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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #201 (permalink)
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Possible qu'on remonte

à 3740 lundi avant départ baissier.

Pas sûr car à cette heure-ci je n'ai pas toute ma tête

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  #202 (permalink)
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Pas sûr et certain.

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Faut être blindé en short au cas où on y va pas. Si on y va, c'est bon pour optimiser ses prix de revient.

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  #203 (permalink)
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Bonjour,


J'ai quelques éléments nouveaux susceptibles de modifier le parcours que j'ai suggéré ces derniers temps.
Je ferai une mise à jour des indices US, CAC et DAX dimanche.

Bon week-end à tous!

Anas

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  #204 (permalink)
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Bonjour,

Le comportement stupide et odieux de quelqu'un de mon entourage ce week-end, m'a mis très en colère.

Idéaliste par choix, mettant la qualité de mes relations avec quelques personnes qui m'entourent au dessus de tout, y compris au dessus de mes intérêts immédiats, j'ai toujours été vulnérable à ce genre de situations.

Cette colère a provoqué chez moi un déséquilibre émotionnel néfaste pour mon appréciation des choses. A cet instant je me suis fébrile, je n'ai aucune force ni de faire une analyse et encore moins de trader.

J'attends l'ouverture des marchés pour couper mes positions et me replier sur moi-même pendant un certain temps. C'est d'autant plus regrettable que ça commence à bouger depuis quelques séances et je me sentais dans une belle dynamique.

Je me protège tant bien que mal, mais les autres sont souvent un enfer pour moi. Je me sens profondément triste, une fois de plus.

Milles excuses de ne pas avoir tenu ma promesse.

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  #205 (permalink)
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Bonjour anas,

Ne prend pas trop sur toi les betises des autres.

Amitiés

Abdel

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  #206 (permalink)
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Je comprends ce que tu dis "l'enfer , c'est les autres ".Repose toi bien, laisse le temps dissipe la colère.Reviens nous quand tu auras envie.
.

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  #207 (permalink)
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Bonjour,

DJIA en hebdomadaire:


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Les US n'ont pas fait de conso digne de ce nom et ont décidé d'aller chercher leurs plus hauts de tous les temps à 14200. Au dessus, vous en conviendrez, personne ne peut donner d'objectif.

Voyez sur le graph, les deux MM (noire et rouge) sont paramétrées de sorte que quand la noire croise la rouge à la baisse, c'est pour la stabiliser dans un premier temps puis déclencher une tendance baissière. Généralement, au début du croisement, il y a une fausse sortie haussière (bougie verte hebdo) pour empêcher ce croisement.
D'après mes constatations depuis début 2011, sur cette UT, la conso qui suit dure en moyenne 6 semaines.


3 méthodes d'analyses graphiques convergent vers une ampleur de conso de l'ordre de 10 à 12% par rapport à 14200, soit un objectif à 12800 environ.

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  #208 (permalink)
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S&P hebdomadaire.

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Mêmes commentaires que pour le DJIA. Tout est sur le graph.

1540/50 puis 1380

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  #209 (permalink)
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CAC hebdomadaire.

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Le CAC a donné un pré-signal baissier en hebdo dès la semaine du 4 au 8 février. Mais les US continuant à monter pour sortir des autres indices aux meilleurs prix, le CAC a rebondi à chaque fois.

Dès vendredi je sentais un rebond à 3740. A cet instant, la zone 3740/80 est une bonne zone de short entre aujourd'hui et demain, pour un départ baissier que j'espère jeudi.


10 à 12% de baisse donne un CAC à proximité des 3400.


Si ce scénario se réalise, je prends 2 mois de vacances.

Bonne chance!

Anas

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DAX hebdomadaire.


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Possible 7780/7800 puis 7000

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