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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #131 (permalink)
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Total 30mn.

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  #132 (permalink)
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Résumé.

Tout est sous contrôle. On va se faire 200 points d'ici quelques jours.


Bonne soirée et à demain

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  #133 (permalink)
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Bonjour.


Le VIX est redescendu à 12. Quelle misère!

Le ratio Put/Call est bas. En faveur de la baisse.

On va probablement se viander à partir de vendredi et plus bas que je ne l'anticipais jusqu'à aujourd'hui, mais on aura le temps d'en parler d'ici là.

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Evolution de la similitude.

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  #135 (permalink)
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Zoom journalier.

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Plusieurs calculs donnent 3714 puis 3486.

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  #136 (permalink)
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DAX journalier.

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7705 puis 7275

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  #137 (permalink)
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Résultats Société générale.

Perte 476 millions € contre 203 millions € attendus par le consensus.

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Société générale: résultats complets.

Ci-dessus c'était le T4.


La Société Générale a dégagé un produit net bancaire de 5,13 milliards d'euros au 4ème trimestre 2012, en baisse de -14,5% en glissement annuel sur une base constante. Le résultat brut d'exploitation chute de -36,6% à 992 millions d'euros, et le résultat net est négatif de -476 millions d'euros. Le consensus redoutait une perte nette de -203 millions d'euros, avec de grandes disparités entre analystes. Sur l'exercice entier, la banque rouge et noire a vu son PNB décroître de -10,3% à 23,11 milliards d'euros, son RBE de -22,4% à 6,67 milliards d'euros et son bénéfice net de -67,5% à 774 millions d'euros. Hors exceptionnels, le bénéfice aurait atteint 3,368 milliards d'euros. Le ratio ROTE ressort à 1,4%, contre 7,5% un an avant. Le ratio "Core Tier 1" a atteint 10,7% en fin d'année, en hausse de +165 points de base en un an.

Le président, Frédéric Oudéa, estime que son établissement "a poursuivi avec succès sa transformation en 2012" et que tous les objectifs fixés en début d'année ont été atteints. "Le groupe a désormais sécurisé l'atteinte de son objectif de capital Core Tier 1 "Bâle 3" de 9-9,5% à fin 2013 et aborde avec confiance cette année de transition économique et réglementaire", a-t-il ajouté.

Un dividende de 0,45 euro par action sera proposé. Il sera payable en titres.

Société Générale engage cette année la seconde étape du "Plan Ambition SG 2015", qui consiste en un projet de simplification et recentrage de l'organisation autour des métiers coeur, visant à renforcer les synergies de revenus et de coûts. L'organisation s'articulerait autour de trois pôles que sont les Réseaux France, les Réseaux Internationaux et les Services Financiers Spécialisés et Assurances unifiés en un pôle et la Banque de financement et d'Investissement et la Banque Privée, la Gestion d'actifs et les Services aux investisseurs. "Les détails de cette nouvelle organisation seront déclinés dans le temps et incluront une simplification des fonctions centrales pour accroître l'efficacité opérationnelle du groupe", indique SocGen, sans fournir plus d'indications sur les implications sociales de la réorganisation.

Boursier 13/02 (07:09)

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  #139 (permalink)
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Scénario pour aujourd'hui.

CAC 30mn.


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Conso MM10 à 3673 puis 3698.


Ca dépend un peu des résultats de Total et la réaction des bancaires aux résultats de GLE.

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Résultats T4 de Total.


3.08 milliards €, légèrement au dessus du consensus à 3.00 milliards.

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