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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1431 (permalink)
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Le support remonte à 3810.

Si on passe 3835, il remontera à 3820.

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Le scénario du rebond (vague (b) correctrice de la (a)) n'est pas remis en cause dans la mesure où le MACD horaire est passé au dessus de 0.

Les prix peuvent baisser jusqu'à 3780 sans que cela ne soit remis en cause.

L'objectif est vers 3880 jusqu'à 3920. Probablement en spéculant sur le FED mercredi prochain.


En revanche la clôture hebdo en dessous de 3860 a comme implication une chute à 3600/30 à CT comme je vous l'ai déjà dit. Peut-être début juillet.

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Je ferai une mise à jour dimanche.

Bon week-end à tous!

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Bonsoir à tous,

CAC hebdomadaire:

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- Divergences haussières et haussières cachées sur au moins 3 indicateurs de tendance.

- D'ici mercredi, il est possible que nous restions dans un range 3760 et 3830, en attendant la FED.

- Rebond à partir de jeudi pendant 4 à 5 séances vers 3900/3950. Niveau exact à préciser en 30mn.

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Commentaire.

L'idée, est une stagnation des indices dans un range de 1.5% jusqu'à mercredi. La FED annoncerait une diminution de son QE 3 mais moins grave qu'attendue par les opérateurs. Les indices rebondiraient de 3% environ en quelques jours.

Mais une semaine plus tard, sous l'effet de la diminution du QE, les taux obligataires monteraient fortement au point de provoquer des dégagements sur les marchés actions, jusqu'à atteindre les bas mentionnés, vers mi-juillet.

Une fois ces bas fait, il y a une forte probabilité que les indices rebondissent pour faire de nouveaux hauts annuels, environ 5 à 6% au dessus de ceux du 22 mai dernier.

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En tenant compte d'un ensemble d'éléments, le rebond qui aurait lieu jeudi prochain, durerait 4 à 5 séances et atteindrerait 3934.

Il n ya pas eu d'informations importantes ce week-end.

Bonne nuit.

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