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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1991 (permalink)
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DAX en Elliott.

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  #1992 (permalink)
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Comme vous le voyez, les objectifs d'Elliott dépassent l'entendement. Surtout quand on voit les résultats médiocres des sociétés en ce moment et l'absence totale de reprise aux USA. L'Europe est en récession et les pays émergents en décélération.

Avec quoi on va faire la vague 5? je pense que la BCE va prendre une décision radicale seconde quinzaine d'août. J'ignore la nature de cette décision mais ça peut être une monétisation massive des dettes européennes. Ce n'est pas sûr mais les graph le laissent entendre.

Des rumeurs jeudi dernier sur la dissolution de la "Troïka" sous sa forme actuelle. La commission européenne a demandé au FMI de se retirer de toute aide à l'Europe. Or il n y a que 40 milliards dans le MES actuellement.
Ils sont probablement en train de préparer le terrain à une action à l'américaine ou à la japonaise.

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Pour Emmanuel,

Positions shorts sur le Gold publiées par la CFTC hier.

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A son plus haut historique. ca peut provoquer la flambée de l'Or même si la configuration graphique est baissière.

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Hollande a donné 30 milliards € aux banques. Il s'agit de l'argent des PEA et des LDD. Le virement sera fait le 31 juillet.

Officiellement, cet argent doit être prêté aux PME. Je pense qu'il va servir à des recapitalisations en douce pour se conformer aux règles de Bâle3.

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Je pense toujours à un retour à 3900/05 avant de monter au delà de 3950. Résistance dans les jours à venir à 3980 pour un objectif de la vague 3 à 4060/70 (double top). Puis vague 4 à 3800 environ. Avant la vague 5.

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Euro area Q1 Govt. debt up 92.2% of GDP vs 88.2% Q1 2012/ 90.6% in Q4 2012

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Gold

Bonjour Anas,

Merci pour ton commentaire sur l'or. Je pense egalement a un rallye de plusieurs semaines qui pourrait nous emmener aux alentours de 1480 - 1500 dollars. Ensuite, a plus long terme, on serait repartis pour de nouveaux plus bas.

J'avais signale que, selon l'analyse fractale (Raymond Blanc), nous sommes actuellement dans une vague 2P de 3. Cette vaguelette 2P, selon les principes appliques, doit necessairement se terminer par une hausse, avant le coeur de la baisse que representera la 3 de 3.

On s'est quand meme affranchi de resistances graphiques assez importantes ces derniers jours. En particulier le seuil des 1300 dollars.

Merci pour ton suivi et tes conseils !

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Bonjour,

FCE 60 mn:

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Ils n'arrêtent pas d'écraser la volatilité en fin des séances aux US. Les indicateurs se sont bien retournés depuis plusieurs séances mais ils évoluent à contre tendance des prix. Dans ce cas de figure, les conso sont peu profondes, suivies de nouvelles impulsions haussières.

Un jour Philippe a publié une analyse où il était question d'une hausse en "crabe". C'est tout à fait ça. Des petites baisses suivies de gap haussiers, le tout dans une volatilité et des volumes faibles.

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CAC 30 mn:

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