bon sens je trouve.

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Bonjour Ngu Yen,


ngu yen View Post
Bonjour Anas et tlm. Pour moi cette semaine les US vont corriger (ta vague A).


Pendant combien de séances d'après toi?

Parce que la, en 30mn et en horaire le CAC est passé haussiers au dessus de 3750 objectifs respectifs à 3765 et 3780/90. les 3765 peuvent être atteints aujourd'hui mais les 3780/90 je me demande si on ne va pas les faire que jeudi en spéculant sur la BCE. Entre temps j'espère que le S&P ira à 1580 et le DJIA autour de 14700 avant de corriger.

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CAC journalier.

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Surprenante cette poussée haussière sans info particulière. On dirait que quelqu'un voudrait repasser haussier pendant quelques jours. Du coup, on a pris de l'avance sur les futurs US.

Comme dit hier, la zone 3780/810 est une resistance importante. 3830 c'est le max en cas d'excès (oblique long terme)

Je propose 3780/90 ou un peu plus puis 3600 prochainement.

Ce qui me contrarie c'est le S&P futur n'est qu'à 1563 en ce moment (objectif 1580 plus ou moins). Soit on a pris de l'avance, soit on va remonter jusqu'à 3810.

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Pour une hausse de l'Oréal de 1.70%

plus 4 jours de valeur temps, les put septembre ne sont qu'à -6% et certains inchangés.

En temps normal, ils seraient à -25/30%

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Surprenante cette poussée haussière sans info particulière. On dirait que quelqu'un voudrait repasser haussier pendant quelques jours. Du coup, on a pris de l'avance sur les futurs US....

Je pense: rien de surprenant aujourd'hui - comme c'est une nouvelle semaine qui reçoit l'argent parqué à nouveau...
Pour demain - le chemain est préparé vers le bas.

GFIs1

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Je pense: rien de surprenant aujourd'hui - comme c'est une nouvelle semaine qui reçoit l'argent parqué à nouveau...
Pour demain - le chemain est préparé vers le bas.

GFIs1


En Suisse, les banques reçoivent de l'argent au début du mois peut-être.
En France, le 2 du mois on paye 622 000 hommes politiques à ne rien faire. Dès le 5 nous sommes à découvert

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AnasParis View Post
En Suisse, les banques reçoivent de l'argent au début du mois peut-être.

J'ai parlé que pour l'argent parqué avant le fin du mois mars (trimestre) et avant un GRAND weekend...
C'est pour tous les pays et les bourses touchées par constriction catholique...
Les éléments weekend / fin d'un trimestre et un très long weekend (Pâques) est une situation à reconnaître et râre.

GFIs1

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CAC 30 mn.


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Scénario:


3740/50 cet après-midi.

3780/90 demain.

3600 d'ici la semaine prochaine.


Je ne tiens pas compte des excès.

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