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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #301 (permalink)
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Fin des options sur actions sur le CAC à 11h55.

Certains gérants vont vendre un peu.

13h sur le DAX.

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  #302 (permalink)
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Malgré la tendance haussière, plusieurs

actions sont dans une configuration similaire à Schneider dont je poste le graph en journalier ci-dessous:


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Le moindre signal baissier sur l'indice et elles plongent toutes.

Exemple: L'Oréal, Pernod, PPR, Renault, Sanofi...etc.

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  #303 (permalink)
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Un autre élément qui plaide en faveur d'une baisse


prochaine des indices: les volumes.

Ci-dessous, les volumes sur le S&P futur: il y a une sacré divergence avec les prix.


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Hier soir, je regardais le DJIA juste avant le fixing: à 5 mn de la clôture, les volumes n'était que de 62 millions. Ils ont rajouté 44 millions au fixing.

J'ai regardé l'historique des volumes et 62 millions avant le fixing, est un record à la baisse. Même lors les demi séances les veilles de noel et du nouvel an, les volumes sont supérieurs à 80 millions.

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  #304 (permalink)
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CAC 30mn.

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3850 devient résistance. Je pense qu'on va descendre jusqu'à 3820 voire 3810 (3813) dès ce soir.

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CAC futur en journalier version Chandeliers Japonais.

Quelques anticipations:


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Dans la mesure où on a fait un nouveau plus haut et également un nouveau plus bas.

1/ On clôture sous 3840, de préférence vers le plus bas possible du côté de 3820, la bougie sera une englobante baissière. La figure baissière la plus puissante.

2/ on remonte mais on ne fait pas un nouveau plus haut et la bougie est rouge. Ca sera un pendu. Au sommet d'une tendance haussière, il annonce un retournement à la baisse les jours suivants.

3/ En revanche, si on fait un nouveau plus haut et la bougie est verte, la tendance reste haussière.


Je vous dirai dans la soirée le nom de la bougie.

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  #306 (permalink)
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VIX hebdo.

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la divergence est toujours active. Je ne sais pas quand mais ça peut exploser à tout moment.


La bougie de cette semaine est une anomalie. On voit que c'était pour empocher les mises sur options de ceux qui ont joué le rebond à 12.5 dans la mesure où on a rebondi plusieurs fois sur ce niveau.

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Point avant clôture.

La tendance reste baissière en 30 mn. Un retour à 3850 lundi est toujours possible avant chute à 3810 (3813).


En journalier, à moins d'une manip pendant le fixing, la bougie du jour est baissière.


Quand à l'englobante baissière, le graph je l'ai fait tout à l'heure sur le FCE, alors faut attendre 22h pour se pronnoncer.

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Un stupide a voulu acheter 200 000 EADS au fixing mais

il a mis 20 millions et l'action a pris 3%

Je ne sais pas si cela va être considéré comme une anomalie et corrigé lundi matin. Retour case départ pour
mes put :-(


Je ferai le point dès que j'ai un moment dimanche.


Bon week-end à tous


Last edited by AnasParis; March 15th, 2013 at 03:20 PM.
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Je ferai une mise à jour dès cette nuit suite à

quelques demandes.

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Schneider journalier: conso.


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Objectif 56 et si casse 50/51 free lunch.

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