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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #461 (permalink)
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Quelques éléments nouveaux indiquent

que le CAC va baisser en dessous de 3650 dans les jours à venir. D'ici mercredi ou au plus tard jeudi matin, on peut descendre quelques parts entre 3570 et 3600. Je n'ai pas le point exact mais c'est ce que je vais chercher aujourd'hui.

La vague A ne prendra fin qu'à ce niveau. S'ensuivra un retracement. La encore, faut que je trouve le niveau.

Le scénario est donc le même mais les niveaux doivent être adaptés.


Last edited by AnasParis; March 28th, 2013 at 02:40 AM.
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  #462 (permalink)
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Je propose ça:

CAC hebdo.

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3600 d'ici le 3 ou 4 avril

3750 entre le 4 et le 9 avril. Ici, si le retracement se fait un peu plus haut, sachez que la zone 3780/810 devient résistance importante dans l'immédiat. Même si on y retourne cela ne remet pas en cause l'impulsion baissière qui doit suivre dont l'objectif est à 3450.

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Le mieux est qu'on solde nos shorts


dans la zone 3600/3650 et qu'on les reprenne après le retracement. On a une semaine pour trouver si c'est 3750 ou un peu plus.

Quelques positions haussières peuvent être prises à proximité des 3600. Le retracement peut être fait en 3 séances.

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  #464 (permalink)
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S&P futur 60 mn.

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C'est baissier objectif 1540. De quoi faire baisser le CAC à 3650 je pense.


Il y a cette histoire d'ouverture des banques chypriotes aujourd'hui (fin de matiné). Ils ont interdit aux gens de retirer plus de 300€ par jour et de ne pas virer plus de 5000€ par mois à l'étranger y compris les non chypriotes.

Sinon, n'oubliez pas mon pari sur les indices US page précédente

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  #465 (permalink)
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FCE 30 mn.

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La résistance. En cas de dépassement il y a celle en horaire à 3750. Mais je pense qu'on va baisser à 3650 conformément à ce que j'ai proposé hier.

Pourvu que la volatilité augmente pour que la boll en journalier s'ouvre un peu pour laisser place à une conso jusqu'à 3600 d'ici mercredi prochain.

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La résistance passe exactement à 3730/32

sur le CAC cash.

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CAc 30 mn.

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On a tutoyé la résistance et on a baissé. Les bancaires sont dans la même configuration.

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CAC 30 mn.

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C'est assez mitigé. La résistance passe à 3726 maintenant. Elle est à 3750 en horaire.

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Le fait qu'on ait testé la résistance

30 mn 3 fois depuis ce matin fait qu'elle va probablement casser poour aller à 3750 et baisser.

Ce n'est pas certain mais c'est comme ça que ça se passe.

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Le potentiel de hausse sur les indices américains


est inférieur à 1% ou plus exactement de 0.70/80%

Les options put ont agmenté cet après-midi sur plusieurs valeurs du CAC. Les opérateurs comptent les vendre prochainement.

Plusieurs valeurs ne participent pas au rebond. Les mêmes qu'on achète (L'Oréal + Sanofi + selon news flow)

Le rebond du CAC peut en rester à 3750 mais ce qu'on risque c'est 3780/5 mais ce n'est pas vraiment un risque car ça permettrait d'optimiser nos shorts.

Dans tous les cas, les objectifs à la baisse prochainement sont inchangés.

Je ne crois pas qu'on ai fait la vague B aujourd'hui. On est tjrs dans la vague A qui doit descendre à 3600 avant rebond à 3750 à nouveau puis 3450.

Je crois qu'aujourd'hui les marchés ont été soutenu par précaution suite à l'ouverture des banques à Chypre.

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