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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #2141 (permalink)
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Vendredi:

ES 1654 = CAC 4065

Ajourd'hui:

ES 1666 = CAC 4067

Vente des bancaires, entièrement compensée par Sanofi. Volumes 1.09 milliards € (City fermée)

A suivre demain.

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  #2142 (permalink)
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Bonjour

De retour après des vacances, je ne reçois plus d'analyses en e moment; peut etre les vacances, je vous tiens au courant

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Bonjour,

Le plus probable:

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Au cas où vous n'avez pas eu le temps de suivre l'information, John Kerry a fait un discours assez menaçant hier soir envers la Syrie. Il a dit entre autre que les USA ont des preuves que le régime d'Al Assad a utilisé des armes chimiques envers la population et qu'ils attendraient pas les résultats de l'enquête des Nations Unis. La presse en a déduit qu'une attaque est imminente et le marché aussi, d'où la baisse des indices US (c'est indiqué sur mon graph ES d'hier après-midi).

Dans la nuit, j'ai regardé les chaînes de télévision iranienne et russe, et ils ont l'air de prendre les choses au sérieux. Khaminei (guide suprême) a menacé d'envoyer son armée en Syrie. Lavrov (affaires étrangères russes) a démarré la soirée avec une réaction mesurée mais au petit matin il a clairement laissé entendre que la Russie sera de la partie directement où indirectement et que ça sera pasz comme l'Irak ou la Lybie.

Personnellement, je pense qu'ils n'enverront pas d'armée mais ils fourniront de l'armement à volonté (surtout S-300 et S-400), des experts militaires et la logistique aérienne.

Dans tous les cas, si attaque il y a, ça ne sera pas bref dans la mesure où c'est une réelle confrontation Est/Ouest. Le pouvoir de nuisance de l'Iran est sérieux. Dès le début, plusieurs pays seraient impliqués notamment les pays européens, la Turquie (OTAN), Israel, le Liban (Hezbollah) et même les pays du Golfe car les USA vont utiliser leurs bases là-bas.

Bref, ça va impliquer une période d'incertitude sur les marchés. Certaines variations ne seront pas graphique mais dûes à la panique. Je vous conseille de diminuer la taille de vos positions jusqu'à y voir clair.

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En journalier, en cas de clôture ce soir sous 4050 (forte chance), ce niveau deviendra résistance. L'objectif immédiat comme indiqué ce matin sera 3965 (cette semaine). Je ne pense pas qu'on descendra directement à 3880 mais qu'un rebond à 3965 aura lieu jusqu'à 4030 avant reprise de la baisse.

Le 7 août j'ai posté ce graph (baisse en zig-zag):

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Gold court terme (1 mois):

A cassé une résistance importante à 1400. Support à 1365. Objectif 1480 max 1500.

Puis baisse à 1200 voire 1000$.

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Mise à jour 30 mn:

CAC:

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ES:

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  #2148 (permalink)
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DJIA:

Objectif intraday 14784. Rebond à 15142. Baisse à 14422.


ES:

Objectif intraday 1632. Rebond à 1678. Baisse à 1562.


CAC:

Objectif intraday 3965. Rebond à 4040 (max 4050). Baisse à 3880 (option à 3800).



Il me semble que les indices US viennent de faire le petit rebond que l'Europe à fait en début de séance.

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Or

Merci pour le point sur l'or Anas.

Je suis rentre un peu plus tot, a la rupture de 1350 dollars. Petite position car je vois comme toi une prolongation vers 1500 dollars max, avant de replonger plus bas.

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Emmanuel View Post
Merci pour le point sur l'or Anas.

Je suis rentre un peu plus tot, a la rupture de 1350 dollars. Petite position car je vois comme toi une prolongation vers 1500 dollars max, avant de replonger plus bas.


Bonjour Emmanuel,

Les dégagements sur les indices US se sont reporté sur les MP et les indices du sud de l'Europe. Le mouvement n'est pas énorme tout de même.

On peut penser que le Gold va toucher son haut (1500) au moment où les indices vont faire les bas (ES 1560). C'est à dire d'ici 2 à 3 semaines, max 1 mois.

Toujours se méfier des banques centrales en ce moment car elles n'aiment pas que "l'argent dort sur l'Or".

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