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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #161 (permalink)
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Bonjour Anas et tlm,
Pour moi en terme de timing c'est aujourd'hui et pendant 5 séances la dernière chance que les US baissent avant une hausse vers les plus hauts historiques en 2007.

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  #162 (permalink)
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Bonjour à tous,

Malade depuis la nuit de samedi à dimanche, je ne peux malheureusement assurer un suivi quotidien jusqu'à nouvel ordre.


Le scénario du pullback a été invalidé car le CAC a dépassé hier le milieu du Marubozu (3720) du 4 février ( en séance et en clôture). Ma mise à jour de samedi est donc caduque. navré!


Si vous avez pris des positions baissières dans la zone 3700/3710 et que vous ne les avez pas stoppées encore, l'occasion pourrait se présenter dès aujourd'hui car je pense à une conso en 30 mn dans la zone +/-3700. En revanche, en journalier, je pense que le CAC retestera prochainement ses derniers plus hauts (3770/3790 max) avant de baisser à +/- 3500. Je n'ai aucune idée du timing car visiblement les US veulent aller à 14150/90 et 1540/45 avant de baisser.


Bonne chance et à bientôt j'espère!

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  #163 (permalink)
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CAC journalier.


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Comme la dernière fois, tous les shorts au dessus de 3750 seront payants, avec peu de risque de dépassement des 3800.

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  #164 (permalink)
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Perso je crois à ton scénario US dj 14150/250 avant baisse ensuite on devrait avoir encore un dernier coup de rein vers les 14300/500 avant une baisse importante.

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  #165 (permalink)
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Bonjour à tous,

Le CAC est à 3701. Je pense à une baisse à 3557 sous dizaine.


A bientôt

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  #166 (permalink)
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DJIA mensuel.

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Tendance haussière depuis octobre 2011. Le DMI indique la fin de cette hausse dans la zone actuelle et une probable correction en direction de 13100 dans un délai de 3 à 6 mois.

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  #167 (permalink)
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DJIA hebdomadaire.

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Les trois toupies annoncent la fin de la tendance haussière et l'imminence d'une correction. Le comportement du DMI va dans ce sens. La MM10 haussière indique qu'un rebond aura lieu à 13650 environ pour faire à nouveau 14000 avant une correction plus profonde à 13100.

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  #168 (permalink)
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S&P journalier.

Sur cet UT, je mets le S&P car le pullback est plus visible. Le DJIA étant en excès.


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Donc hausse à 1518/20. Baisse à 1475. Hausse à 1518/20 puis baisse à 1420 environ.

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CAC hebdomadaire.

Le CAC est un indice qui flotte ces jours-ci. Il amplifie la tendance des indices US jusqu'à 3 fois, ce qui est dangeureux à trader car excès dans les deux sens.


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Sous 3730/35 ce lundi matin (encore un excès?), on descend à 3650 puis on remonte à 3710 puis on descend à 3557 puis on remonte aux environs des 3700 avant baisse à 3420.

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  #170 (permalink)
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CAC journalier.


Même vision que l'hebdomadaire.


Sous 3730/35 ce lundi matin, on descend à 3650 puis on remonte à 3710 puis on descend à 3557 puis on remonte aux environs des 3700 avant baisse à 3420.


Important:


Les marchés n'ont jamais été aussi manipulés qu'en ce moment car il y a de moins en moins d'argent à ditribuer. Il devient extrêmement difficile de trouver la tendance. Je peux donc me tromper plus qu'à une époque et ceci jusqu'à nouvel ordre. Je partage ma vision de la tendance mais n'incite personne à acheter ou vendre. A chacun de trouver un mode de trading qui ne le met pas en danger de banqueroute.


A bientôt!

Anas

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