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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1681 (permalink)
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FED'S POWELL SEES SCALING BACK ASSET PURCHASES LATER THIS YEAR

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  #1682 (permalink)
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Bonjour anas,

je n'ai pas bien compris le sens de cette phrase:
POWELL DE FED VOIT LES ACHATS ARRIÈRES DE CAPITAUX DANS LE COURANT DE L'ANNÉE!!!



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FED'S POWELL SEES SCALING BACK ASSET PURCHASES LATER THIS YEAR


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CAC journalier.


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On frôlé le gap baissier. Zone critique. Il faut que ça baisse.

Complètement oublié le POMO à 16h20.

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DIANIABDEL View Post
Bonjour anas,

je n'ai pas bien compris le sens de cette phrase:
POWELL DE FED VOIT LES ACHATS ARRIÈRES DE CAPITAUX DANS LE COURANT DE L'ANNÉE!!!

Bonjour Abdel,

Il dit que la FED réduirai ses achats plus tard cette année.

Il continue de faire des déclarations en ce moment. Il essaye de rassurer les marchés au moment où on attend le top.

Il y a toujours un truc imprévu!!

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  #1685 (permalink)
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Merci anas,

En plus demain c'est la cloture semestrielle des fonds gérés par les gérants. Je ne sais pas si ceci jouera un rôle sur les indices.

Pas de bol ces temps ci. Toute entrée se fait dans la douleur.





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Bonjour Abdel,

Il dit que la FED réduirai ses achats plus tard cette année.

Il continue de faire des déclarations en ce moment. Il essaye de rassurer les marchés au moment où on attend le top.

Il y a toujours un truc imprévu!!


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  #1686 (permalink)
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Mise à jour dans 30 mn.

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  #1687 (permalink)
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Attention !! le déroulement de la séance d'aujourd'hui m'oblige à adapter mon scénario. Les éléments que j'ai observés aujourd'hui, je les connais très bien, des cas que j'ai rencontrés de nombreuses fois. Ils impliquent des changements à la fois en terme de niveaux de prix et en terme de timing.


CAC hebdo:


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CAC journalier avec scénario:


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  #1688 (permalink)
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Bonjour,

1/ La MM20 vient de croiser aujourd'hui la MM100 à 3800. C'est un argument baissier à court terme. La dernière fois que c'est arrivé, c'était en avril 2012. Celà avait provoqué une chute du CAC de 3300 à 2922 en 1 mois.

2/ La zone de gap va de 3783 à 3824. Sera défendue par les bears qui contrôlent la situation en ce moment. Hier, il y a eu arrêt à 3780 et rejet.

3/ En 30mn, il y a une divergence baissière sur le MACD. Son objectif 3720/30.

4/ Dernier jour du mois, du trimestre et du semestre. Les gérants peuvent tenter de maintenir le CAC en haut, mais c'est le seul argument "positif" que je vois.

5/ C'est la semaine prochaine, dès lundi, que je pense que la baisse serait conséquente. Objectif zone 3570/600.

6/ L'ES descendrait sur son plus bas de lundi.

7/ Sans oublier la divergence baissière cachée signalée auparavant, tant que le CAC ne monte pas au dessus de 3840.


Rien à dire d'autre à part patienter. S'il y a du nouveau, je vous en ferais part.


Ajout en rouge.


Last edited by AnasParis; June 28th, 2013 at 05:17 AM.
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Support horaire à 3750. Sa cassure donne 3700.

Je pense que la baisse à 3570/600 serait très rapide, semaine prochaine du lundi au vendredi maximum, car le canal baissier, que vous vous avez probablement identifié, est extrêmement descendant.

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Depuis un moment, je publie des graph avec un bas vers 3460 ou 3400 mais avec une très forte hausse jusqu'à 4250/300 par la suite. Je vous disais que j'en ignorais la raison car la FED compte arrêter son QE et la situation économique n'est pas terrible, ni en Europe, ni en Japon, ni en Chine, ni aux USA ni dans les émergents.

La seule raison qui reste c'est un QE de la BCE pour retarder un peu la chute.

Ce matin, un journal allemand évoque que la BCE a constitué un groupe de travail pour étudier la possibilité d'un QE européen.


- ECB Working Group Discusses QE-Type Bond Purchases.



Affaire à suivre.

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