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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #151 (permalink)
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DJIA en journalier.

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Un peu de pédagogie:

Depuis 13 ans, j'utilise la MM10 comme signal immédiat. C'est la MM la plus pertinente à mes yeux. Je la combine au DMI car celui-ci confirme le signal de la MM10 un jour avant, le jour même ou un jour après.


Revenons au DJIA:

Il a encore préservé son support (la MM10) qui passe en ce moment à 13960.
Maintenant il peut le casser à tout moment ou aller faire un tour en haut avant de le casser.
Si ce signal est donné, une fois il a touché la zone 13550/80 il va rebondir pour faire son pullback vers 13800 avant continuation de la baisse en direction de 13300. Cet objectif c'est le plus raisonnable que je vois pour le moment mais il peut casser (on verra à ce moment là).


CAC:

Je suis déjà short depuis hier et près à renforcer en cas d'excès jusqu'à 3730. Car si le DJIA fait 14100 le CAC ira jusqu'à ce niveau. En observant le comportement du FCE hier soir, cela reste une possibilité.




Edit à 7h15 : après vérification de quelques éléments supplémentaires, je pense que le DJIA va en rester à 14040 et le S&P à 1525. Ca donne un CAC au maximum à 3710/20 avant baisse.


Last edited by AnasParis; February 14th, 2013 at 02:19 AM.
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  #152 (permalink)
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Résultats.

Air Liquide: Bénéfices nets 1.60 milliards € contre 1.58 milliards € attendus (année).

BNP: bénéfices nets 514 millions € contre 922 millions € attendus (T4). Le marché ne va pas aimer je pense.

EDF: EBITDA 16.1 milliards € contre 15.95 milliards € attendu (année).

Legrand: bénéfices nets 506 millions € 523 millions € attendus (année).

Pernod: EBITDA 1.46 milliards € contre 1.43 milliards attendu (S1). Bénéfices nets 858 millions € (S1). Plongeon de 37% des ventes en France (T2)!!

Publicis: Bénéfices nets 737 millions € (année). "2013 sera difficile" (Maurice LEVY).

Renault: EBITDA 729 millions € contre 698 millions attendu (année).

Solvay: EBITDA 430 millions € (T4).

ABB: EBITDA à 1,37 milliards $ contre 1,39 milliards attendu (année).

Nestlé: bénéfices net 10.6 milliards CHF. Légèrement au dessus du consensus (année).

Rio Tinto: perte 2.99 milliards $ contre perte 4 milliards attendue (année).


Last edited by AnasParis; February 14th, 2013 at 03:46 AM.
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  #153 (permalink)
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PIB français.


T4: -0.3%
2012: -0.1%


Nous sommes en quasi récession.

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  #154 (permalink)
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PIB allemand.

T4: -0.6%
2012: +0.4%

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  #155 (permalink)
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AnasParis View Post
Mon graph DAX page 14.

Je suggère un swing short sur une semaine ou plus pour 400 pts environ.

Qu'est ce que tu en penses?

Bonjour Anas

Merci pour les analyses précises!
Pour le Dax je vois la même chose - tomber vers 73xx.
Causes: Fin des bonnes chiffres d'année des bonnes et grandes companies. Les dernières résultats sont
prévues dans la prochaine semaine. Après c'est tout à fait normal que les moins bons résultats vont
être dévoilés
Comme les futures annoncent le futur - les indices devraient tomber.

Bonne journée
GFIs1

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  #156 (permalink)
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FCE 30mn:

Toujours en tendance haussière. Mais elle se fait au prix d'une divergence baissière.

A cet instant, je pense que le DJIA et le S&P remonteront à 14040 et 1525 et que le CAC ira aux environs des 3720 avant de tomber à partir de demain après le roulement des contrats.


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  #157 (permalink)
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Bonjour. Je n'étais pas dispo hier.

DJIA:


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Je pense que l'impulsion haussière ca en rester à 14040. A tout moment il peut baisser à 13600, faire un pullback à 13850 puis baisser dans la zone 13350.

La baisse, le pullback et la baisse peuvent être rapides et inattendus.

Timing: avant fin février.

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CAC.

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Le pullback est fait. Un moment d'incertitude pour les bears et d'espoir pour les bulls qui recommencent à parler de 4400

Je vois le CAC baisser dans les jours qui viennent à 3550, rebondir à 3600 puis baisser dans la zone 3500 (3486).


Timing: avant fin février.

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FCE 30mn.

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Un dernier rebond objectif 3670 et si ça casse 3690 avant baisse finale. Sont collants les bulls *


Bon week-end!

Anas

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J'ai oublié le DAX pour nos amis européens.


DAx journalier:


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7640 puis 7420 puis 7500 puis 7275.

Bye!

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