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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1951 (permalink)
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Initial Claims 334K, Exp. 345K

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  #1952 (permalink)
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Les indices européens sont un peu en avance. L'ES doit faire demi-tour depuis 1684.

Possible que le CAC remonte à 3910 mais possible que les US commencent à nous vendre en faisant leurs hauts.

Pour info, il n y a pas eu de stop qui se sont déclenchés à 3900.

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  #1953 (permalink)
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Bonjour a tous!!!

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  #1954 (permalink)
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1684 fait sur l'ES !!

Ne pas paniquer. CAC en excès.

A moins que la synchro soit comme suit:

3920
8320
1685
15570

Avant -4%

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  #1955 (permalink)
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SPX 1690.

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  #1956 (permalink)
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Je pense que les objectifs immédiats ont été faits. Les excès sont généralement provoqués par ceux qui coupent leurs positions short car ils ne supportent pas la pression et par les nouveaux entrants à la hausse au passage de 3920.

Comme on disait avec Philippe il y a 2 ou 3 pages, les programmes qui gèrent maintenant les marchés sont extrêmement pervers et arrivent systématiquement dans des zones critiques que l'esprit humain est incapable de supporter.

On va suivre maintenant le retournement sur les petites UT: 15 mn puis voir s'il y a propagations aux UT supérieures.

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  #1957 (permalink)
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Oui, le marche est sous controle. C'est pour cela que j'ai prefere ne pas jouer la baisse sur le coup (chat echaude craint l'eau froide).

Par contre, dans mon experience, les robots aiment les chiffres ronds. Je ne serais pas surpris d'une montee a 1700 sur le SP avant un debut de consolidation.

Ce n'est pas de l'AT, desole. Juste une observation sur ce qui se passe ces temps-ci sur les marches.

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  #1958 (permalink)
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Ce soir après controle

ortie par le haut à assurer !

Au bénéfice d'une légère détente des indicateurs en base 8 heures, le CAC40, bien disposé en première partie de séance, a fini par franchir 3890 en clôture mais il ne faudra pas s'attendre à une folle embardée !
L'Indice a clôturé la séance en hausse de 1.44 % à 3927.79 dans un volume moyen de 2.684 MDE sur Nyse Euronext.

En intraday, la tendance restera Très Positive > 3875 et surtout > 3890 !

Avec beaucoup de difficulté et au bout de 6 séances, le CAC40 a réussi à franchir 3890 et ce toujours dans des volumes qui restent moyens. Compte tenu de la configuration en base Daily (potentiel limité)
et au jeu de légers reflux, le rythme de progression devrait être graduel ! Le sens prioritaire reste toujours acheteur, pour les plus agressifs > 3885/3875 où plus en repli > 3858/3845 (Stop < 3810).
En revanche, 3890 doit devenir un support durable pour assurer une certaine continuité et, dans l'idéal, le rester en clôture ce vendredi, jour d'échéance des contrats à terme sur indices et actions.
A noter que le CAC40 a comblé le petit Gap baissier du 5 juin laissé ouvert entre 3919.67 et 3915.71. Au-delà, 3940 serait un palier intermédiaire avant 3980 qui reste le scénario idéal en base daily.
Comme évoqué ci-dessus, une situation de surachat est apparue en base journalière (91% 3920) et suivant la lenteur ou la rapidité du mouvement, il faudra s'en méfier tôt ou tard.

A contrario, la situation technique à très court terme et notamment en base 1 heure est très tendue (99% vers 3930) mais, pour l'instant ignorée, compte tenu de l'effet positif obtenu
après le débordement de 3890 en séance et en clôture. Il faudra une vraie raison pour inverser la vapeur ou un signal technique pour valider un retournement. Vu que les seuils d'alertes s'éloignent,
on devra attendre une résistance majeure pour reprendre l'initiative à la vente ou que les moyennes mobiles situées respectivement à 3858 et à 3811 fassent la jonction avec les prix pour s'y préparer.

En conclusion, dans la balance, on dira que le poids des banques centrales ouvre l'appétit de certains opérateurs même si au vu du volume, il ne faut pas avoir trop faim !

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Interessant - ES revenu a 1680 a cause de GOOG.....
Demain pas de nouvelles....

Affaire a suivre - encore une fois 1680 est important.....

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