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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #361 (permalink)
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Je croise les doigts, mon cher ami.




AnasParis View Post
avec L'évolution du dossier chypriote le week-end prochain.

Abdel, pourvu que la Russie pète un câble pour que tu puisses sortir de ton short Dow


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  #362 (permalink)
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CAC 30 mn.

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Il y a cette divergence haussière qui peut nous envoyer demain minimum vers 3790/800.

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  #363 (permalink)
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Je pense que demain matin on va monter encore


à cause de la divergence haussière jusqu'à 3800 (excès possible) et on va s'éclater dans l'après midi jusqu'à 3720/30 car la MM10 en journalier qui était stable est désormais baissière quand je zoome.

Faut que je regarde ce soir avec précision.

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  #364 (permalink)
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Pourquoi je pense qu'on va baisser demain après midi?

Parce que seules Total, Sanofi et BNP remontent pour le pullback. Le reste des valeurs qui ont baissé aujourd'hui n'ont pas rebondi.

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GDF suez, EDF viennent de passer haussières en

journalier. FTE l'était depuis quelques jours. Total en range. Bancaires un peu survendu. A contrario, une dizaine de valeurs viennent de passer baissières avec des englobantes assez méchantes.

Les US toujours haussiers. Le VIX ne rebondit pas des masses. la volatilite augmente par contre sur le VCAC (notre VIX).

Je ne suis pas encore sûr mais je me demande s' ils ne vont pas nous vendre en continuant à monter comme ils le font traditionnellement.


Faut que je regarde ce soir qui a vendu quoi, pourquoi, dans quels volumes...etc.


Bonne soirée à tous et à demain

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  #366 (permalink)
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DJIA journalier.

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Il n'est que 19h12 donc à voir en clôture. Si elle se fait sous 14430/40 c'est free lunch pour 14000 (S&P 1500).

Ca veut dire que nous sommes déjà en vague A. Suivi d'un retracement de 50% soit 14250 environ (vague B) puis vague C assez violente où le VIX monte généralement au dessus de 25. L'objectif de la vague C est 13200/300 (S&P à 1420). Voir ma mise à jour de ce matin.

S'ils sauvent la clôture, le scénario ne sera que retardé de quelques jours.

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  #367 (permalink)
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CAC journalier.

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3810 devient resistance. La cassure de 3760 envoie direct à 3720/30. La cassure de ce niveau fait basculer la tendance à baissière avec comme objectif 3650/60 (vague A). Un pullback à 3730/40 (vague B) puis 3450 (vague C).


Je vous l'ai déjà dit, c'est un peu laborieux au départ car les opérateurs ne savent pas où aller mais une fois le consensus est baissier ça roule.

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La clôture de ce soir aux USa suggère le

début de la correction baissière. Même s'il y a un peu de"bruit" au début, les objectifs sont les suivants:


S&P: 1500 puis 1530/35 puis 1420.
DJIA: 14000 puis 14250 puis 13200.
CAC: 3660 puis 3730 puis 3450.
DAX: 7750 puis 7880 puis 7250/300.

On va se gaver je crois



Ajout:


A très court terme, c'est à dire les deux ou trois prochaine séances, les 3720/30 vont résister et envoyer les prix jusqu'à 3780/85 pour pullbacker la MM10 avant de descendre à 3650/60.

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Vous avez des remarques? ou des scénarios

alternatifs?

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  #370 (permalink)
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Bonjour Anas et tlm,
Je pense qu'on pourrait faire une hausse lundi/mardi matin pour saluer une pseudo- solution pour Chypre avant de tout casser ...

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