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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1841 (permalink)
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Bonjour à tous,

Merci à @GFIs1 pour son graph et ses arguments. Nous ne sommes pas d'accord sur ce coup mais j'aime bien les gens qui argumentent de manière cohérente.

Les choses se précisent de plus en plus. Mise à jour avant 8h.

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ES: mise à jour du décompte Elliott.

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Bien garder en tête ce décompte. Le 3 vert en cours tolère un double top avec le 5 vert du 3 majeur bleu. Le 4 vert à suivre est obligatoire avant dépassement du 3 bleu majeur.

Ca devraitt se passer comme ça je pense:

ES journalier:

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ES 30 mn:

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DJIA: double top dans la zone 15500/15540 puis 15050/100. Avant 16200/400.

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CAC journalier:

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Aujourd'hui, résultats de JP Morgan vers 13h. Il est possible qu'ils soient meilleurs que prévu en raison de la hausse des marchés au second trimestre et le "fourgage" des créances douteuses à la FED. Celà pourrait donner le coup de pousse pour atteindre les objectifs.

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DAX journalier:

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Stratégie du jour:

Short CAC dans la zone 3900/20

Short ES dans la zone 1675/80

Short DAX dans la zone 8220/50

Si on y va vers 14h. Garder environ 3 séances.

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FCE a ouvert à 3877. La zone 3850/60 est le support du jour que ce soit en 30 mn ou en horaire. Achat en cas de repli pour viser 3900. Une fois l'ES a atteint la zone 1675/80 (CAC à 3900/20?) shortage en OVW

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VIX journalier:

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Schneider: rester l'écart à CT car elle lance une OPA sur Invensys. 4 milliards d'euros dont 1.7 en émissions d'actions. ca fait bcp.

AOF le 12/07/2013 à 08:27

(AOF) - Schneider Electric a confirmé être en discussions préliminaires avec le conseil d'administration d'Invensys sur un projet potentiel d'offre portant sur le rachat de la société. Le groupe britannique avait indiqué hier avoir reçu une proposition d'OPA amicale de Schneider Electric au prix de 505 pence par action ordinaire, soit 3,3 milliards de livres (3,8 milliards d'euros) au total. Ce prix représente une prime d'environ 15% par rapport au cours de clôture d'Invensys jeudi. Schneider verserait 319 pence en numéraire et le solde, soit 186 pence, en actions nouvelles.


Le conseil d'administration d'Invensys a indiqué à Schneider Electric qu'il recommanderait probablement l'offre.


Schneider Electric considère que cette acquisition, si elle se conclut, présenterait un « intérêt stratégique et financier majeur ». Cette acquisition permettrait en effet d'accroître son exposition sur le secteur particulièrement attractif des automatismes industriels. « Le groupe ainsi renforcé bénéficierait d'un accès fortement élargi aux segments électro-intensifs pour lesquels Schneider Electric dispose des meilleures solutions en basse et moyenne tension ainsi qu'en gestion de l'énergie », souligne la société dans son communiqué. Il atteindrait également une position de leader dans le marché en forte croissance des logiciels d'optimisation de la performance industrielle.


De plus, Schneider Electric estime que la transaction, si elle se conclut, permettrait de réaliser des synergies de coûts importantes, grâce à une efficacité opérationnelle renforcée, ainsi que des synergies commerciales sur l'ensemble des bases de clients de Schneider Electric et d'Invensys au niveau mondial.


Schneider Electric a souligné qu'une offre, le cas échéant, devra satisfaire aux exigences d'une relution rapide des bénéfices par action du groupe ainsi qu'à celle d'un retour sur capitaux employés (ROCE) qui dépasse le coût moyen pondéré du capital (WACC) en année 3, tout en maintenant une bilan très solide.


Last edited by AnasParis; July 12th, 2013 at 04:42 AM.
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FCE 30mn:

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