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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #281 (permalink)
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Bonjour à tous,

Le VIX a rebaissé pour clôturer à 11.83 mais les divergences en journalier et en hebdomadaire restent actives. Elles le resteront même s'il baisse à 10.


S&P futur journalier:

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Le potentiel reste faible (10/15 points) voire épuisé car le DJIA qui drive les indices a touché sa bollinger mensuelle avant hier et n'a pas fait de nouveau plus haut hier.

On remarque la présence de divergence sur les volumes, sur le MACD et sur le RSI qui reste sous sont axe.
Les deux moyennes mobiles dont je vous ai parlées hier continuent leur tentative de convergence.

En cas de retournement baissier, le support est à 1500 et en cas de cassure il n y a rien avant 1400.

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  #282 (permalink)
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CAC.

Il n y a pas grand chose à analyser dans la mesure où les 3 séances de cette semaine se sont déroulées dans un range entre 3820 et 3850.

Je vous rappelle donc le scénario que je joue et défend depuis plusieurs jours.

3850 est une resistance majeure en hebdomadaire. Fausse sortie en journalier ou intraday jusqu'à 3880 possible mais pas sûre.

Timing: visiblement ils ont tout fait pour rester haut jusqu'aux sorcières de demain vendredi. C'était un risque et nous en avions parlé. Après le 15 mars, à tout moment la correction peut se déclencher sans être sûr du jour exact.

En cas de retournement baissier, je n'identifie pas de supports car je pense que va suivre les US. Objectif possible aux alentours des 3450 sir le S&P baisse à 1400.



Résumé:


Il n y a pas de certitudes en bourse mais je pense que le plus probable est une baisse de 10/12% des indices prochainement.


Anas

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  #283 (permalink)
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Graph.


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.

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  #284 (permalink)
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FCE 30 et 60mn.

Haussiers ce matin. Pas d'objectifs.

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CAC 30mn.

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.

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On ne peut pas dire dès aujourd'hui

si on a fait les plus hauts ou pas encore. D'un point de vue graphique, on a besoin d'une bougie (de retournement) en journalier.

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D'après certains éléments, la séance

de demain sera assez baissière. Dans tous les cas, vendredi (bougie hebdo), une clôture au dessus de 3850 est peu probable.


Je note, qu'en France, gérants et analyses, sont haussiers objectifs entre 4000 et 4400 rapidement.

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AnasParis View Post
...de demain sera assez baissière. ...


Merci @AnasParis
je vois assez pareil:
Commencement à 9:00 bougie verte..
après que des rouges :-)

GFIs1

"en pensant que les hauts sont histoire pour le moment"

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Le RSI de pas mal de valeurs du CAC

est entre 75 et 85 en hebdo ou en mensuel. Du jamais vu depuis la bulle internet.

Les indicateurs sont tellement tendus qu'il y a risque de cata.


Ce matin à 10h30, sur Michelin, quelqu'un a vendu 30 000 pièces en 3 fois, soit des ordres de 10 000, c'est à dire pas grand chose. Cela a provoqué un mini carnage de -2%

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Une vente de 10 000 pièces sur Renault à l'instant.


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1% de baisse.


Ceci dans une tendance haussière.

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