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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1601 (permalink)
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ES journalier.


1560 niveau de rebond. Retracement de 50% de la dernière impulsion donne 1604.

Depuis 15h30 ils font leur bas en nous achetant.

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Short ce matin. J'ai pas confiance dans ce marche.... Il rate tous les tests vers le haut pour l'instant... resistance a 1565 (overnight low) et 1570 (ouverture)... advance/decline a -2800 (nyse) pas tres courant et negatif...

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revenu a ouverture....... situation s'ameliore -

lie a ca???
Kocherlakota Says Fed Policy Guidance Is ?Insufficient? - Bloomberg

Magic words have come: Thus, depending on economic conditions and assessments of policy effectiveness, it may be appropriate for the Committee to buy additional assets even after the unemployment rate falls below 7 percent. And, depending on economic conditions, it may be appropriate for the Committee to keep the fed funds rate extraordinarily low even after the unemployment rate falls below 5.5 percent.
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/pub_display.cfm?id=5128


Last edited by marcopolo1; June 24th, 2013 at 03:39 PM.
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  #1604 (permalink)
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10 ans US se calme: il est à 2.52

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DIANIABDEL View Post
10 ans US se calme: il est à 2.52

Si il ya confirmation demain ou apres-demain et prix ~ $110 pour TLT - je prendrais une position longue

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Si il ya confirmation demain ou apres-demain et prix ~ $110 pour TLT - je prendrais une position longue


Je n'ai pas compris ta phrase

- Confirmation de ?
- Qu'est ce qui est à 110$?
- Position longue sur quel support?

Merci.

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Je vais faire une mise à jour mais d'ici ce matin.

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AnasParis View Post
Je n'ai pas compris ta phrase

- Confirmation de ?
- Qu'est ce qui est à 110$?
- Position longue sur quel support?

Merci.


Bonjour @AnasParis

TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF - proxy pour Long-term U.S. Treasury bonds: iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT): Overview - iShares

Voir graphe.
Si taux Long-term U.S. Treasury bonds augmente TLT descend.
Si taux Long-term U.S. Treasury bonds baisse TLT monte.

J'attends de voir si les taux vont baisser (cad si TLT remonte a $110 qui est un support important....). Vu que le support a 110 a ete casse jusqu'a 108... J'attends de voir le prix remonter au support. Je suis pas encore convaincu que les taux vont baisser (un peu) amenant TLT vers 118. Sur le 10 ans ca ferait en gros un taux ~2.5% qui revient vers les 2%..... et sur les 30 ans un taux ~ 3.55% qui descend vers 3.20%....

Sur SP j'attends toujours journee rebond. Peux etre demain -)

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  #1609 (permalink)
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Bonjour,

- Le 10 ans US s'est calmé et est actuellement à 2.50

- Hier soir, vers 18h30, plusieurs déclarations de deux membres de la FED, dont Fisher, ont fait rebondir un peu les indices US.

FISHER SAYS BIG MARKET PLAYERS BEHAVED LIKE `FERAL HOGS'
Fed’s Fisher Says He Backs Tapering QE With Economic Improvement

C'est une façon de dire que la panique est trop forte et de rappeler que la FED ne se retirera pas avant que l'économie US n'aille mieux.


Dans la nuit, vers 4h du matin, "tout allait bien", les indices (Nikkei, ASE et Kospi) étaient même en hausse de 1%, Shanghai en légère baisse et puis d'un coup ce derrnier a plongé brutalement de 5% après 6% hier. Tout les autres ont suivi.

- Chinese Stocks Drop To Lowest Since Jan 2009; Down 20% From February Highs


L'ES qui s'apprêtait à casser sa résistance à 1578 a reculé à 1558.


ES 60mn:


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A trouvé un soutien hier dans la zone 1550/60. La résistance qui le bloque depuis la cassure des 1620 se trouve actuellement à 1577/78. Sa cassure ouvre la voie des 1600/1605. Pour le moment c'est l'objectif du rebond (pullback) car en journalier cette zone devient résistance à court terme.

ES journalier:

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FCE 30mn:

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Résistance à 3642. Au dessus objectif vers 3690/3700.


FCE horaire:

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Résistance à 3690/3700 visible. C'est l'objectif pour le moment. A son approche, je regarderai les indicateurs et ferai le point.

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CAC cash 30mn:


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C'est expliqué sur le graph.

Une épée de damoclès. Monter au dessus de 3840 immédiatement ou divergence baissière cachée.

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