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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1461 (permalink)
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ngu yen View Post
Le QE3 va ralentir aux USA, la BCE prend le relais pour soutenir les marchés ?


Bonjour Ngu Yen,

Le scénario d'un QE européen m'a traversé l'esprit mais ça ne date pas d'aujourd'hui. L'Allemagne s'y opposera toujours et n'y consentira qu'en dernier recours.

C'est vrai que quand les graph suggèrent un fort rebond de 3600 à 4250 cet été, on ne peut que se dire que la situation fondamentale n'y sera pour rien et seule une intervention d'envergure, type QE, le permettra.

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  #1462 (permalink)
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Je m'attends à qq chose mais pas une QE franche , et Draghi a intéret d'agir un peu car ses paroles ne suffisent plus si les US ralentissent.En timing la hausse viendrait pendant 1 mois de l' Europe et pas tellement des USA.

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  #1463 (permalink)
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AnasParis View Post
Vous vous souvenez de 3885?

C'est le niveau qui nous a bloqué 2 fois le 7 et le 10 juin. Le marché va s'en souvenir. Des gens commencent à sortir à son approche car une divergence baissière cachée commence déjà à apparaître à 3865/70.

Il est donc possible qu'on consolide à partir de maintenant ou à partir de 3880/85. Ce n'est pas méchant mais un retour sur le support 30 mn et horaire n'est pas exclu. Ce support se trouve actuellement à 3820 mais d'ici qu'on y descende, il va remonter vers 3830/35.

Donc 3870 ou 3880/85 suivi de conso à 3830/35 puis hausse pour faire l'objectif à 3934.



Ca s'est passé exactement comme ça. Le support était à 3820 quand j'ai fait ce message et est remonté à 3836 qui est le plus bas du FCE et du CAC cash.

Mise à jour en 30mn:

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Par contre, au niveau indicateurs, le cycle est baissier et il faudrait qu'il aille à son terme. Du coup on risque de rester dans cette zone (latéralisation) jusqu'à son terme. Puis boom! on monte.

A suivre.

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  #1464 (permalink)
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30mn:

Toujours en cycle de conso sous 3866.

Support maintenant à 3840.

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  #1465 (permalink)
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GERMAN ZEW JUNE 38.5/ EXP 38.1/ LAST 36.5

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  #1466 (permalink)
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Objectif intraday 3880 sur cassure de la clôture d'hier (3863). Pas plus pour le moment.

Marché frileux. Je pense que l'objectif à 3920/50 ne sera atteint qu'après la FED (soulagement) et que la baisse à 3600 ne démarrerait qu'en début de semaine prochaine.

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  #1467 (permalink)
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Hier soir, ici, il y a eu jusqu'à 34 personnes au même temps. Elles sont arrivé à 18h et parti à 19h30.

Avez-vous une explication?

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  #1468 (permalink)
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bonjour anas

Pour ma part pas d'explication.

Bien à toi

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DIANIABDEL View Post
Pour ma part pas d'explication.

Bien à toi


Bonjour Abdel

Mais tu les a vu toi aussi ou j'ai halluciné?

J'étais en train de taper un message pour dire au revoir, et en le postant j'ai cru m'être trompé de forum

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Honnêtement, je n'ai rien vu. Mais je reste souvent connecté mais pas devant l'écran, en particulier pendant l'intervalle temps que tu as mentionné..


AnasParis View Post
Bonjour Abdel

Mais tu les a vu toi aussi ou j'ai halluciné?

J'étais en train de taper un message pour dire au revoir, et en le postant j'ai cru m'être trompé de forum


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